Correlation between kickoff time and attendance?

TTJ

To pass the summer doldrums, I started comparing Husky Stadium attendance numbers based on kickoff times, over the 3-year period since HS was remodeled. (It is confirmed: I live a miserable and pathetic life.) Obviously, quality-of-Huskies and quality-of-opponent are the strongest predictors of attendance, as it should be. But as a curmudgeonly old fuck who pines for the traditional 12:30 timeslot and is sick of all the night games, I expected to find at least some discernible trend of better attendance with day games and worse attendance at night.

In fact, I didn't find a damn thing. See the attached scatter chart. I guess you could says the 11:00A and 8:00P timeslots predict poorer attendance -- duh -- but that's about it. Maybe three seasons is just too weak a data set. Maybe the attendance figures reported in official game stats at gohuskies.com reports seat sold, rather than turnstiles turned (not sure). Or maybe a lot of Husky Football fans care a lot less about kickoff times than I do.

TierbsHsotBoobs

Quality of team and quality of opponent matter more.

HTH

PostGameOrangeSlices

the chart, true?

TTJ

TierbsHsotBoobs said:

Quality of team and quality of opponent matter more.

HTH

RaceBannon

Quality of team and opponent matters most

CFetters_Nacho_Lover

TTJ said:

To pass the summer doldrums, I started comparing Husky Stadium attendance numbers based on kickoff times, over the 3-year period since HS was remodeled. (It is confirmed: I live a miserable and pathetic life.) Obviously, quality-of-Huskies and quality-of-opponent are the strongest predictors of attendance, as it should be. But as a curmudgeonly old fuck who pines for the traditional 12:30 timeslot and is sick of all the night games, I expected to find at least some discernible trend of better attendance with day games and worse attendance at night.

In fact, I didn't find a damn thing. See the attached scatter chart. I guess you could says the 11:00A and 8:00P timeslots predict poorer attendance -- duh -- but that's about it. Maybe three seasons is just too weak a data set. Maybe the attendance figures reported in official game stats at gohuskies.com reports seat sold, rather than turnstiles turned (not sure). Or maybe a lot of Husky Football fans care a lot less about kickoff times than I do.

Gee, maybe the attendance numbers help explain why UW has a budget shortfall. Out of 21 home games, only 5 come close to having 70,000 or more fans and I'm being generous as I based off of any part of a circle touching the 70k line.

That's a hot fucking ticket there Pool Boy.

DeepSeaZ

TierbsHsotBoobs said:

Quality of team and quality of opponent matter more.

HTH

We need to cross reference the data sets but yeah

whatshouldicareabout

TTJ said:

To pass the summer doldrums, I started comparing Husky Stadium attendance numbers based on kickoff times, over the 3-year period since HS was remodeled. (It is confirmed: I live a miserable and pathetic life.) Obviously, quality-of-Huskies and quality-of-opponent are the strongest predictors of attendance, as it should be. But as a curmudgeonly old fuck who pines for the traditional 12:30 timeslot and is sick of all the night games, I expected to find at least some discernible trend of better attendance with day games and worse attendance at night.

In fact, I didn't find a damn thing. See the attached scatter chart. I guess you could says the 11:00A and 8:00P timeslots predict poorer attendance -- duh -- but that's about it. Maybe three seasons is just too weak a data set. Maybe the attendance figures reported in official game stats at gohuskies.com reports seat sold, rather than turnstiles turned (not sure). Or maybe a lot of Husky Football fans care a lot less about kickoff times than I do.

You should do a multivariate analysis adjusting for confounding variables like UW's record, the opponent's record, conference opp, NW championship opponent, Nebraska's traveling fans, the amount of offseason national championships won in the offseason, the distance Aubs moves the goalposts, where the realdawgers sit, the length of Sunnydodger's podcasts, and then you'll have your answer.

TheChart

TTJ said:

To pass the summer doldrums, I started comparing Husky Stadium attendance numbers based on kickoff times, over the 3-year period since HS was remodeled. (It is confirmed: I live a miserable and pathetic life.) Obviously, quality-of-Huskies and quality-of-opponent are the strongest predictors of attendance, as it should be. But as a curmudgeonly old fuck who pines for the traditional 12:30 timeslot and is sick of all the night games, I expected to find at least some discernible trend of better attendance with day games and worse attendance at night.

In fact, I didn't find a damn thing. See the attached scatter chart. I guess you could says the 11:00A and 8:00P timeslots predict poorer attendance -- duh -- but that's about it. Maybe three seasons is just too weak a data set. Maybe the attendance figures reported in official game stats at gohuskies.com reports seat sold, rather than turnstiles turned (not sure). Or maybe a lot of Husky Football fans care a lot less about kickoff times than I do.

LoneStarDawg

Did you factor in any promotions they had in the zone?

HuskyJW

I thonk more than anything its the quality of team and opponent

dnc

You have to factor in what was going on in the area during game time too.

Were the Storm or Sounders playing?
Did the WTO dare to show it's corporate face in Seattle?
Was Husky Stadium considered a safe place?
Were fast food workers on strike?
Was there a pride parade?




There are a lot of factors here.

sarktastic

Quality of the ticket sales team to reach non-traditional audiences new to viewing football, is what matters most.

MelloDawg

Player who lead Huskyjacks in practice that week can't be ignored

ApostleofGrief

TTJ said:

To pass the summer doldrums, I started comparing Husky Stadium attendance numbers based on kickoff times, over the 3-year period since HS was remodeled. (It is confirmed: I live a miserable and pathetic life.) Obviously, quality-of-Huskies and quality-of-opponent are the strongest predictors of attendance, as it should be. But as a curmudgeonly old fuck who pines for the traditional 12:30 timeslot and is sick of all the night games, I expected to find at least some discernible trend of better attendance with day games and worse attendance at night.

In fact, I didn't find a damn thing. See the attached scatter chart. I guess you could says the 11:00A and 8:00P timeslots predict poorer attendance -- duh -- but that's about it. Maybe three seasons is just too weak a data set. Maybe the attendance figures reported in official game stats at gohuskies.com reports seat sold, rather than turnstiles turned (not sure). Or maybe a lot of Husky Football fans care a lot less about kickoff times than I do.

OKOK!

BennyBeaver

Does anyone know if water makes things wet?

alumni94

If we were a great team, playing another great team...people would show up at midnight to see a great game. With that said, I also like the traditional start time of 12:30.

FremontTroll

Later kickoffs are strongly correlated with lower attendance.

If we just scheduled all our games in 2003 or earlier we would sell out every season.

dnc

FremontTroll said:

Later kickoffs are strongly correlated with lower attendance.

If we just scheduled all our games in 2003 or earlier we would sell out every season.

POTD

PurpleJ

RaceBannon said:

Quality of team and opponent matters most

Which is why we play our games at 10 pm eastern. We know they don't care about some soft, mediocre team from the west coast.