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Spread is up to UW +8

135

Comments

  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Money line. Thank me later.
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club

    Money line. Thank me later.

    Put $20 on it, then pop off!!1!
  • EwaDawg
    EwaDawg Member Posts: 4,379
    I don't follow betting lines, but I'm guessing UW hasn't beat the spread yet in 2014. Is that right?



    I have to believe the spread for Illinois was less than 25. So I think we beat it there. Others - not even close.
  • doogsinparadise
    doogsinparadise Member Posts: 9,320
    EwaDawg said:

    I don't follow betting lines, but I'm guessing UW hasn't beat the spread yet in 2014. Is that right?



    I have to believe the spread for Illinois was less than 25. So I think we beat it there. Others - not even close.

    Around two tds.
  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,809 Swaye's Wigwam
    EwaDawg said:

    I don't follow betting lines, but I'm guessing UW hasn't beat the spread yet in 2014. Is that right?



    I have to believe the spread for Illinois was less than 25. So I think we beat it there. Others - not even close.

    Yep forgot them.
  • FreeChavez
    FreeChavez Member Posts: 3,223
    Swaye said:

    I saw spread and 8 and figured there would be porn here. Imagine my disappointment.

    Yet you took the time to post, and not include any.

    image
  • HFNY
    HFNY Member Posts: 5,515
    Against Stanford last year, Mickens was the leading receiver last year...he caught 9 balls and a 1 TD while Stringfellow didn't show up on the stat sheet.

    Also last year, Montgomery beat us deep for a 39 yard TD pass but even worse, he returned a kickoff for 99 yards. So even if we assume Montgomery (or Cajuste) will get us deep once, I'd be willing to wager we don't give up a kickoff for a TD this year.

    In terms of blocking, Stanford sacked Price 5 times last year. I'd also be willing to wager this year's OL and more mobile QB will give us less than that (especially if Riva plays).

    The biggest thing in my mind is that we won't give up 31 points to Stanford again, especially at home. I don't believe their OL is as good as in the past few years and they only averaged 3.2 ypc against USC (Hogan carried the ball 11 times for just 24 yards while being sacked twice). I really like our front 7 and can't see Stanford trying to throw the ball 40 times in an attempt to exploit our young (except for Peters) secondary or going so far as to put 4 WRs on the field.

    Stanford has 4 new starters on the OL (Andrus Peat is the only holdover), a new starting FB, a new starting TE, and new #1 and #2 RBs. We replaced our starting QB, TE, and RB but our #2 RB from last year is now starting (Washington) and we return all 5 starters on the OL (plus Criste and I anticipate Riva playing).

    On D, while we replaced 3 of 4 starters in the secondary and put in Feeney for a departed Fuiamaono but our front 7 is essentially the same. On the other hand, we don't have to face Trent Murphy, Shayne Skov, and Ben Gardner again (FS Ed Reynolds and part-timer DE Josh Mauro were pretty good too).

    My concerns going into the game is that Stanford dares us to beat them in the intermediate passing game and we can't because Miles is shaky and Ross doesn't play but I'm hoping that we work Daniels into the play-action / bootleg passing game and Ross is fine by Saturday.

    It's going to be a heckuva game.

    If our defense shows up and we don't give up any long bombs there is a chance to win. Unfortunately we will give up at least one long bomb and I don't think our offense will do anything against their defense.

    Losing Price, Smith, ASJ, Stringfellow and Kasen not being 100% is huge. Mickens can't even stretch the cupcake teams vertically. The blocking is much worse. Last year it was great bc you had ASJ on the edge with Smith and Kasen who could spring Mickens. Also we no longer have Sankey, who was the best back in the country.

    Last year we were riding high in front running Sark fashion and had our best performance of the year, almost beating a top 5 team on the road. It would have been the program's best win since 2000 Miami or 2002 WSU (as far as how good the opponent was).

    Stanford lost a lot and we have home field but we really are a shell of that team and Stanford is mostly intact though not as good as they were. The front 7 has to step up and control the game and we need to win the turnover battle to have a realistic shot. It will be a similar game to 2012 but we don't have the game breakers like we had then to win that game. Ross is clearly not 100%.

  • unfrozencaveman
    unfrozencaveman Member Posts: 2,303
    Paralysis by analysis

    UW wins rather easily, say 30-17

    We actually have ST this year, D will help out in a big way. Guarantee Peters remembers getting burned by Tyrone Montgomery last year. BTW, we are +8 turnover margin, 4th in FBS (yes I know the competition has sucked)

    Stanford had 9 trips within the 35 yard line - came away with 10 points against USC. Let's be honest, they haven't proven shit

    I see Peterman manufacturing a win here by all means necessary
  • doogsinparadise
    doogsinparadise Member Posts: 9,320
    edited September 2014
    Something that Stanford always does well is they throw the deep seam to the te or slot receiver, which will put a lot of stress on the safeties. Conversely, that might be a good way to get some balls to Daniels or Lenius down field if Ross is still limited.
  • section8
    section8 Member Posts: 1,581
    Of the Stanford losses that past few years, how many can be chalked up in part or full to poor game management by Shaw and company? Seems like at least a couple of the games they lost would have gone the other way were it not for questionable decisions to pass on 4th and short when they've had the run game really clicking, not kicking FG's or taking unnecessary chances that resulted in turnovers.