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Ups and downs of political forecasting

RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 106,050 Founders Club
in Tug Tavern
I'm thinking this Trump indictment helps DeSantis. He made the correct move. In fact McCarthy and the rest are all right to criticize this.

It has energized the base as they like to say

However I think it also heightens Trump fatigue. DeSantis becomes a way to punish the democrats without running Trump again

Ron stock is up today on the RaceBannon Report
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  • thechatchthechatch Member Posts: 6,295
    Agreed 100%

    Ron is ideal for me. Common sense policies that enrage the far left w/o alienating the soft as baby shit middle.

    Soccer moms in Issaquah can vote for him without getting their house egged or their kids ostracized at school.

    Pair him with someone that can help carry a swing state like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, AZ, or Michigan and let’s forget about the NE and West Coast altogether.
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  • DerekJohnsonDerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 63,591 Founders Club
    RaceBannon said:

    I'm thinking this Trump indictment helps DeSantis. He made the correct move. In fact McCarthy and the rest are all right to criticize this.

    It has energized the base as they like to say

    However I think it also heightens Trump fatigue. DeSantis becomes a way to punish the democrats without running Trump again

    Ron stock is up today on the RaceBannon Report

    The only thing that stops Trump in '24 is something health-related or if he gets the Kennedy treatment. Otherwise, it is Trump all the way. As sure as the turning of the earth.
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  • thechatchthechatch Member Posts: 6,295
    That’s what the DNC is hoping
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  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 106,050 Founders Club
    The Republicans haven't been this united in years but it's the act that has them enraged not a sudden love of Trump

    I did title this ups and downs because we have a long way to go
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  • WestlinnDuckWestlinnDuck Member Posts: 15,393 Standard Supporter
    RaceBannon said:

    The Republicans haven't been this united in years but it's the act that has them enraged not a sudden love of Trump

    I did title this ups and downs because we have a long way to go

    The sad thing is that people who care about the rule of law and equal application of law are appalled at this banana republic behavior. Haven't seem one definitive statement from a major dem politician or political commentator about this outrageous indictment. The dazzler, mello and JW approve as does the former speaker of the house and major leftard commentators.

    https://ace.mu.nu/



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  • SledogSledog Member Posts: 33,963 Standard Supporter
    Trumps numbers are up. I see some democrats saying they'll now vote for Trump. They just assured his presidency.
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  • MelloDawgMelloDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 6,712 Swaye's Wigwam
    edited March 2023
    Sledog said:

    Trumps numbers are up. I see some democrats saying they'll now vote for Trump. They just assured his presidency.

    My life was better in 2020 than 2016. He absolutely should run again and be the candidate.
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  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 106,050 Founders Club
    MelloDawg said:

    Sledog said:

    Trumps numbers are up. I see some democrats saying they'll now vote for Trump. They just assured his presidency.

    My life was better in 2020 than 2016. He absolutely should run again and be the candidate.
    Even though we have no idea who you voted for I believe that your life was better in January of 2020 than it was in 2016.

    I had two of my best years in 18 and 19 so it made sense to vote for Trump. DAWG sense

    Hopefully you were as smart as I am

    Personality doesn't pay the bills. Good policy does
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  • BendintheriverBendintheriver Member Posts: 6,045 Standard Supporter
    RaceBannon said:

    I'm thinking this Trump indictment helps DeSantis. He made the correct move. In fact McCarthy and the rest are all right to criticize this.

    It has energized the base as they like to say

    However I think it also heightens Trump fatigue. DeSantis becomes a way to punish the democrats without running Trump again

    Ron stock is up today on the RaceBannon Report

    There is a problem with your theory. Rep voters think they are punishing the establishment by not voting when their guy didn't get the nod. In other words, if Trump were to lose, those hard core Trump supporters are not going to vote for Desantis. There is clear history/data on this point. They won't vote for DeSantis to the detriment of their own pocketbook and freedoms.

    Again, the left is united in their hatred for everyone who does not think, talk, act and follow their socialism. The Reps believe in personal responsibility, live and let live, fiscal responsibility, hatred of their fellow man is not what holds their political persuasion together. The hatred that is the defining characteristic of the rats, is powerful. They literally vote for criminals if they think it can give them the power over the people. Reps don't have that kind of dark uniting soul associated with their politics.

    The perfect example are Those that were pissed off at Bush 1 for "No new Taxes" and voted for Perot. They knew he wasn't going to win but they wanted to make a statement. They are who put us in the messes we have been in ever since.
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  • WestlinnDuckWestlinnDuck Member Posts: 15,393 Standard Supporter
    MelloDawg said:

    Sledog said:

    Trumps numbers are up. I see some democrats saying they'll now vote for Trump. They just assured his presidency.

    My life was better in 2020 than 2016. He absolutely should run again and be the candidate.
    So was the vast majority of Americans in March of 2020 then the deep state and blue state governors and mayors blew up the economy and put tens of millions of Americans out of work. In March of 2020 middle class Americans were having real wage growth they hadn't had in decades. So of course, mello voted for a dementia patient that was bought and paid for by the chicoms who is an economic illiterate. Good work.
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  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    MelloDawg said:

    Sledog said:

    Trumps numbers are up. I see some democrats saying they'll now vote for Trump. They just assured his presidency.

    My life was better in 2020 than 2016. He absolutely should run again and be the candidate.
    This is a lie.
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  • thechatchthechatch Member Posts: 6,295
    edited March 2023
    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2017 than it is today.

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2020 than it is today

    Unless you’re listed on the investor signature pages at Moderna. Covid and China Joe has been great for big pharma and the CCP.

    American Small Business openers and regular citizens, not so much.

    That is an absolute fact, and cannot be hidden from.
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  • LebamDawgLebamDawg Member Posts: 8,716 Standard Supporter
    Does not really matter - the Dems will win the presidency

    I won't vote for an R or a D - I am shooting for being a part of the 1% (in election voting returns)
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  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,949
    thechatch said:

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2017 than it is today.

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2020 than it is today

    Unless you’re listed on the investor signature pages at Moderna. Covid and China Joe has been great for big pharma and the CCP.

    American Small Business openers and regular citizens, not so much.

    That is an absolute fact, and cannot be hidden from.

    What a pantload!

    #StillLikeableThough!
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  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 106,050 Founders Club
    HHusky said:

    thechatch said:

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2017 than it is today.

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2020 than it is today

    Unless you’re listed on the investor signature pages at Moderna. Covid and China Joe has been great for big pharma and the CCP.

    American Small Business openers and regular citizens, not so much.

    That is an absolute fact, and cannot be hidden from.

    What a pantload!

    #StillLikeableThough!
    Broken

    Beyond repair
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  • thechatchthechatch Member Posts: 6,295
    HHusky said:

    thechatch said:

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2017 than it is today.

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2020 than it is today

    Unless you’re listed on the investor signature pages at Moderna. Covid and China Joe has been great for big pharma and the CCP.

    American Small Business openers and regular citizens, not so much.

    That is an absolute fact, and cannot be hidden from.

    What a pantload!

    #StillLikeableThough!
    Show me the lie
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  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    HHusky said:

    thechatch said:

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2017 than it is today.

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2020 than it is today

    Unless you’re listed on the investor signature pages at Moderna. Covid and China Joe has been great for big pharma and the CCP.

    American Small Business openers and regular citizens, not so much.

    That is an absolute fact, and cannot be hidden from.

    What a pantload!

    #StillLikeableThough!
    Fuck off
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  • WestlinnDuckWestlinnDuck Member Posts: 15,393 Standard Supporter
    thechatch said:

    HHusky said:

    thechatch said:

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2017 than it is today.

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2020 than it is today

    Unless you’re listed on the investor signature pages at Moderna. Covid and China Joe has been great for big pharma and the CCP.

    American Small Business openers and regular citizens, not so much.

    That is an absolute fact, and cannot be hidden from.

    What a pantload!

    #StillLikeableThough!
    Show me the lie
    The dazzler lies, but doesn't like to show his work.
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  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,949
    RaceBannon said:

    DeSantis becomes a way to punish the democrats without running Trump again

    This is all TugCons ever mean by "policy".

    #QuietPartSaidOutLoud

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  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,949
    WestlinnDuck said:

    thechatch said:

    HHusky said:

    thechatch said:

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2017 than it is today.

    EVERYONE’S life was better March 1 2020 than it is today

    Unless you’re listed on the investor signature pages at Moderna. Covid and China Joe has been great for big pharma and the CCP.

    American Small Business openers and regular citizens, not so much.

    That is an absolute fact, and cannot be hidden from.

    What a pantload!

    #StillLikeableThough!
    Show me the lie
    The dazzler lies, but doesn't like to show his work.
    My life just gets better every year.

    Sucks to be you.
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