Shit poast about using TBS metrics to predict the rest of our Pac games
TL; DR: Pete takes care of business against the little sisters of the poor, wins at home against = talent, and doesn’t get blown out against the blue bloods.
If we use attempt to use this trend to predict the rest of the conference season, here’s how things could play out in a dealing in hypotheticals bullshit type of fashion. Note – I am including how many 4/5 star recruits each school signed in the 2014- 17 cycles and left off 2018 because these kids are too young to have much of an impact yet. Shout out to @CokeGreaterThanPepsi and the TSIO website for this data. http://theseasonisover.com/recruiting-data/
ASU – They signed 29 blue chips over the 2014- 17 period compared to 30 for us and given the lack of our having a major talent edge over them at the time, it’s not surprising we struggled in the desert. But this is a home game and we’re favored by 19.5. I’m not sure if we cover, but this is a type of game Pete’s squad should win.
BYE – BYE still sucks and we aren’t losing to them at home.
UCLA – They signed 49 four/five star kids between 2014- 17 and the game is in Pasadena. On paper and at the beginning of the season, this seems like the type of game Pete would find a way to loose. But it seems like Chip is going to take a while to get his reads down in West Hollywood, so it feels like this game is a gimme now.
OREGON – 32 blue chips signed between 2014- 17. In spite of how much crap we give our feather friends since 70-21, there’s still a ton of talent on this roster. We should be very concerned about this game based on the talent level of Oregon and it being in Eugene. It’s tied with Stanford for the hardest game left on the schedule IMHO. Also Oregon has a bye the week prior so competitive advantage them.
COLORADO – 5 blue chips between 2014- 17 and a home game. A Pete UW team should handle this type of game easy.
CAL – 8 blue chips from 2014- 17. Again, despite being on the road, this is the type of game Pete’s team wins even if it’s close in the 1st half.
STANFORD – 34 blue chips. Roughly equal talent level and this game is for all the marbles in the North. But we should be up for this game in a big way and I think we handle Stanford at home.
OREGON ST – 5 blue chips. Easy win.
WSU – 8 blue chips. Jimmy No Balls owns the Kewg.
Conclusion: I don’t think we run the table in the Pac, but an 8-1 in conference season is still a reasonable expectation in spite of Browning and the OL.
Comments
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Question to ponder: Did Pete ever have a QB as mentally fragile as Browning while at BSU? I don't recall that being so. Thus, with a mentally tough, competitive QB that throws a decent ball, perhaps Pete has a couple more big W's in his UW record.
Agree with anyone who thinks Haener should be getting snaps right now. If I were coaching UW, I'd have a 2QB system in place, which is the ultimate way to bench a fledgling starter long enough to put games out of reach, without him "losing his job" or creating a QB controversy. -
I think this is a solid poont. And Browning certainly has played a role in Pete's teams not doing better against the equal talent teams on the road (e.g., Stanford and ASU in 2016) and not being able to get a win against the blue bloods. But it's not a variable we can change in 2018 since gumby, baby giraffe can't get broken.TurdBuffer said:Question to ponder: Did Pete ever have a QB as mentally fragile as Browning while at BSU? I don't recall that being so. Thus, with a mentally tough, competitive QB that throws a decent ball, perhaps Pete has a couple more big W's in his UW record.
Agree with anyone who thinks Haener should be getting snaps right now. If I were coaching UW, I'd have a 2QB system in place, which is the ultimate way to bench a fledgling starter long enough to put games out of reach, without him "losing his job" or creating a QB controversy. -
Who knew @Tequilla had a freakishly tall brother?
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I answer questions in my head via gifs now. Boss says "Hey you have to work an extra shift today" and I think...YellowSnow said:
...before I even form words to say "no." -
YellowSnow said:
One of the biggest disappointments of Petersen’s tenure at UW to date we can all agree has been his ability to knock off an opponent a vastly more talented roster (based on TBS rankings) than ours. Based on the Boise resume, I suspect we all expected this to have happened by now and it hasn’t which is sad. Since we turned the corner after the ASU debacle of 2015, his teams have run the table against the “have nots” of the Pac- i.e., WSU, OSU, CAL, U of A, Utah and Colorado. In the same time frame, we’ve gone 4-2 against programs with roughly equal TBS rankings to us?- i.e., ASU, Stanford and Oregon. And then Pete is 0-4 against USC (’16 version), PSU, Alabama and Auburn. I’m leaving UCLA out of this analysis because well….UCLA, and Drunk Sark in 2015.
TL; DR: Pete takes care of business against the little sisters of the poor, wins at home against = talent, and doesn’t get blown out against the blue bloods.
If we use attempt to use this trend to predict the rest of the conference season, here’s how things could play out in a dealing in hypotheticals bullshit type of fashion. Note – I am including how many 4/5 star recruits each school signed in the 2014- 17 cycles and left off 2018 because these kids are too young to have much of an impact yet. Shout out to @CokeGreaterThanPepsi and the TSIO website for this data. http://theseasonisover.com/recruiting-data/
ASU – They signed 29 blue chips over the 2014- 17 period compared to 30 for us and given the lack of our having a major talent edge over them at the time, it’s not surprising we struggled in the desert. But this is a home game and we’re favored by 19.5. I’m not sure if we cover, but this is a type of game Pete’s squad should win.
BYE – BYE still sucks and we aren’t losing to them at home.
UCLA – They signed 49 four/five star kids between 2014- 17 and the game is in Pasadena. On paper and at the beginning of the season, this seems like the type of game Pete would find a way to loose. But it seems like Chip is going to take a while to get his reads down in West Hollywood, so it feels like this game is a gimme now.
OREGON – 32 blue chips signed between 2014- 17. In spite of how much crap we give our feather friends since 70-21, there’s still a ton of talent on this roster. We should be very concerned about this game based on the talent level of Oregon and it being in Eugene. It’s tied with Stanford for the hardest game left on the schedule IMHO. Also Oregon has a bye the week prior so competitive advantage them.
COLORADO – 5 blue chips between 2014- 17 and a home game. A Pete UW team should handle this type of game easy.
CAL – 8 blue chips from 2014- 17. Again, despite being on the road, this is the type of game Pete’s team wins even if it’s close in the 1st half.
STANFORD – 34 blue chips. Roughly equal talent level and this game is for all the marbles in the North. But we should be up for this game in a big way and I think we handle Stanford at home.
OREGON ST – 5 blue chips. Easy win.
WSU – 8 blue chips. Jimmy No Balls owns the Kewg.
Conclusion: I don’t think we run the table in the Pac, but an 8-1 in conference season is still a reasonable expectation in spite of Browning and the OL.
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Rec'd if for nothing else still talking shit on BYE. They suck and so does the other UW.
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Swaye said:
I answer questions in my head via gifs now. Boss says "Hey you have to work an extra shift today" and I think...YellowSnow said:
...before I even form words to say "no."
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Run the table or gtfo. Tired of pete’s bullshit
