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Guess we shouldn't even hold the election then

GrundleStiltzkin
Member Posts: 61,516

in Tug Tavern
I'll need to here from Keeley.
Model That Correctly Predicted Every Election Since 1980 Gives 2016 Verdict
One of the world’s most well-known financial institutions which correctly predicted every presidential election since 1980 is predicting a win for Hillary Clinton.
Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of credit ratings agency Moody’s, believes President Obama’s strong approval ratings will give the Democratic nominee a significant advantage come November.
Hillary Clinton is widely expected to secure the Democratic nomination with what appears to be an insurmountable lead in delegates over rival Sen. Bernie Sanders.
“President Obama’s approval rating has crossed over the important 50 percent threshold for the first time in almost four years,” said Moody’s economist Dan White.
“This sudden surge could be a result of the messy primary season or a relative lull in geopolitical news from overseas,” White added.
White argues a situation of rising gas prices and a big drop in Obama’s approval ratings is the only circumstance when Donald Trump would beat the Democratic nominee, according to the model. Moody’s latest model predicts Clinton will take 332 electoral votes compared to Donald Trump’s 206 – 270 are needed to win the presidency.
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Chincredibled for the tags.
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We can't fire Trump. He's a great recruiter. Who else would you get that would actually run for president in this country?
Give your real name and contact information if you're going to post stuff like this. -
Trump's analytics show him to be a 280 electoral vote guy even if he only gets 220
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Exactly. Who could we get that's better???!111!>!!!???? That's what I thawt.bananasnblondes said:We can't fire Trump. He's a great recruiter. Who else would you get that would actually run for president in this country?
Give your real name and contact information if you're going to post stuff like this.
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I'd argue that Obama's approval ratings are going up because people are comparing him to Hillary and Trump and that's giving him the boost.
To say that people aren't excited for Hillary is an understatement.
This election is going to be unlike anything we've ever seen before.
Models used to predict elections going back to 1980 may be due for a shifting of factors this time around.