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Kari Lake

135

Comments

  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 106,080 Founders Club
    Kaepsknee said:
    C'mon man you're a great Republican
  • KaepskneeKaepsknee Member Posts: 14,885
    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
  • Bob_CBob_C Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 10,645 Swaye's Wigwam
    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
  • SFGbobSFGbob Member Posts: 32,252
    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    It does if the majority of early voting was DIM. Are you saying that the majority of day of ballots can’t be Republicans? That is the trend. If it’s 55-45 Lake wins.
  • SFGbobSFGbob Member Posts: 32,252
    46XiJCAB said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    It does if the majority of early voting was DIM. Are you saying that the majority of day of ballots can’t be Republicans? That is the trend. If it’s 55-45 Lake wins.
    Have people completely forgotten 2020?
  • 46XiJCAB46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    It does if the majority of early voting was DIM. Are you saying that the majority of day of ballots can’t be Republicans? That is the trend. If it’s 55-45 Lake wins.
    Have people completely forgotten 2020?
    No. But I’m also going to believe that the people crunching the numbers of remaining ballots know what’s going on in AZ. Until they’re proven wrong.
  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 106,080 Founders Club
    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    It does if the majority of early voting was DIM. Are you saying that the majority of day of ballots can’t be Republicans? That is the trend. If it’s 55-45 Lake wins.
    Have people completely forgotten 2020?
    Apparently a lot of voters did or they liked the carnage to America and the economy
  • Bob_CBob_C Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 10,645 Swaye's Wigwam
    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
  • SledogSledog Member Posts: 33,976 Standard Supporter
    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
  • Bob_CBob_C Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 10,645 Swaye's Wigwam
    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Thanks for making my point.
  • SFGbobSFGbob Member Posts: 32,252
    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.
  • SledogSledog Member Posts: 33,976 Standard Supporter
    SFGbob said:

    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.
    They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.
  • GoduckiesGoduckies Member Posts: 6,631
    edited November 2022
    Sledog said:

    SFGbob said:

    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.
    They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.
    Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btw
  • SFGbobSFGbob Member Posts: 32,252
    Goduckies said:

    Sledog said:

    SFGbob said:

    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.
    They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.
    Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btw
    It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.
  • GoduckiesGoduckies Member Posts: 6,631
    SFGbob said:

    Goduckies said:

    Sledog said:

    SFGbob said:

    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.
    They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.
    Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btw
    It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.
    Yup. And look is there fraud? Sure, but that ismt making up votes as the election is going on... in this mail in voting deal, the democrats are really good at ballot harvesting.... that's where they won 2020 and now 2022. GOP needs to get their ballot harvesting in gear if they want to win those states
  • Bob_CBob_C Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 10,645 Swaye's Wigwam
    Goduckies said:

    SFGbob said:

    Goduckies said:

    Sledog said:

    SFGbob said:

    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.
    They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.
    Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btw
    It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.
    Yup. And look is there fraud? Sure, but that ismt making up votes as the election is going on... in this mail in voting deal, the democrats are really good at ballot harvesting.... that's where they won 2020 and now 2022. GOP needs to get their ballot harvesting in gear if they want to win those states
    This is so over.

  • PurpleThrobberPurpleThrobber Member Posts: 44,280 Standard Supporter
    Bob_C said:

    Goduckies said:

    SFGbob said:

    Goduckies said:

    Sledog said:

    SFGbob said:

    Sledog said:

    Bob_C said:

    SFGbob said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    Bob_C said:

    Kaepsknee said:

    Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.

    https://www.azcentral.com/elections/results/race/2022-11-08-governor-AZ-3014/?itm_source=oembed&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults

    Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
    Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
    No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
    You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.

    What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.
    A very large number of repubs were afaird to mail their ballots as they disappeared in 2020. They handed them in on election day. USPS can not be trusted.
    Yeah, I know that's the belief that keeps people warm at night but there is zero evidence to support the belief that more of those election day handed in ballots are Republican than Rat. As it is right now Hobbs lead is 27,000 and the counting of these "late" votes hasn't done much to cut into her lead.
    They are making votes not just counting. Look at the big picture.
    Making votes.... right lol there are Republicans there too btw
    It's the cold comfort they are tell themselves when Lake doesn't close the gap.
    Yup. And look is there fraud? Sure, but that ismt making up votes as the election is going on... in this mail in voting deal, the democrats are really good at ballot harvesting.... that's where they won 2020 and now 2022. GOP needs to get their ballot harvesting in gear if they want to win those states
    This is so over.

    It better be. The Throbber bought Costco size jars of Vaseline this week. Rubbing one out to former TV anchor Kari Lake just isn't the same as GOV. Kari Lake.
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