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WOOF!

dncdnc Member Posts: 56,825
in The Fisching Hole (Recruiting)


We now have hard evidence Ducks can't develop.

Always nice when actual data confirms your priors.





Twelve 4 stars drafted out of 87 is worse than I wood have guessed quite honestly.
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  • huskyhooliganhuskyhooligan Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 5,762 Swaye's Wigwam
    Well now that UW has 3 five stars I guess this puts us at 33%, assuming at this point Smalls and Huard are not drafted. Unless I'm missing a five star other than Shaq.
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  • CFetters_Nacho_LoverCFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 31,555 Founders Club
    The 5 star % isn’t bad considering the sample size but goddamn 12/87 is terrible.
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  • TequillaTequilla Member Posts: 20,011
    I'm assuming that you have to have entered the draft to be a factor on the denominator?

    I'd love to dig more into the TCU numbers ... I know we had a number of dudes for a while flake out for being a little too fast strategy
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  • CFetters_Nacho_LoverCFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 31,555 Founders Club
    @dnc?? A Q??!!??

    What’s the tim frame on this?
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  • dncdnc Member Posts: 56,825
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover said:

    @dnc?? A Q??!!??

    What’s the tim frame on this?

    The Athletic dug into 11 years of data to find the answer. For three-, four- and five-star prospects, which schools had the highest percentage of prospects drafted?

    Using the 247Sports Composite Rating, we tallied the total three-, four- and five-star prospects signed at each of the 65 Power 5 programs from 2009 through 2019 and how many of each star rating were drafted from 2012 through 2022 in the seven-round event that features more than 250 picks each year. Then we tallied the percentages for each school. The top and bottom 10 featured some usual suspects and some surprises.

    To prevent small sample sizes, we limited the rankings to schools that signed at least five five-star prospects and 20 four-star prospects.

    Here, we examine the core question: If you’re a three-, four- or five-star recruit, which school gives you the best chance to go pro?
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  • CFetters_Nacho_LoverCFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 31,555 Founders Club
    dnc said:

    CFetters_Nacho_Lover said:

    @dnc?? A Q??!!??

    What’s the tim frame on this?

    The Athletic dug into 11 years of data to find the answer. For three-, four- and five-star prospects, which schools had the highest percentage of prospects drafted?

    Using the 247Sports Composite Rating, we tallied the total three-, four- and five-star prospects signed at each of the 65 Power 5 programs from 2009 through 2019 and how many of each star rating were drafted from 2012 through 2022 in the seven-round event that features more than 250 picks each year. Then we tallied the percentages for each school. The top and bottom 10 featured some usual suspects and some surprises.

    To prevent small sample sizes, we limited the rankings to schools that signed at least five five-star prospects and 20 four-star prospects.

    Here, we examine the core question: If you’re a three-, four- or five-star recruit, which school gives you the best chance to go pro?
    TYFYS
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  • theknowledgetheknowledge Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 5,340 Founders Club
    Any chance someone can post this article in the Wam?
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  • CFetters_Nacho_LoverCFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 31,555 Founders Club
    theknowledge said:

    Any chance someone can post this article in the Wam?


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  • Geevis_and_ButtheadGeevis_and_Butthead Member Posts: 999
    What does this say about the "evaluations" of Brandon Huffman and Greg Biggins and the rest?
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  • AtomicDawgAtomicDawg Member Posts: 7,262 Standard Supporter
    Geevis_and_Butthead said:

    What does this say about the "evaluations" of Brandon Huffman and Greg Biggins and the rest?

    They’re not good at this and are easily influenced by stupid stuff.
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  • NeGgaPlEaSeNeGgaPlEaSe Member Posts: 5,740
    dnc said:



    We now have hard evidence Ducks can't develop.

    Always nice when actual data confirms your priors.





    Twelve 4 stars drafted out of 87 is worse than I wood have guessed quite honestly.
    Smalls and Huard going to drop t)3 average around here
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  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    edited April 2023
    Oregon has had 14-5* guys.

    5 drafted (KT, HN, J-Stew, DAT, AA)
    1 going this draft (NS)
    1 undrafted (Colvin)
    3 still at UO (JD, DM, JC jr)
    2 transferred (Flowe, Seastrunk)
    2 medically retired (Tyner, Kaumatule) then transferred.

    Of the guys who stayed at Oregon 6 of 7 were drafted
    Of the guys currently at Oregon, 2 of 3 will be drafted (Conerly and Dickey) D. Manning may if he has a solid year.
    So 8-9 of 10 will be after their careers at Oregon.
    Conerly (keep hope alive) or Dickey could always portal.

    NOC.

    #butstill





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  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Oregon has had 14-5* guys.

    5 drafted (KT, HN, J-Stew, DAT, AA)
    1 going this draft (NS)
    1 undrafted (Colvin)
    3 still at UO (JD, DM, JC jr)
    2 transferred (Flowe, Seastrunk)
    2 medically retired (Tyner, Kaumatule) then transferred.

    Of the guys who stayed at Oregon 6 of 7 were drafted
    Of the guys currently at Oregon, 2 of 3 will be drafted (Conerly and Dickey) D. Manning may if he has a solid year.
    So 8-9 of 10 will be after their careers at Oregon.
    Conerly (keep hope alive) or Dickey could always portal.

    NOC.

    #butstill





    Do you see Connerly getting drafted as a TE or LT?
    LT.

    Where he’s the starter.

    Cool story though.
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  • dncdnc Member Posts: 56,825
    46XiJCAB said:

    CFetters_Nacho_Lover said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Oregon has had 14-5* guys.

    5 drafted (KT, HN, J-Stew, DAT, AA)
    1 going this draft (NS)
    1 undrafted (Colvin)
    3 still at UO (JD, DM, JC jr)
    2 transferred (Flowe, Seastrunk)
    2 medically retired (Tyner, Kaumatule) then transferred.

    Of the guys who stayed at Oregon 6 of 7 were drafted
    Of the guys currently at Oregon, 2 of 3 will be drafted (Conerly and Dickey) D. Manning may if he has a solid year.
    So 8-9 of 10 will be after their careers at Oregon.
    Conerly (keep hope alive) or Dickey could always portal.

    NOC.

    #butstill





    Do you see Connerly getting drafted as a TE or LT?
    LT.

    Where he’s the starter.

    Cool story though.
    He isn’t the one talking about moving Conerly to TE, that’s Lanning.
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  • rodmansragerodmansrage Member Posts: 6,354
    dnc said:



    We now have hard evidence Ducks can't develop.

    Always nice when actual data confirms your priors.





    Twelve 4 stars drafted out of 87 is worse than I wood have guessed quite honestly.
    texas, wtf? so, does this mean sark has gotten his guys in there?
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  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    rodmansrage said:

    dnc said:



    We now have hard evidence Ducks can't develop.

    Always nice when actual data confirms your priors.





    Twelve 4 stars drafted out of 87 is worse than I wood have guessed quite honestly.
    texas, wtf? so, does this mean sark has gotten his guys in there?
    Can we get a breakdown by staffs. MB, CK, MH, WT, MC and DL. That would be really interesting.
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  • dncdnc Member Posts: 56,825
    46XiJCAB said:

    rodmansrage said:

    dnc said:



    We now have hard evidence Ducks can't develop.

    Always nice when actual data confirms your priors.





    Twelve 4 stars drafted out of 87 is worse than I wood have guessed quite honestly.
    texas, wtf? so, does this mean sark has gotten his guys in there?
    Can we get a breakdown by staffs. MB, CK, MH, WT, MC and DL. That would be really interesting.
    Go for it
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  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    edited April 2023
    dnc said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    rodmansrage said:

    dnc said:



    We now have hard evidence Ducks can't develop.

    Always nice when actual data confirms your priors.





    Twelve 4 stars drafted out of 87 is worse than I wood have guessed quite honestly.
    texas, wtf? so, does this mean sark has gotten his guys in there?
    Can we get a breakdown by staffs. MB, CK, MH, WT, MC and DL. That would be really interesting.
    Go for it
    I did my 20 whole minutes of "data driven research" on Oregon's overall 5* success.

    Pass.
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