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Oregon, Alabama, Florida State and Ohio State are my Final Four picks. What say You??
Ohio State is legit and has been the last 3 years.
Get outta here Baylor and TCU with your magic Flash-In-The Pan pixie dust seasons.
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Comments
I don't think there is a way that the committee lets tOSU or Baylor jump TCU. In fact if TCU gets in I will put some money down in Vegas that they will win it all. Very talented team. They arguably have the "loss" of all 1 loss teams.
It's hard for me to give much credit to the Big 10 for their in general crappy play this year. Clearly Ohio State is by far better than the rest in their conference. How good they are nationally though? Big question mark to me.
I realize that I'm a bit biased, but TCU's program is far from a "Flash in the Pan." Regardless of what bowl they make it to this year, this will be their 3rd "BCS-caliber" Bowl in the last 6 years ... that's not a fluke or is Gary Patterson's 131-45 record as a head coach. The only thing that was "flukish" about TCU in the last 6 years has been the previous 2 years where a lack of QB play really hurt them.
I think TCU gets in, even though they lost to Baylor. They played in a tougher conference than Ohio State.
Only way for more chaos is if Notre Dame also had 1 loss.
As it stands, you're still in a situation where you have to subjectively make decisions on what conferences/teams are better.
The conference champions (with minimal exceptions to this) should have the opportunity to determine who is the best on the field. It's why 6 teams has always made the most sense. This covers all conference champions as well as the unique situations where either Notre Dame is deserving or when you have a TCU/Baylor situation or an Alabama/Mississippi State situation had Mississippi State finished with 1 loss.
They should have had the only revolving door spot held by one of the fringe teams (TCU, Baylor, OSU) and then reseed accordingly after the championship games played out.
They will look like complete douche nozzles if they bump TCU out after placing them at 3, even though tOSU needs to be in for any credibility to remain.
The only reason to move TCU to number 3 last week was to confirm that the opinion of them was that barring a loss this weekend (or a close game), TCU was going to be in the Final Four teams.
And regarding those always pointing out that TCU lost to Baylor therefore Baylor should be rated higher, college football has a lengthy history of ignoring that when comparing similar teams. Two instances that come to mind immediately:
1993: Notre Dame beat Florida State in South Bend and then lost to an above average Boston College team at home. Florida State won the national title.
2000: Florida State lost to Miami who lost to Washington. All were 1 loss teams - Washington's loss was to a 2 loss Oregon team that shared the conference championship. Florida State played for the BCS title against Oklahoma.
On a second point, I think that you're all sleeping on FSU and how well they perform under pressure. I think there's definitely an element of playing down to the competition, and it's hard to see them not being able to score with the other teams if Jameis and Cook are clicking.
Alabama lost on the road to a team that will finish in the top 12 of the standings
Oregon lost at home to a team on the top 12 of the standings
TCU lost on the road to a team that will finish in the top 6 of the standings
Baylor lost on the road to a team outside the top 12 of the standings (a 7-5 West Virginia team that lost to Alabama, TCU, KState, Oklahoma, and at Texas)
Ohio State lost at home to a team outside the top 12 of the standings (a 6-6 Virginia Tech team)
I get that it was early in the year. I get that Ohio State was breaking in a new QB. But of all the losses, that is by far the worst loss of the group with 1 loss. It's an eye sore.
If you look at Ohio State now and think that they are playing Top 4 quality football, that's a fair point. But when you look at what happened over the course of the season, you can't say that they were a Top 4 team over the entire season. To put them in the playoffs over teams that were far more consistent throughout the season would minimize what was done early in the year.
TCU has a win over Kansas State and....Minnesota?
The XII refused to pick a conference champion and they're going to pay for it today.
"Fifty-Nine to Nothing!!!!" "Fifty-Nine" to nothing.
Winning at Louisville on a Thursday is a better road win than either TCU or Baylor had.
Carry on.