IMO the idea of Donald Trump as the next potus energizes Democrats on the fence that would stay home if Rubio/Kasich/Cruz was the nominee and they will vote for Hillary.
I also believe there is a 1 or 2 out of 40 normal Republican voters who won't vote for Trump based on him not being Christian enough, conservative enough, or him just being Donald Trump.
My belief is that 2-5% will be the difference for Mrs. President Clinton.
People generally don't vote against a candidate, they vote for one. Hillary doesn't get people on the left excited. Some will definitely vote for her, because of their fear for Trump, but many will stay home. The democrats don't have the excitement they had in 08' and 12'. The republicans have consistently out voted the democrats on primaries this year. That is a bigger indication than anything else on the future general election. I also don't take the 52% to 44% Hillary lead on Trump very seriously. Trump has a silent group that says they won't vote for him, but will. And some of those 52% would vote for Hillary if they voted. I don't suspect all of them turning out for Hillary compared to what Obama had.
Comments
I also believe there is a 1 or 2 out of 40 normal Republican voters who won't vote for Trump based on him not being Christian enough, conservative enough, or him just being Donald Trump.
My belief is that 2-5% will be the difference for Mrs. President Clinton.
Trump is a walking controversy. Hillary is a walking scandal. Looks like you need to learn the difference.