Should Rubio or Cruz drop out?
But how will one convince the other to drop out? It's hard to definitely say that one is in a better position than the other, especially considering that a lot of big delegate states that favor Rubio over Cruz remain that would close the current delegate gap. And based off the tone of their speeches tonight, both are convinced that they can and will win the nomination. The other issue is that if one drops out, it doesn't guarantee the Trump will lose. A reporter put up this game theory chart of the dilemma:
It would help if Carson/Kasich both LEAVE first thing tomorrow morning and see how their supporters redistribute in the more meaningless primaries that are coming up in the next week. See if that rocks the balance enough to show that one of Cruz/Rubio would be a better option than the other.
But here's the thing... I'm not entirely sure these two would voluntarily give up their shot at the white house just to beat Trump. There's almost more to be gained from a selfish individual standpoint by letting Trump win if you can't beat him, let him inevitably crash and burn in the general election vs. Hillary, then run again in 2020. I could totally see Ted Cruz, the anti-establishment guy who's made every Republican in Washington hate him already because of his personal aspirations coming before the party's goals, doing this. Rubio might even too, but its less likely.
So I don't see a scenario where either drop out. Which means Trump in November, which means dems have a better shot at the white house.
Comments
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If Cruz drops out a lot of his support goes to Trump...not sure why nobody talks about this.
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Little Marco Rubio is heading into friendly territory with the winner take all states.HoustonHusky said:If Cruz drops out a lot of his support goes to Trump...not sure why nobody talks about this.
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As the pundits said, Trump had a better night last night than if he won all 11. He lost enough to keep everyone in.
Rubio is jealous of his win by losing bump
Cruz has always been the threat which is why Trump left Rubio alone for so long. If the Hillary camp says they fear Rubio you know that they don't -
I'm not buying this argument. The best chance the GOP has of stopping Trump is through a brokered convention, and that becomes more likely with two contenders winning delegates than one. It's too late for a fourth candidate to get in the race until the convention.RaceBannon said:As the pundits said, Trump had a better night last night than if he won all 11. He lost enough to keep everyone in.
Rubio is jealous of his win by losing bump
Cruz has always been the threat which is why Trump left Rubio alone for so long. If the Hillary camp says they fear Rubio you know that they don't -
If the GOP screws Trump out of the nomination with a brokered convention he goes scorched Earth third party...doogsinparadise said:
I'm not buying this argument. The best chance the GOP has of stopping Trump is through a brokered convention, and that becomes more likely with two contenders winning delegates than one. It's too late for a fourth candidate to get in the race until the convention.RaceBannon said:As the pundits said, Trump had a better night last night than if he won all 11. He lost enough to keep everyone in.
Rubio is jealous of his win by losing bump
Cruz has always been the threat which is why Trump left Rubio alone for so long. If the Hillary camp says they fear Rubio you know that they don't -
seattletimes.com/nation-world/nation-politics/ap-delegate-count-trump-not-yet-on-track-to-win-nomination/Swaye said:
If the GOP screws Trump out of the nomination with a brokered convention he goes scorched Earth third party...doogsinparadise said:
I'm not buying this argument. The best chance the GOP has of stopping Trump is through a brokered convention, and that becomes more likely with two contenders winning delegates than one. It's too late for a fourth candidate to get in the race until the convention.RaceBannon said:As the pundits said, Trump had a better night last night than if he won all 11. He lost enough to keep everyone in.
Rubio is jealous of his win by losing bump
Cruz has always been the threat which is why Trump left Rubio alone for so long. If the Hillary camp says they fear Rubio you know that they don't
You might even call it a "political jihad". -
Praise Allah!doogsinparadise said:
seattletimes.com/nation-world/nation-politics/ap-delegate-count-trump-not-yet-on-track-to-win-nomination/Swaye said:
If the GOP screws Trump out of the nomination with a brokered convention he goes scorched Earth third party...doogsinparadise said:
I'm not buying this argument. The best chance the GOP has of stopping Trump is through a brokered convention, and that becomes more likely with two contenders winning delegates than one. It's too late for a fourth candidate to get in the race until the convention.RaceBannon said:As the pundits said, Trump had a better night last night than if he won all 11. He lost enough to keep everyone in.
Rubio is jealous of his win by losing bump
Cruz has always been the threat which is why Trump left Rubio alone for so long. If the Hillary camp says they fear Rubio you know that they don't
You might even call it a "political jihad". -
You're definitely correct. A brokered convention is the only path I see that the GOP can defeat Trump. If the GOP goes with that strategy, they can defeat Trump, but will probably nuke their own party. You think people are pissed now, you wait and see how pissed they'll be when Trump has 40-45% of the delegates, and the GOP takes the nomination from him. It will be the end of the GOP party.doogsinparadise said:
I'm not buying this argument. The best chance the GOP has of stopping Trump is through a brokered convention, and that becomes more likely with two contenders winning delegates than one. It's too late for a fourth candidate to get in the race until the convention.RaceBannon said:As the pundits said, Trump had a better night last night than if he won all 11. He lost enough to keep everyone in.
Rubio is jealous of his win by losing bump
Cruz has always been the threat which is why Trump left Rubio alone for so long. If the Hillary camp says they fear Rubio you know that they don't -
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Two party system needs to go. Question is whether both parties will split in two, or if you get Socialists, Trumpists, and then a Hillary/Romney center party.greenblood said:
You're definitely correct. A brokered convention is the only path I see that the GOP can defeat Trump. If the GOP goes with that strategy, they can defeat Trump, but will probably nuke their own party. You think people are pissed now, you wait and see how pissed they'll be when Trump has 40-45% of the delegates, and the GOP takes the nomination from him. It will be the end of the GOP party.doogsinparadise said:
I'm not buying this argument. The best chance the GOP has of stopping Trump is through a brokered convention, and that becomes more likely with two contenders winning delegates than one. It's too late for a fourth candidate to get in the race until the convention.RaceBannon said:As the pundits said, Trump had a better night last night than if he won all 11. He lost enough to keep everyone in.
Rubio is jealous of his win by losing bump
Cruz has always been the threat which is why Trump left Rubio alone for so long. If the Hillary camp says they fear Rubio you know that they don't
