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Can The 2015 UCLA Football Team Win The National Championship?

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Comments

  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,106
    Big 10 will have a representative - don't see them having 2.

    SEC "should" have a representative ... but I won't be surprised if the eventual winner has 2 losses. That could complicate things

    Big 12 will get either Baylor or TCU assuming that one runs the table which I think is more likely than not at this point. Given last year, I also think that a 1 loss team won't be left out.

    ACC has Clemson provided that they run the table. That's a conference that is bigger dreck than the PAC though.

    PAC has either Utah or Stanford.

    I'd put the odds of Stanford/Utah getting into the playoffs at this point at about 10-20%.
  • FremontTroll
    FremontTroll Member Posts: 4,744
    Tequilla said:

    Big 10 will have a representative - don't see them having 2.

    SEC "should" have a representative ... but I won't be surprised if the eventual winner has 2 losses. That could complicate things

    Big 12 will get either Baylor or TCU assuming that one runs the table which I think is more likely than not at this point. Given last year, I also think that a 1 loss team won't be left out.

    ACC has Clemson provided that they run the table. That's a conference that is bigger dreck than the PAC though.

    PAC has either Utah or Stanford.

    I'd put the odds of Stanford/Utah getting into the playoffs at this point at about 10-20%.

    The odds of a Pac-12 team making the playoffs are much greater than 20%.

    The odds of Stanford running the table are less than 10% and probably more like 5%.

    HTH.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,106
    ESPN computers have Stanford (and yes, ESPN is my source) as a 75+% favorite in every game remaining on their schedule with the exception of ND (at 63%).

    Taking their projected win percentages and they have a 25% chance of running the table to the PAC title game. Even if they are a coin flip in that game, that's a 12.5% likelihood that they run the table.

    10-20% seems about right. Odds that the PAC are in the playoffs is probably in the 25-30% range.