During the bye week, Caple wrote a good piece ranking the degree-of-difficulty for each of UW's back half opponents. I tend to agree with his rankings:
10/29 at Utah: DoD 6/10 11/5 at Cal: 4/10 11/12 vs USC: 5/10 11/19 vs ASU: 3/10 11/25 at WSU: 7/10
UW will be Vegas favorites in all of these games. But I tend to agree with @dnc that the Dawgs are likely to drop one they shouldn't. And really, I'd be elated with a 12-1 record and a Rose Bowl matchup with the loser of tOSU/Michigan.
During the bye week, Caple wrote a good piece ranking the degree-of-difficulty for each of UW's back half opponents. I tend to agree with his rankings:
10/29 at Utah: DoD 6/10 11/5 at Cal: 4/10 11/12 vs USC: 5/10 11/19 vs ASU: 3/10 11/25 at WSU: 7/10
UW will be Vegas favorites in all of these games. But I tend to agree with @dnc that the Dawgs are likely to drop one they shouldn't. And really, I'd be elated with a 12-1 record and a Rose Bowl matchup with the loser of tOSU/Michigan.
Personally, I think USC is a much higher DoD than Utah and WSU
Comments
10/29 at Utah: DoD 6/10
11/5 at Cal: 4/10
11/12 vs USC: 5/10
11/19 vs ASU: 3/10
11/25 at WSU: 7/10
UW will be Vegas favorites in all of these games. But I tend to agree with @dnc that the Dawgs are likely to drop one they shouldn't. And really, I'd be elated with a 12-1 record and a Rose Bowl matchup with the loser of tOSU/Michigan.
Bill Connelly's S&P+: 42%
FEI: 30%
ESPN Football Power Index: 34%
More importantly what are the odds of an SRS natty?
Can't calculate any probabilities beyond the regular season, without running massive amounts of computer simulations, because the schedule isn't set.
Congrats to @brianwwu29, @DoubleJDawg, @SC_Haden_Fruede and @PineapplePirate. You won!
Fuck you all.