S&P projections 2k16

BlowItUp

https://twitter.com/SBN_BillC/status/696713351322345472

Wait a second ... is that Washington in the top 10?

Yep.

The Huskies won last year's "mediocre record, strangely impressive S&P+ ratings" award*. They finished just 7-6, but they played really well in one particular loss (Oregon), lost two other games (to Boise State and California) by six or fewer points, and played at the 91st percentile or higher in six of seven wins. Very few teams played at an elite level more than that.

UW was also young as hell. That made for an inconsistent product, but it also means the Huskies return almost everything. That's all the numbers need to see.

Too much, too soon? Maybe. But Chris Petersen's rebuilding project appears to be a year ahead of what I anticipated.

Washington's presence in the top 10, by the way, allows me to whistle right on by Tennessee projecting ninth. NOTHING TO SEE HERE.

dnc

No excuses Pete. 10 wins or GTFO.

GrundleStiltzkin

dnc

And here's why it matters (from the link in the article):

There's almost always a name that stands out in the advanced stats.

In 2005, Michigan went 7-5 but ranked sixth in the F/+ ratings, ahead of 10-3 Georgia and 11-2 LSU.
In 2006, 7-5 South Carolina ranked 16th, sandwiched by 10- and 11-win teams.
In 2007, 9-4 Florida ranked third, behind West Virginia and national champion LSU.
In 2008, 9-4 Iowa ranked ahead of Big 12 North champ Missouri.
In 2009, 8-5 Oklahoma ranked ninth, ahead of 14-0 Boise State and six others with double-digit wins.
In 2010, 9-5 South Carolina ranked ninth, ahead of 12-1 Oregon and six with at least 11 wins.
In 2011, 8-5 Notre Dame and 7-6 Texas A&M ranked ahead of 16 teams with double-digit wins.
In 2012, 8-6 Wisconsin and 8-5 Oklahoma State ranked ahead of 24 teams with at least nine wins.
In 2013, 8-5 Georgia ranked ahead of two 12-1 teams.

There has been hell to catch for some of these ratings. But in the following seasons for these 11 teams, seven finished in the F/+ top six, nine won at least 10 games, and 10 improved their win totals. (The outlier: 2007 South Carolina, which went 6-6 and finished 32nd. Steve Spurrier's always got to be different.)

So as long as Peterman's not Spurrier we should be in line for a real step forward.

BearsWiin

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

dnc

BearsWiin said:

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

He's full of shit, Peterman loves Browning. But yeah, he's a noodle arm.

section_332

Just in case...
MORE proof of the 2016 off season natty

PurpleBaze

BearsWiin said:

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

Have you talked to this UCLA guy's wife about victory coitus?

AIRWOLF

dnc said:

BearsWiin said:

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

He's full of shit, Peterman loves Browning. But yeah, he's a noodle arm.

Browning doesn't have plus arm strength, at all, but I haven't seen signs that it is bad enough that he can't be extremely effective.

His main issue, so far, has been overthrows on deep balls.

UWhuskytskeet

BearsWiin said:

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

Did this guy refer to him self as the Cisco Show?

RaceBannon

Petersen starts every year 3-0 thanks to woodcock's schedule. Most of the Pac 12 is shit. 10 wins is not some unobtainable goal. Lose to Stanford and Oregon and beat everyone else.

BearsWiin

PurpleBaze said:

BearsWiin said:

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

Have you talked to this UCLA guy's wife about victory coitus?

I don't know her well enough, but maybe 30 years ago she would have been good for a romp

PurpleBaze

BearsWiin said:

PurpleBaze said:

BearsWiin said:

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

Have you talked to this UCLA guy's wife about victory coitus?

I don't know her well enough, but maybe 30 years ago she would have been good for a romp

Pics?

CokeGreaterThanPepsi

Doog so hard motherfuckers wanna fine me, That shit cray.

Swaye

I see the skids are nicely greased for our romp to the offseason Natty.

FremontTroll

AIRWOLF said:

dnc said:

BearsWiin said:

Guy at the tennis club, a former UCLA player whose son played at ASU a few years back, is really high on UW over the next few years, but he surprised me by saying that Browning will be eased out of his starting role as soon as some hot incoming QB gets acclimated. Says Browning has the moxie and accuracy but is too much of a noodle arm, can't make the throws he needs to be able to make. Guy says that once that happens, UW will really roll.

Is he full of shit, or is there some can't-miss QB prospect that UW picked up when I wasn't paying attention?

He's full of shit, Peterman loves Browning. But yeah, he's a noodle arm.

Browning doesn't have plus arm strength, at all, but I haven't seen signs that it is bad enough that he can't be extremely effective.

His main issue, so far, has been overthrows on deep balls.

Careful, all the commented on uwdp get bent out of shape if you point out that Browning doesn't have a laser rocket arm.

Also I would argue that inconsistency on deep balls is expected with mediocre arm strength. He overthrows it because he has to put more into it and sacrifices touch.

section_332

CokeGreaterThanPepsi said:

Doog so hard motherfuckers wanna fine me, That shit cray.

Coke is so hood

HeretoBeatmyChest

RaceBannon said:

Petersen starts every year 3-0 thanks to woodcock's schedule. Most of the Pac 12 is shit. 10 wins is not some unobtainable goal. Lose to Stanford and Oregon and beat everyone else.

If they are good enough to be a legit 10 win team then they should win both those games or split at worst.

RaceBannon

HeretoBeatmyChest said:

RaceBannon said:

Petersen starts every year 3-0 thanks to woodcock's schedule. Most of the Pac 12 is shit. 10 wins is not some unobtainable goal. Lose to Stanford and Oregon and beat everyone else.

If they are good enough to be a legit 10 win team then they should win both those games or split at worst.

They win both those games they better win the league and make the playoffs

LoneStarDawg

@priapism is going to be everyone's name this offseason

HuskyClaws

I've gotta say... I'd rather have advanced metrics hype our potential for next season than roof, dawgman and the army of doogs, etc.