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Guess we shouldn't even hold the election then

GrundleStiltzkinGrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,499 Standard Supporter
I'll need to here from Keeley.

Model That Correctly Predicted Every Election Since 1980 Gives 2016 Verdict

One of the world’s most well-known financial institutions which correctly predicted every presidential election since 1980 is predicting a win for Hillary Clinton.

Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of credit ratings agency Moody’s, believes President Obama’s strong approval ratings will give the Democratic nominee a significant advantage come November.

Hillary Clinton is widely expected to secure the Democratic nomination with what appears to be an insurmountable lead in delegates over rival Sen. Bernie Sanders.

“President Obama’s approval rating has crossed over the important 50 percent threshold for the first time in almost four years,” said Moody’s economist Dan White.

“This sudden surge could be a result of the messy primary season or a relative lull in geopolitical news from overseas,” White added.

White argues a situation of rising gas prices and a big drop in Obama’s approval ratings is the only circumstance when Donald Trump would beat the Democratic nominee, according to the model. Moody’s latest model predicts Clinton will take 332 electoral votes compared to Donald Trump’s 206 – 270 are needed to win the presidency.

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