I'm worried this Saturday is going to be similar to this weeks podcast.
Following up your best podcast game ever you guys really struggled on this one and came out flat. It's hard when you all chug a bottle of nightquill and take a lude or two. I know it's hard, just really hard in this Pat hill TUFF podcast conference. You guys were able to rally a bit in the 4th quarter when little jimmy ( @jecornel ) and @HeretoBeatmyChest started trolling each other over the predictions but it only made the score look closer than it really was on the field. If the podcast this week was an NFL team (lol...wtf??) you guys would have been the 49ers.
Will Petersen win the pac12 while he is here? Will Petersen win the national championship while he is here? How many wins this year (including bowl game) to say season is a success? How many wins next year (including bowl game) to say season was success?
Bonus question: What srs does Petersen need to finish, this year and next for Pete to keep your confidence?
But seriously, considering this was the worst pood you guys have done and I was still entertained enough, thanks. My advanced metrics says your podcast is top 2 in podcasts on the hardcore husky radio network.
Blah blah blah, I'm a dick and lucky you guys do the podcast at all.
But seriously, thanks guys
Yes, he will win the pac12 while he is here. Win a NC? Tough to say. I think he will compete for one and make the playoff at least a few times. I expect he will be the coach for up to 15 years so making a few playoffs is quite a reasonable expectation. I think 7 wins and the season is a success. Thing about bowl games is the better your season, the tougher your bowl game. Coming into the year, I was hoping for a top 50 SRS finish and 6-6 because of the deep rebuilding that had to be done. A top 40 finish is deserving of an "A" grade for the year.
When top programs have their absolute worst seasons they tend to be close to 40. When they are successful in a rebuilding year, they can be around 20-30. USC was 6-6 in Carroll's first year but #26. Oklahoma the year before Stoops was #48, then Stoops in his first year went 7-5 but was #19. Ohio State the year before Tressell won the NC was #26. These 3 programs the year before they won NC (I guess 2 years in USC's case but the next year they finished #1 in SRS) were #19, #26 and #26. So if Petersen can finish in the top 40, in a deep rebuilding year, that is damn good.
As far as next year I think 9+ wins. Next season I think winning the north is a reasonable expectation. I would be fairly disappointed if we don't win the north. Doesn't mean I will conclude Pete is not the guy.
He inherited the #37 program at Boise in the previous 7 seasons. Over his 8 years there it was the #11 program. The 5 years before Pete was HC Boise averaged #32. Pete's first 5 years? He averaged #5. For context, UW was #42 under Sark. Pete has done well in a deep rebuilding year. He's recruiting fairly well. After a few 9-10 win seasons I suspect recruiting will go from 3.2-3.3 to 3.3-3.4 as it did for Oregon and Stanford. Then we'll be in position to compete nationally.
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When top programs have their absolute worst seasons they tend to be close to 40. When they are successful in a rebuilding year, they can be around 20-30. USC was 6-6 in Carroll's first year but #26. Oklahoma the year before Stoops was #48, then Stoops in his first year went 7-5 but was #19. Ohio State the year before Tressell won the NC was #26. These 3 programs the year before they won NC (I guess 2 years in USC's case but the next year they finished #1 in SRS) were #19, #26 and #26. So if Petersen can finish in the top 40, in a deep rebuilding year, that is damn good.
As far as next year I think 9+ wins. Next season I think winning the north is a reasonable expectation. I would be fairly disappointed if we don't win the north. Doesn't mean I will conclude Pete is not the guy.
He inherited the #37 program at Boise in the previous 7 seasons. Over his 8 years there it was the #11 program. The 5 years before Pete was HC Boise averaged #32. Pete's first 5 years? He averaged #5. For context, UW was #42 under Sark. Pete has done well in a deep rebuilding year. He's recruiting fairly well. After a few 9-10 win seasons I suspect recruiting will go from 3.2-3.3 to 3.3-3.4 as it did for Oregon and Stanford. Then we'll be in position to compete nationally.