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What are the odds we beat Stanford?

Mad_Son
Mad_Son Member Posts: 10,194
Since I like to look way down the road instead of at the next game and make grand assumptions like we will beat the teams we should, what are the odds we beat Stanford? I posit that those are the odds we host Gameday against Oregon on October 12. The only real competition is from the Red River Rivalry. The RRR has had Gameday in 2001, 2002, 2008, 2009, and 2011 so they are not always a shoe-in. I think ESPN would like to highlight the new stadium, advertise for Nike, and get a chance to finally go to Seattle before we implode. Of course when Stanford's OL pushes our DL downfield like a blocking sled, our team realizes they are on the road, Stanford seeks revenge, etc, etc this will all be moot but still it was a thought that occurred to me. So 5% chance of Gameday? 81%?
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Comments

  • Fire_Marshall_Bill
    Fire_Marshall_Bill Member Posts: 26,113 Standard Supporter
    I think we play Stanfraud in the gay area (lol) this yr.
  • CuntWaffle
    CuntWaffle Member Posts: 22,500
    I think the Dawgs win rather easily say 34-17?
  • HeretoBeatmyChest
    HeretoBeatmyChest Member Posts: 4,295
    I think Stanford is being overhyped. They were the conference champs last year but according to the advanced metrics they were ranked 9. Oregon was 2.

    Also 10 of their 14 games last year were decided by 7 points or less. They obviously will have a strong defense but they lost their leading WR, Taylor, and all the TE's. I know Shaw is high on their running backs and Hogan will be decent behind that line but their pass game is going to struggle against good defenses.

    They have the advantage on both lines but they did last year and still lost to us. Now we look like a much better team. If we are going to beat them it will be the same way as last year....we contain their run game just enough and we win because our skill guys make big plays.
  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    UW beats 'furd. I like to call them furd. I have no idea why. But it's like saying Frisco, which is also retarded.
  • IrishDawg22
    IrishDawg22 Member Posts: 2,754
    Luck was X factor for their offense. With him @ QB they scored 28+ points in every game during the 2011 season.

    In 2012 they only went over 28 4 times. And now minus out Taylor and Ertz, and I think they are going to be average at best on offense. Hogan gets a lot of hype when compared to Nunes, but I don't think he is going to go out and beat you with his arm.

    Similar to last year, I think they play a lot of close games. Personally I think ASU is the tougher match up for us.
  • Gladstone
    Gladstone Member Posts: 16,425
    I'll be there. Anyone else going?
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,388 Standard Supporter
    edited September 2013

    Luck was X factor for their offense. With him @ QB they scored 28+ points in every game during the 2011 season.

    In 2012 they only went over 28 4 times. And now minus out Taylor and Ertz, and I think they are going to be average at best on offense. Hogan gets a lot of hype when compared to Nunes, but I don't think he is going to go out and beat you with his arm.

    Similar to last year, I think they play a lot of close games. Personally I think ASU is the tougher match up for us.

    On the other hand, their defense has gotten much better since Luck left. This is one of the best defenses in the country. They also have an OL full of seniors except for a 5 star sophomore at left tackle. Their first two guys off the bench on the OL are 5 star Sophomores. It doesn't matter that they lost Taylor, they will be able to pound the football. We have better skill guys, but I don't think their guys are quite as bad as some on here are making them out to be.

    With it being a road game, I think it is more likely we get plungered then we beat them. They are going to destroy us on the line and I don't think our speed will be enough. They did fine against Oregon last year. It is a terrible match up for us despite beating them last year, and them not being explosive on offense. Look at the couple of years before last year... We got plungered every time, and last year was about the luckiest win I have ever seen outside of the 2009 Arizona game. Nunes and #88 gift wrapped it for us.

  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855

    UW beats 'furd. I like to call them furd. I have no idea why. But it's like saying Frisco, which is also retarded.

    Furd is near Frisco, but further from Zona.

  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,495 Founders Club
    Furd and Frisco are in Cali