Shit poast about using TBS metrics to predict the rest of our Pac games

ASU – They signed 29 blue chips over the 2014- 17 period compared to 30 for us and given the lack of our having a major talent edge over them at the time, it’s not surprising we struggled in the desert. But this is a home game and we’re favored by 19.5. I’m not sure if we cover, but this is a type of game Pete’s squad should win.
Outpaced us in talent previously but undercoached which explains a lot of the oscillation in head to head matchups. Even if Herm is the real deal it will take a while for it all to come together. Glad we have them at home though. I think we win but I think it's a closer game than the spread is indicating bc of exactly as you are saying there's a lot of talent parity.

BYE – BYE still sucks and we aren’t losing to them at home.
The Big Ten other than Ohio st looks like shit. Cal beat BYE. I might be more worried if this was in their house and their program was super hyped up after a big road upset.

UCLA – They signed 49 four/five star kids between 2014- 17 and the game is in Pasadena. On paper and at the beginning of the season, this seems like the type of game Pete would find a way to loose. But it seems like Chip is going to take a while to get his reads down in West Hollywood, so it feels like this game is a gimme now.
Chip isn't putting this team together by early October if ever. We should roll. Only wild card I would foresee is if it ends up being 100 degrees+. The Rose bowl sucks major balls if it's that hot. For our Dwags and for Race's health I pray it ain't that hot. Could end up being a hot slugfest which would set us up poorly for the next week...

OREGON – 32 blue chips signed between 2014- 17. In spite of how much crap we give our feather friends since 70-21, there’s still a ton of talent on this roster. We should be very concerned about this game based on the talent level of Oregon and it being in Eugene. It’s tied with Stanford for the hardest game left on the schedule IMHO. Also Oregon has a bye the week prior so competitive advantage them.
They have plenty of "talent" but no player development and mostly poor coaching. Herbert & the bye/home are literally the only reasons they have a shot. I expect them to get exposed as PAC 12 play starts.

COLORADO – 5 blue chips between 2014- 17 and a home game. A Pete UW team should handle this type of game easy.

Yeap

CAL – 8 blue chips from 2014- 17. Again, despite being on the road, this is the type of game Pete’s team wins even if it’s close in the 1st half.
Yeap

STANFORD – 34 blue chips. Roughly equal talent level and this game is for all the marbles in the North. But we should be up for this game in a big way and I think we handle Stanford at home.
Having CB's that can't just get out jumped by their receivers should alleviate our defensive woes against them from last year. Still concerned about our LB's allowing a huge game for Love.

OREGON ST – 5 blue chips. Easy win.

WSU – 8 blue chips. Jimmy No Balls owns the Kewg.

Yeap
Yeap

I see 1.5 moderate possibility losses left on the schedule. I don't care that Jake looked like shit, we expected that, putting away Utah on the road was a big first step in securing the North and we didn't step on our own dick.

I'd be curious to see what the talent matchups look like for some of the other Top 5-15 teams out there.

YellowSnow said:

UW_Doog_Bot said:

ASU – They signed 29 blue chips over the 2014- 17 period compared to 30 for us and given the lack of our having a major talent edge over them at the time, it’s not surprising we struggled in the desert. But this is a home game and we’re favored by 19.5. I’m not sure if we cover, but this is a type of game Pete’s squad should win.
Outpaced us in talent previously but undercoached which explains a lot of the oscillation in head to head matchups. Even if Herm is the real deal it will take a while for it all to come together. Glad we have them at home though. I think we win but I think it's a closer game than the spread is indicating bc of exactly as you are saying there's a lot of talent parity.

BYE – BYE still sucks and we aren’t losing to them at home.
The Big Ten other than Ohio st looks like shit. Cal beat BYE. I might be more worried if this was in their house and their program was super hyped up after a big road upset.

UCLA – They signed 49 four/five star kids between 2014- 17 and the game is in Pasadena. On paper and at the beginning of the season, this seems like the type of game Pete would find a way to loose. But it seems like Chip is going to take a while to get his reads down in West Hollywood, so it feels like this game is a gimme now.
Chip isn't putting this team together by early October if ever. We should roll. Only wild card I would foresee is if it ends up being 100 degrees+. The Rose bowl sucks major balls if it's that hot. For our Dwags and for Race's health I pray it ain't that hot. Could end up being a hot slugfest which would set us up poorly for the next week...

OREGON – 32 blue chips signed between 2014- 17. In spite of how much crap we give our feather friends since 70-21, there’s still a ton of talent on this roster. We should be very concerned about this game based on the talent level of Oregon and it being in Eugene. It’s tied with Stanford for the hardest game left on the schedule IMHO. Also Oregon has a bye the week prior so competitive advantage them.
They have plenty of "talent" but no player development and mostly poor coaching. Herbert & the bye/home are literally the only reasons they have a shot. I expect them to get exposed as PAC 12 play starts.

COLORADO – 5 blue chips between 2014- 17 and a home game. A Pete UW team should handle this type of game easy.

Yeap

CAL – 8 blue chips from 2014- 17. Again, despite being on the road, this is the type of game Pete’s team wins even if it’s close in the 1st half.
Yeap

STANFORD – 34 blue chips. Roughly equal talent level and this game is for all the marbles in the North. But we should be up for this game in a big way and I think we handle Stanford at home.
Having CB's that can't just get out jumped by their receivers should alleviate our defensive woes against them from last year. Still concerned about our LB's allowing a huge game for Love.

OREGON ST – 5 blue chips. Easy win.

WSU – 8 blue chips. Jimmy No Balls owns the Kewg.

Yeap
Yeap

I see 1.5 moderate possibility losses left on the schedule. I don't care that Jake looked like shit, we expected that, putting away Utah on the road was a big first step in securing the North and we didn't step on our own dick.

I'd be curious to see what the talent matchups look like for some of the other Top 5-15 teams out there.

I think we're going to be in some ugly, white knuckle games the rest of the way because of the QB position. But I have faith this corching staff's ability to beat the "have nots" and go 2-0 in the "equal talent" home games. I don't know why Oregon scares me so much, but I just have a bad feeling about that one.

Duckade PTSDPOTW