Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.

Potential Fuckery Afoot in P12 title race.

Doogles
Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,798 Founders Club
There is a decent chance the end of the year can see a 4 way tie for 2nd place in title game.

Utah beats Oregon.

UCLA beats USC.

2 loss UW beat 2 loss Oregon beat 2 loss UCLA beat 2 loss SC(andUW)

I have no clue what tiebreaker would exist here, but in this scenario UW would likely have the highest CFP ranking of the 4 and best overall record.


God Damn ASU game.



«13

Comments

  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,798 Founders Club
    UWs most likely path to the title game relies on Beavlet winning the civil war.

    SC will probably crush UCLA and Oregon is favored to beat Utah (though we'll see what's up with nix)

    This scenario SC is in and we're in a three way tie with Oregon, Utah. Again not sure how it works, but if it's ranking we're probably at the top, overall record we're at the top, and record against the three we are the best as we didn't play Utah.
  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696
    Ute could technically catch teamwide FBA and lose to Colorado, thus creating a five-way tie for first.

    No way is UW highest CFP ranking in this scenario. Would easily have the worst loss of the bunch (ASU).
  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,798 Founders Club
    edited November 2022
    Pulled from Pac website. We are probably fucked.


    Multiple-Team Ties

    In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the following procedures will be used. After one team has an advantage and is “seeded”, all remaining teams in the multiple-team tie-breaker will repeat the multiple-team tie-breaking procedure. If at any point the multiple-team tie is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will be applied.

    1) Head-to-head (best cumulative win percentage in games among the tied teams). If not every tied team has played each other, go to step 2.

    2) Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common among all teams involved in the tie)

    3) Record against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings.

    When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams.

    4) Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule)

    5)Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games.

    6)Coin toss


  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,798 Founders Club
    edited November 2022

    Ute could technically catch teamwide FBA and lose to Colorado, thus creating a five-way tie for first.

    No way is UW highest CFP ranking in this scenario. Would easily have the worst loss of the bunch (ASU).

    You're probably right, but the recency of the losses of UTE, Oregon, UCLA, and SC in these scenarios have them all trending the wrong way while UW would finish most likely top 12 assuming they win out. It's possible.

    It also appears it doesn't really matter as cfp ranking has zero meaning with the tiebreaker.

    BEAT BUFFS, NOTHING ELSE MATTERS
  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696
    Doogles said:

    Ute could technically catch teamwide FBA and lose to Colorado, thus creating a five-way tie for first.

    No way is UW highest CFP ranking in this scenario. Would easily have the worst loss of the bunch (ASU).

    You're probably right, but the recency of the losses of UTE, Oregon, UCLA, and SC in these scenarios have them all trending the wrong way while UW would finish most likely top 12 assuming they win out. It's possible.

    It also appears it doesn't really matter as cfp ranking has zero meaning with the tiebreaker.

    BEAT BUFFS, NOTHING ELSE MATTERS
    Holy shit, I didn't realize this whole time that UCLA lost. That's easily then the worst loss of the group.
  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,798 Founders Club

    Doogles said:

    Pulled from Pac website. We are probably fucked.


    Multiple-Team Ties

    In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the following procedures will be used. After one team has an advantage and is “seeded”, all remaining teams in the multiple-team tie-breaker will repeat the multiple-team tie-breaking procedure. If at any point the multiple-team tie is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will be applied.

    1) Head-to-head (best cumulative win percentage in games among the tied teams). If not every tied team has played each other, go to step 2.

    2) Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common among all teams involved in the tie)

    3) Record against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings.

    When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams.

    4) Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule)

    5)Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games.

    6)Coin toss


    There's a mathematics possibility, but the most realistic hope could be to win out and back into a NY6 like in 2017
    This is the way. If SC wins out they are going to the playoff.
  • NeGgaPlEaSe
    NeGgaPlEaSe Member Posts: 6,007
    Doogles said:

    There is a decent chance the end of the year can see a 4 way tie for 2nd place in title game.

    Utah beats Oregon.

    UCLA beats USC.

    2 loss UW beat 2 loss Oregon beat 2 loss UCLA beat 2 loss SC(andUW)

    I have no clue what tiebreaker would exist here, but in this scenario UW would likely have the highest CFP ranking of the 4 and best overall record.


    God Damn ASU game.



    Oregon will loose 2 games. No way the beat Oregon State
  • CFetters_Nacho_Lover
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,770 Founders Club
    Utah & Oregon each have 2 losses but only 1 conference loss. I assume conference record takes precedence over overall record.

    If so, UW needs each of UCLA, Utah, & Oregon to lose 1 more game.

    Oregon beats Utah but loses the civil war and USC beats UCLA is the most likely path to the Pac12 championship game.