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Stupid early guess at the CFP teams and who else fills the NY6 bowels

CFP:
SEC champ
ACC champ
Two of these four teams: Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ohio State

NY6 locks:

ACC - Miami and Clemson
SEC - Alabama, Auburn, and Georgia
B1G - Wisconsin and either Ohio State or Penn State
XII - Oklahoma and TCU
Group of 5 - Someone (probably UCF)
Pac-12 - Stanford or USC



I see 11 locks and only 1 free spot available. The only viable way for Washington to make the NY6 is for Wisconsin to beat Ohio State so bad that the Buckeyes fall below the Huskies in the final CFP rankings. It's likely that the SEC and B1G will get three teams in the NY6 while the Pac-12 will only get one.


TL, DR: UW headed to the Alamo or Holiday unless shit gets really weird.
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Comments

  • UWhuskytskeet
    UWhuskytskeet Member Posts: 7,113
    Do we? play UCF if we make a NY6?
  • Bread
    Bread Member Posts: 4,073
    edited November 2017

    Do we? play UCF if we make a NY6?

    I'm hoping for a Wisconsin loss so we can play them

    And don't count out memphis, or the Fresno rematch.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    whlinder said:

    Why do you have Oklahoma And TCU?

    One of them has to lose. And if it’s TCU that’s 3 losses. We’d have a chance to pass them in that case. They just played Baylor so their SOS compared to last week will take a hit.

    That’s the group and it’s pretty much set, and it’s totally a Stanford OR USC situation. The final bid is Oklahoma AND TCU if TCU wins. If TCU loses it opens up the possibility of them falling out. Same with tOSU if they lose badly.

    Hopefully Fresno makes it to the top 25 and Cuog stays there. If that happened we’d actually compare favorably to Penn State whose best win is Northwestern.

    I stupidly assumed that conferences were guaranteed a second bid if their champion went to the playoff. That doesn't happen in the Rose/Sugar CFP semifinal years, because this system is dumb sometimes.

    Scratch TCU from the locks above, but Penn State is probably a lock now. They were at #10 before this week while UW was at #17. I don't think this week's results will change enough to get Washington ahead of Penn State. I guess the best hope is that Oklahoma blows the fuck out of TCU. If that happens...Washington probably gets Penn State in the Cotton Bowl.

    Maybe this helps?

    https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/bowl-projections-alabama-not-out-of-the-college-football-playoff-picture-just-yet/
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    TCU isn’t in a New Year’s 6 Bowl if they lose to Oklahoma ... there’s a chance UW can sneak into the Cotton
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Tequilla said:

    TCU isn’t in a New Year’s 6 Bowl if they lose to Oklahoma ... there’s a chance UW can sneak into the Cotton

    53 seconds. And I think it would depend on how they lose.
  • Bread
    Bread Member Posts: 4,073

    whlinder said:

    Why do you have Oklahoma And TCU?

    One of them has to lose. And if it’s TCU that’s 3 losses. We’d have a chance to pass them in that case. They just played Baylor so their SOS compared to last week will take a hit.

    That’s the group and it’s pretty much set, and it’s totally a Stanford OR USC situation. The final bid is Oklahoma AND TCU if TCU wins. If TCU loses it opens up the possibility of them falling out. Same with tOSU if they lose badly.

    Hopefully Fresno makes it to the top 25 and Cuog stays there. If that happened we’d actually compare favorably to Penn State whose best win is Northwestern.

    I stupidly assumed that conferences were guaranteed a second bid if their champion went to the playoff. That doesn't happen in the Rose/Sugar CFP semifinal years, because this system is dumb sometimes.

    Scratch TCU from the locks above, but Penn State is probably a lock now. They were at #10 before this week while UW was at #17. I don't think this week's results will change enough to get Washington ahead of Penn State. I guess the best hope is that Oklahoma blows the fuck out of TCU. If that happens...Washington probably gets Penn State in the Cotton Bowl.

    Maybe this helps?

    https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/bowl-projections-alabama-not-out-of-the-college-football-playoff-picture-just-yet/
    they firgot to edit this after notre damr lost. no way they get into new years 6
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Bread said:

    whlinder said:

    Why do you have Oklahoma And TCU?

    One of them has to lose. And if it’s TCU that’s 3 losses. We’d have a chance to pass them in that case. They just played Baylor so their SOS compared to last week will take a hit.

    That’s the group and it’s pretty much set, and it’s totally a Stanford OR USC situation. The final bid is Oklahoma AND TCU if TCU wins. If TCU loses it opens up the possibility of them falling out. Same with tOSU if they lose badly.

    Hopefully Fresno makes it to the top 25 and Cuog stays there. If that happened we’d actually compare favorably to Penn State whose best win is Northwestern.

    I stupidly assumed that conferences were guaranteed a second bid if their champion went to the playoff. That doesn't happen in the Rose/Sugar CFP semifinal years, because this system is dumb sometimes.

    Scratch TCU from the locks above, but Penn State is probably a lock now. They were at #10 before this week while UW was at #17. I don't think this week's results will change enough to get Washington ahead of Penn State. I guess the best hope is that Oklahoma blows the fuck out of TCU. If that happens...Washington probably gets Penn State in the Cotton Bowl.

    Maybe this helps?

    https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/bowl-projections-alabama-not-out-of-the-college-football-playoff-picture-just-yet/
    they firgot to edit this after notre damr lost. no way they get into new years 6
    Agree. TCU is the logical replacement for now.
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,270
    Also, this would be a bit shady, but ESPN still runs this shit, right?

    Auburn and us are opening the season next year.

    That’s a whole lotta offseason hype and storylines and manufactured debate for ESPN if it is NY6 vs playoff/NY6 from year before. (And playoff vs NY6 from 2016).


  • LebamDawg
    LebamDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,786 Swaye's Wigwam
    edited November 2017
    Per ESPN they want Clemson, Alabama, Ohio St, and Oklahoma, Everyone else can GTFO

    The selection committee is bought and paid for
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    whlinder said:

    Also, this would be a bit shady, but ESPN still runs this shit, right?

    Auburn and us are opening the season next year.

    That’s a whole lotta offseason hype and storylines and manufactured debate for ESPN if it is NY6 vs playoff/NY6 from year before. (And playoff vs NY6 from 2016).


    Auburn/Georgia loser v UCF in the Peach Bowl is a lock IMO.
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,270
    In the scenario with a TCU loss and UW sneaking in as the last bid, wonder if the committee would ever consider UW vs USC in the Fiesta. Didnt play this year and won’t next year.

    (Yes I am writing off Stanford. Short week vs a team on a bye. Good luck)
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    whlinder said:

    In the scenario with a TCU loss and UW sneaking in as the last bid, wonder if the committee would ever consider UW vs USC in the Fiesta. Didnt play this year and won’t next year.

    (Yes I am writing off Stanford. Short week vs a team on a bye. Good luck)

    That scenario would be TV ratings death.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    whlinder said:

    whlinder said:

    In the scenario with a TCU loss and UW sneaking in as the last bid, wonder if the committee would ever consider UW vs USC in the Fiesta. Didnt play this year and won’t next year.

    (Yes I am writing off Stanford. Short week vs a team on a bye. Good luck)

    That scenario would be TV ratings death.
    Why do you hate 10:30pm EST kickoffs?
    The Fiesta Bowl kicks off at 4 pm Eastern this year. It would be funny to have two Pac-12 teams play at a normal hour.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Tequilla said:

    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings

    Beating a shit team at home shouldn't impress anyone.
  • oregonblitzkrieg
    oregonblitzkrieg Member Posts: 15,288

    Tequilla said:

    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings

    I don't deal in hypotheticals.
    Disagree.
  • Bread
    Bread Member Posts: 4,073
    whlinder said:

    Also, this would be a bit shady, but ESPN still runs this shit, right?

    Auburn and us are opening the season next year.

    That’s a whole lotta offseason hype and storylines and manufactured debate for ESPN if it is NY6 vs playoff/NY6 from year before. (And playoff vs NY6 from 2016).


    fair point. now I wonder if they go as far as matching us with them. wo7ld be easy clicks all of season. no way we ain't in the 12th spot.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680


    Tequilla said:

    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings

    I don't deal in hypotheticals.
    Disagree.
    Grow the hell up and learn the difference between projections and hypotheticals.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839
    Tequilla said:

    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings

    Substantially?

    WSU got pasted by Cal.

    This will move us up some because we finally beat a team in teh rankings. But no one really thought WSU was anything.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    dnc said:

    Tequilla said:

    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings

    Substantially?

    WSU got pasted by Cal.

    This will move us up some because we finally beat a team in teh rankings. But no one really thought WSU was anything.
    @HarveyRoad, true!!!!?????
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680

    dnc said:

    Tequilla said:

    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings

    Substantially?

    WSU got pasted by Cal.

    This will move us up some because we finally beat a team in teh rankings. But no one really thought WSU was anything.
    @HarveyRoad, true!!!!?????
    He knew what was coming
  • LebamDawg
    LebamDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,786 Swaye's Wigwam
    LebamDawg said:

    Per ESPN they want Clemson, Alabama, Ohio St, and Oklahoma, Everyone else can GTFO

    The selection committee is bought and paid for

    WTF me all you want, ESPN is already pushing a two loss OSU and a one loss Alabama back into the CFP.

    The pundits are conceding the ACC champs – Miami or Clemson and the SEC champions Georgia or Auburn into the CFP. Now it gets interesting as ESPN really wished OSU beats Wiscy so OSU can get in. The winner of the Oklahomo TCU game will only get in if it is Oklahomo – not a two loss TCU – that will open it up for shitty SOS Bama to get in.
    I really think Clemson/Miami winner, Georgia if they win the SEC, Wisconsin if they win the B1014, and Okie if they win the B1210.

    SEC opens it up for everyone if Auburn wins because of 2 losses. Same with TCU and OSU but now include SC if they beat Stanford. Very confusing but take a look at ND – loss to UGA and Stanford but blows out SC who beat the Tree. Alabama only beat LSU, Miss St ranked but gets credit for FSU

    The Dawgs suck because of SOS but Wisconsin and Bama gain for the same SOS. Go figure. Until there are 4 conferences with 2 8 team divisions and only those champions play for the trophy we will always have to have a selection committee and ESPN influencing the fucking thing,
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839
    LebamDawg said:

    LebamDawg said:

    Per ESPN they want Clemson, Alabama, Ohio St, and Oklahoma, Everyone else can GTFO

    The selection committee is bought and paid for

    WTF me all you want, ESPN is already pushing a two loss OSU and a one loss Alabama back into the CFP.

    The pundits are conceding the ACC champs – Miami or Clemson and the SEC champions Georgia or Auburn into the CFP. Now it gets interesting as ESPN really wished OSU beats Wiscy so OSU can get in. The winner of the Oklahomo TCU game will only get in if it is Oklahomo – not a two loss TCU – that will open it up for shitty SOS Bama to get in.
    I really think Clemson/Miami winner, Georgia if they win the SEC, Wisconsin if they win the B1014, and Okie if they win the B1210.

    SEC opens it up for everyone if Auburn wins because of 2 losses. Same with TCU and OSU but now include SC if they beat Stanford. Very confusing but take a look at ND – loss to UGA and Stanford but blows out SC who beat the Tree. Alabama only beat LSU, Miss St ranked but gets credit for FSU

    The Dawgs suck because of SOS but Wisconsin and Bama gain for the same SOS. Go figure. Until there are 4 conferences with 2 8 team divisions and only those champions play for the trophy we will always have to have a selection committee and ESPN influencing the fucking thing,
    It doesn't matter who ESPN is pushing.

    If ESPN had shit to do with it Penn State would have gotten in last year.

    Stop being a paranoid doog.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098

    Tequilla said:

    This is the kind of win that would move us up substantially in the rankings

    Beating a shit team at home shouldn't impress anyone.
    Don’t disagree ... we know the Cougs are shit ... but perception was that they weren’t shit and we were ...

    This may get people to reconsider what they saw with us this year
  • NeGgaPlEaSe
    NeGgaPlEaSe Member Posts: 5,758
    dnc said:

    LebamDawg said:

    LebamDawg said:

    Per ESPN they want Clemson, Alabama, Ohio St, and Oklahoma, Everyone else can GTFO

    The selection committee is bought and paid for

    WTF me all you want, ESPN is already pushing a two loss OSU and a one loss Alabama back into the CFP.

    The pundits are conceding the ACC champs – Miami or Clemson and the SEC champions Georgia or Auburn into the CFP. Now it gets interesting as ESPN really wished OSU beats Wiscy so OSU can get in. The winner of the Oklahomo TCU game will only get in if it is Oklahomo – not a two loss TCU – that will open it up for shitty SOS Bama to get in.
    I really think Clemson/Miami winner, Georgia if they win the SEC, Wisconsin if they win the B1014, and Okie if they win the B1210.

    SEC opens it up for everyone if Auburn wins because of 2 losses. Same with TCU and OSU but now include SC if they beat Stanford. Very confusing but take a look at ND – loss to UGA and Stanford but blows out SC who beat the Tree. Alabama only beat LSU, Miss St ranked but gets credit for FSU

    The Dawgs suck because of SOS but Wisconsin and Bama gain for the same SOS. Go figure. Until there are 4 conferences with 2 8 team divisions and only those champions play for the trophy we will always have to have a selection committee and ESPN influencing the fucking thing,
    It doesn't matter who ESPN is pushing.

    If ESPN had shit to do with it Penn State would have gotten in last year.

    Stop being a paranoid doog.
    And the Russians didn't influence the election
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839

    dnc said:

    LebamDawg said:

    LebamDawg said:

    Per ESPN they want Clemson, Alabama, Ohio St, and Oklahoma, Everyone else can GTFO

    The selection committee is bought and paid for

    WTF me all you want, ESPN is already pushing a two loss OSU and a one loss Alabama back into the CFP.

    The pundits are conceding the ACC champs – Miami or Clemson and the SEC champions Georgia or Auburn into the CFP. Now it gets interesting as ESPN really wished OSU beats Wiscy so OSU can get in. The winner of the Oklahomo TCU game will only get in if it is Oklahomo – not a two loss TCU – that will open it up for shitty SOS Bama to get in.
    I really think Clemson/Miami winner, Georgia if they win the SEC, Wisconsin if they win the B1014, and Okie if they win the B1210.

    SEC opens it up for everyone if Auburn wins because of 2 losses. Same with TCU and OSU but now include SC if they beat Stanford. Very confusing but take a look at ND – loss to UGA and Stanford but blows out SC who beat the Tree. Alabama only beat LSU, Miss St ranked but gets credit for FSU

    The Dawgs suck because of SOS but Wisconsin and Bama gain for the same SOS. Go figure. Until there are 4 conferences with 2 8 team divisions and only those champions play for the trophy we will always have to have a selection committee and ESPN influencing the fucking thing,
    It doesn't matter who ESPN is pushing.

    If ESPN had shit to do with it Penn State would have gotten in last year.

    Stop being a paranoid doog.
    And the Russians didn't influence the election
    Then explain how we? made it last year