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Your 2018 Difficulty of Matchup Power Rankings
Comments
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Notice I've got a lot of hedges in my statement. I believe in probability and statistics. I'd say there's easily a 2 game variance possible(and that's without major occurrences like injuries etc.) built into the range. 8-4 to 12-0 possible(though less likely, very few teams go undefeated) as well as 9-3 or 11-1 which I think are much more likely outcomes. I think if UW played this schedule 100 times the curve would come to rest right in that 10-2 or maybe 9-3 as the mode with a negative skew.Pitchfork51 said:you guys really know how to set yourself up for disappointment
That's at least how I would view our talent translating to probabilities of wins compared to the rest of the dreck we are playing. I expect Auburn to be a loss but most of the rest of the PAC looks like another year of dogshit. If we can't beat BYU and ND state then something is seriously wrong.
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If we go to the Rose I'll be going with my pops. He's also UW alumni(class of 67', Chilton computer pictured below) and neither of us have ever been to a Rosebowl.YellowSnow said:
Spot on my robotic doog. Auburn is going to be tuff sledding for our Dwags. Is what it is. Honestly, if we aren't good enough to win a natty (we aren't) I want to go to my first Rose Bowl.UW_Doog_Bot said:It seems like 10-2 with a conference loss is a realistic projection looking at the schedule. If that happens I think we win the Norf', win the Pac(who in the South would beat us? USC if they end up with a QB?), and at least make another NY6. In this case, if we don't make the playoffs, that would mean playing the Rose right? I'd take that. Especially if we got over the hump and won it to end the season.
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NoDak likely better than Oregon state
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chinned becausse it looks impressive - didn't understand shit but looks very impressiveUW_Doog_Bot said:
Notice I've got a lot of hedges in my statement. I believe in probability and statistics. I'd say there's easily a 2 game variance possible(and that's without major occurrences like injuries etc.) built into the range. 8-4 to 12-0 possible(though less likely, very few teams go undefeated) as well as 9-3 or 11-1 which I think are much more likely outcomes. I think if UW played this schedule 100 times the curve would come to rest right in that 10-2 or maybe 9-3 as the mode with a negative skew.Pitchfork51 said:you guys really know how to set yourself up for disappointment
That's at least how I would view our talent translating to probabilities of wins compared to the rest of the dreck we are playing. I expect Auburn to be a loss but most of the rest of the PAC looks like another year of dogshit. If we can't beat BYU and ND state then something is seriously wrong. -
*chimpressiveLebamDawg said:
chinned becausse it looks impressive - didn't understand shit but looks very impressiveUW_Doog_Bot said:
Notice I've got a lot of hedges in my statement. I believe in probability and statistics. I'd say there's easily a 2 game variance possible(and that's without major occurrences like injuries etc.) built into the range. 8-4 to 12-0 possible(though less likely, very few teams go undefeated) as well as 9-3 or 11-1 which I think are much more likely outcomes. I think if UW played this schedule 100 times the curve would come to rest right in that 10-2 or maybe 9-3 as the mode with a negative skew.Pitchfork51 said:you guys really know how to set yourself up for disappointment
That's at least how I would view our talent translating to probabilities of wins compared to the rest of the dreck we are playing. I expect Auburn to be a loss but most of the rest of the PAC looks like another year of dogshit. If we can't beat BYU and ND state then something is seriously wrong. -
Do you have a player on the team named Chim?UW_Doog_Bot said:
*chimpressiveLebamDawg said:
chinned becausse it looks impressive - didn't understand shit but looks very impressiveUW_Doog_Bot said:
Notice I've got a lot of hedges in my statement. I believe in probability and statistics. I'd say there's easily a 2 game variance possible(and that's without major occurrences like injuries etc.) built into the range. 8-4 to 12-0 possible(though less likely, very few teams go undefeated) as well as 9-3 or 11-1 which I think are much more likely outcomes. I think if UW played this schedule 100 times the curve would come to rest right in that 10-2 or maybe 9-3 as the mode with a negative skew.Pitchfork51 said:you guys really know how to set yourself up for disappointment
That's at least how I would view our talent translating to probabilities of wins compared to the rest of the dreck we are playing. I expect Auburn to be a loss but most of the rest of the PAC looks like another year of dogshit. If we can't beat BYU and ND state then something is seriously wrong. -
Depending on the year BYU is a non cupcake but unfortunately for us they are in cupcake mode right now
@creepycoug remembers when the Canes opened the season in the Wasatch range and got beat when the Canes were the Canes -
Damn it. Dont drink and poast kids.
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Wrong.gifUW_Doog_Bot said:Damn it. Dont drink and poast kids.
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Is Oregon supposed to be good? Their idiotic fans are claiming an offseason natty, but I just don't see them as anything above 7-5 with Cristobal and the talent has dropped off from what it was from 2007-2014. There's no way I'd put them above fifth or sixth. Herbert never screamed anything beyond honorable mention All-Pack 12...no idea why he has so much hype...
I don't partake in these types of things in the winter before signing day...way too many variables...
