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Kari Lake
Comments
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You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
Thanks for making my point.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.SFGbob said:
Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btwSledog said:
They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.SFGbob said:
Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.Goduckies said:
Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btwSledog said:
They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.SFGbob said:
Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
Yup. And look is there fraud? Sure, but that ismt making up votes as the election is going on... in this mail in voting deal, the democrats are really good at ballot harvesting.... that's where they won 2020 and now 2022. GOP needs to get their ballot harvesting in gear if they want to win those statesSFGbob said:
It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.Goduckies said:
Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btwSledog said:
They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.SFGbob said:
Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing. -
This is so over.Goduckies said:
Yup. And look is there fraud? Sure, but that ismt making up votes as the election is going on... in this mail in voting deal, the democrats are really good at ballot harvesting.... that's where they won 2020 and now 2022. GOP needs to get their ballot harvesting in gear if they want to win those statesSFGbob said:
It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.Goduckies said:
Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btwSledog said:
They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.SFGbob said:
Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
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It better be. The Throbber bought Costco size jars of Vaseline this week. Rubbing one out to former TV anchor Kari Lake just isn't the same as GOV. Kari Lake.Bob_C said:
This is so over.Goduckies said:
Yup. And look is there fraud? Sure, but that ismt making up votes as the election is going on... in this mail in voting deal, the democrats are really good at ballot harvesting.... that's where they won 2020 and now 2022. GOP needs to get their ballot harvesting in gear if they want to win those statesSFGbob said:
It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.Goduckies said:
Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btwSledog said:
They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.SFGbob said:
Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.Sledog said:
A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.Bob_C said:
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.SFGbob said:
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.46XiJCAB said:
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.Bob_C said:
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.Kaepsknee said:Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
