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The line

RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 106,018 Founders Club
I get it. Every one in America knows the line is set to get balanced bets. But 12.5 dogs last year and 10 point dogs last night. People said Vegas must know something. I said they know how to get Oregon fans money

Combine that with Husky fans still suffering from PTSD and reluctant to bet and you get a big line that doesn't reflect the emotion on the field. That should change as Husky Arrogance is welcomed back to bigtime football.

It also shows the power of media - social and legacy - to set a narrative and how many folks just follow along

Oregon didn't tell all the pundits to go full retard but it sure played into the hands of the DAWGS

I'm thinking that these teams are about 3 points apart

Home, away, neutral field

Maybe London or Berlin?

Comments

  • JoeyJoey Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 6,706 Founders Club
    They know what a DUCKTARD is
  • Kingdome_UrinalsKingdome_Urinals Member Posts: 2,751
    The entire Oregon fanbase bears responsibility for modeling 12-15 different victories, natties, and heismans over the last week.

    Ducks were NOT hungry out there.
  • Kingdome_UrinalsKingdome_Urinals Member Posts: 2,751
    phineas said:

    ntxduck said:

    I get it. Every one in America knows the line is set to get balanced bets. But 12.5 dogs last year and 10 point dogs last night. People said Vegas must know something. I said they know how to get Oregon fans money

    Combine that with Husky fans still suffering from PTSD and reluctant to bet and you get a big line that doesn't reflect the emotion on the field. That should change as Husky Arrogance is welcomed back to bigtime football.

    It also shows the power of media - social and legacy - to set a narrative and how many folks just follow along

    Oregon didn't tell all the pundits to go full retard but it sure played into the hands of the DAWGS

    I'm thinking that these teams are about 3 points apart

    Home, away, neutral field

    Maybe London or Berlin?

    UW was >10 points better last night. The score line was flattering to Oregon.
    I was more nervous at 17-3 and 20-10 than when UW fell behind. I knew that was coming. And when it was close in the 4th I knew who would win

    I was not trolling with my 20 point win prediction. I felt UW was going to do it for 60 minutes. But 3 points is fine
    falling behind was when my nerves finally let up. they just know how to close. i cant doubt it anymore
    The entire Oregon team from coaches on down were way keyed up. UW and Kalen knew how it would end.
  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 26,200 Swaye's Wigwam

    Shout out to @PostGameOrangeSlices and @RaceBannon for never wavering. Not even one c hair of doubt.


    Never bet against DeBoer
  • LebamDawgLebamDawg Member Posts: 8,716 Standard Supporter
    ESPN has had a hard-on for the Ducks ever since their biggest advertiser was Nike.
    They actually talked decent about the UW this year, just not in the fucked up FPI programming.
    Sagarin was another one that had the Ducks way high - both programs must give bonus poonts for blow outs.

    People fall for the hype
  • Mad_SonMad_Son Member Posts: 10,180
    LebamDawg said:

    ESPN has had a hard-on for the Ducks ever since their biggest advertiser was Nike.
    They actually talked decent about the UW this year, just not in the fucked up FPI programming.
    Sagarin was another one that had the Ducks way high - both programs must give bonus poonts for blow outs.

    People fall for the hype

    I haven't looked in the details for years but Sagarin definitely favors higher margin of victory. It caps at like 3 scores so as not to incentivize running up the score but the philosophy is that a 14 point win is better than a 3 point win.
  • UW_Doog_BotUW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 15,828 Swaye's Wigwam

    ntxduck said:

    I get it. Every one in America knows the line is set to get balanced bets. But 12.5 dogs last year and 10 point dogs last night. People said Vegas must know something. I said they know how to get Oregon fans money

    Combine that with Husky fans still suffering from PTSD and reluctant to bet and you get a big line that doesn't reflect the emotion on the field. That should change as Husky Arrogance is welcomed back to bigtime football.

    It also shows the power of media - social and legacy - to set a narrative and how many folks just follow along

    Oregon didn't tell all the pundits to go full retard but it sure played into the hands of the DAWGS

    I'm thinking that these teams are about 3 points apart

    Home, away, neutral field

    Maybe London or Berlin?

    UW was >10 points better last night. The score line was flattering to Oregon.
    I was more nervous at 17-3 and 20-10 than when UW fell behind. I knew that was coming. And when it was close in the 4th I knew who would win

    I was not trolling with my 20 point win prediction. I felt UW was going to do it for 60 minutes. But 3 points is fine
    Agree, I was actually somewhat glad it was 4 pts behind as well because they would need to score a touchdown.
  • UW_Doog_BotUW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 15,828 Swaye's Wigwam
    Canadawg said:

    ntxduck said:

    I get it. Every one in America knows the line is set to get balanced bets. But 12.5 dogs last year and 10 point dogs last night. People said Vegas must know something. I said they know how to get Oregon fans money

    Combine that with Husky fans still suffering from PTSD and reluctant to bet and you get a big line that doesn't reflect the emotion on the field. That should change as Husky Arrogance is welcomed back to bigtime football.

    It also shows the power of media - social and legacy - to set a narrative and how many folks just follow along

    Oregon didn't tell all the pundits to go full retard but it sure played into the hands of the DAWGS

    I'm thinking that these teams are about 3 points apart

    Home, away, neutral field

    Maybe London or Berlin?

    UW was >10 points better last night. The score line was flattering to Oregon.
    I was more nervous at 17-3 and 20-10 than when UW fell behind. I knew that was coming. And when it was close in the 4th I knew who would win

    I was not trolling with my 20 point win prediction. I felt UW was going to do it for 60 minutes. But 3 points is fine
    Agree, I was actually somewhat glad it was 4 pts behind as well because they would need to score a touchdown.
    I'm a huge believer in not kicking field goals to go up by 6. Coming back the other way teams will pull out every trick and 4th down play if they know they need a TD. If they only need a FG to tie teams often get squirrelly and dink around until they give their kicker a 42 yarder.
    Kinda like the first Oregon game. Play for a field goal.
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