No chance Stanford will reach the playoffs, but if they can replace their losses on defense they should be good. I expect the offense to be much improved and play like they did in the last few games of the season.
No chance Stanford will reach the playoffs, but if they can replace their losses on defense they should be good. I expect the offense to be much improved and play like they did in the last few games of the season.
Dialed in as usual
You think they win out the rest of the season? And I was completely dialed in on their offense, but still.
No chance Stanford will reach the playoffs, but if they can replace their losses on defense they should be good. I expect the offense to be much improved and play like they did in the last few games of the season.
Dialed in as usual
You think they win out the rest of the season? And I was completely dialed in on their offense, but still.
Northwestern loss doesn't look THAT bad now ...
They have a good chance to run the table as their next 4 are UW, @Wazzu, @Colorado, and Oregon. They should beat Cal ... then get Notre Dame at home. Utah's good but let's also see how they handle success ... they are getting crowned at this point.
I don't think we have a great handle on who is good/great or not yet this year. If there's one thing that we learned last year, it's that I tend to think it's unlikely that they will put 2 teams from the same conference in the Final Four.
No chance Stanford will reach the playoffs, but if they can replace their losses on defense they should be good. I expect the offense to be much improved and play like they did in the last few games of the season.
Dialed in as usual
You think they win out the rest of the season? And I was completely dialed in on their offense, but still.
Northwestern loss doesn't look THAT bad now ...
They have a good chance to run the table as their next 4 are UW, @Wazzu, @Colorado, and Oregon. They should beat Cal ... then get Notre Dame at home. Utah's good but let's also see how they handle success ... they are getting crowned at this point.
I don't think we have a great handle on who is good/great or not yet this year. If there's one thing that we learned last year, it's that I tend to think it's unlikely that they will put 2 teams from the same conference in the Final Four.
The NW loss does look THAT bad because they have a good offense and completely shit the bed in that game. As long as Stanford has one loss they have a shot, but the smart money is on them missing the playoffs.
You could say the same thing last year about Ohio State and Virginia Tech and they let Ohio State in. In fact, since the Northwestern game is such an outlier, it will be viewed as a team trying to find itself early in the season and then learning/growing during the year.
If I was betting, I'd agree with you that they wouldn't make the playoffs. Clearly though that chance is far greater than zero.
No chance Stanford will reach the playoffs, but if they can replace their losses on defense they should be good. I expect the offense to be much improved and play like they did in the last few games of the season.
Dialed in as usual
You think they win out the rest of the season? And I was completely dialed in on their offense, but still.
Northwestern loss doesn't look THAT bad now ...
They have a good chance to run the table as their next 4 are UW, @Wazzu, @Colorado, and Oregon. They should beat Cal ... then get Notre Dame at home. Utah's good but let's also see how they handle success ... they are getting crowned at this point.
I don't think we have a great handle on who is good/great or not yet this year. If there's one thing that we learned last year, it's that I tend to think it's unlikely that they will put 2 teams from the same conference in the Final Four.
Big 10 will have a representative - don't see them having 2.
SEC "should" have a representative ... but I won't be surprised if the eventual winner has 2 losses. That could complicate things
Big 12 will get either Baylor or TCU assuming that one runs the table which I think is more likely than not at this point. Given last year, I also think that a 1 loss team won't be left out.
ACC has Clemson provided that they run the table. That's a conference that is bigger dreck than the PAC though.
PAC has either Utah or Stanford.
I'd put the odds of Stanford/Utah getting into the playoffs at this point at about 10-20%.
Big 10 will have a representative - don't see them having 2.
SEC "should" have a representative ... but I won't be surprised if the eventual winner has 2 losses. That could complicate things
Big 12 will get either Baylor or TCU assuming that one runs the table which I think is more likely than not at this point. Given last year, I also think that a 1 loss team won't be left out.
ACC has Clemson provided that they run the table. That's a conference that is bigger dreck than the PAC though.
PAC has either Utah or Stanford.
I'd put the odds of Stanford/Utah getting into the playoffs at this point at about 10-20%.
The odds of a Pac-12 team making the playoffs are much greater than 20%.
The odds of Stanford running the table are less than 10% and probably more like 5%.
ESPN computers have Stanford (and yes, ESPN is my source) as a 75+% favorite in every game remaining on their schedule with the exception of ND (at 63%).
Taking their projected win percentages and they have a 25% chance of running the table to the PAC title game. Even if they are a coin flip in that game, that's a 12.5% likelihood that they run the table.
10-20% seems about right. Odds that the PAC are in the playoffs is probably in the 25-30% range.
Comments
They have a good chance to run the table as their next 4 are UW, @Wazzu, @Colorado, and Oregon. They should beat Cal ... then get Notre Dame at home. Utah's good but let's also see how they handle success ... they are getting crowned at this point.
I don't think we have a great handle on who is good/great or not yet this year. If there's one thing that we learned last year, it's that I tend to think it's unlikely that they will put 2 teams from the same conference in the Final Four.
If I was betting, I'd agree with you that they wouldn't make the playoffs. Clearly though that chance is far greater than zero.
Because if its more than 5% you've lost me.
SEC "should" have a representative ... but I won't be surprised if the eventual winner has 2 losses. That could complicate things
Big 12 will get either Baylor or TCU assuming that one runs the table which I think is more likely than not at this point. Given last year, I also think that a 1 loss team won't be left out.
ACC has Clemson provided that they run the table. That's a conference that is bigger dreck than the PAC though.
PAC has either Utah or Stanford.
I'd put the odds of Stanford/Utah getting into the playoffs at this point at about 10-20%.
The odds of Stanford running the table are less than 10% and probably more like 5%.
HTH.
Taking their projected win percentages and they have a 25% chance of running the table to the PAC title game. Even if they are a coin flip in that game, that's a 12.5% likelihood that they run the table.
10-20% seems about right. Odds that the PAC are in the playoffs is probably in the 25-30% range.