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UW's SOS is strong

24

Comments

  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,242
    This bored is slipping ... I read through the entire thread and didn't see a single

    Chest is your source?
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840
    edited November 2016

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Sure Sagarin's ratings are a joke, all they did was pick games at a 73% rate straight up and 52% against the spread.
  • AtomicDawg
    AtomicDawg Member Posts: 7,364
    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840
    edited November 2016

    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.

    The mid-week line got the straight up winner correct 72.5% of the time this season.
    Beating the spread by even a couple percentage points is very difficult when you are predicting every game.
  • AtomicDawg
    AtomicDawg Member Posts: 7,364
    AIRWOLF said:

    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.

    The mid-week line got the straight up winner correct 72.5% of the time this season.
    Beating the spread by even a couple percentage points is very difficult when you are predicting every game.
    Understand vs the spread. Picking straight up is a different scenario and very easy. From 97 to 2011 it was correct over 75% of the time.

  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840

    AIRWOLF said:

    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.

    The mid-week line got the straight up winner correct 72.5% of the time this season.
    Beating the spread by even a couple percentage points is very difficult when you are predicting every game.
    Understand vs the spread. Picking straight up is a different scenario and very easy. From 97 to 2011 it was correct over 75% of the time.

    Well, this year it was only right 72.5%. I saw somewhere else that 10+ pt dogs won at something like twice the normal rate this season.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.
    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.

    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.
    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.

    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    Indiana maybe. Maryland and MSU not so much.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    AIRWOLF said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.
    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.

    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    Indiana maybe. Maryland and MSU not so much.
    So you haven't watched Oregon, Oregon State, or Cal this year?

    There's a reason half of the Pac-12 didn't even make bowl games.