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Full Doog

2

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  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,573
    Meth is a strong drug
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  • HFNY
    HFNY Member Posts: 5,665
    I like the +17 because:

    1. JS can't (probably?) be as FS as he was in the Cal game so he will run the goddamn ball more.

    2. Johnny Nantarded is prime for a special teams screw-up

    3. BB should be back (listed as a starter on this week's depth chart at least) and we have good corners (Sidney Muthafuckin' Jones, Kevin King, and Darren Gardenhire). Jones and King have the size to slow down the uber talented JuJu Smith...probably with some safety help no matter who gets him in man, zone, or match-up zone.

    4. Gotta think the bye week helps the young offense more than any other unit on either team.

    5. The ever-so dangerous backdoor cover. If USC gets up 21-24 points, the lawnmower could bust out on the USC sideline, especially if Sloppy Steve starts thinking he is Pete Carroll again

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  • whatshouldicareabout
    whatshouldicareabout Member Posts: 13,020
    pawz said:

    My bets:

    2 units for UW to cover +17
    1 unit for UW to win +616

    Please watch a replay of the Cal game and reconsider
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    Tequilla said:

    I like the +17 part ...

    Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

    You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better
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  • HuskyJW
    HuskyJW Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 15,591 Founders Club
    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    I like the +17 part ...

    Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

    You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better
    I'm starting to get concerned that you are saying unit too much.

    You aren't a CrossFit d-bag are you?
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  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,277
    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    I like the +17 part ...

    Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

    You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better
    If you are confident in the cover, then you are playing with house money on the money line.

    Given that the game involves Mr. House Money, probably not that terrible of a gamble.
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    HuskyJW said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    I like the +17 part ...

    Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

    You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better
    I'm starting to get concerned that you are saying unit too much.

    You aren't a CrossFit d-bag are you?
    You seem to know more about crossfit than I do. So no.
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  • DeepSeaZ
    DeepSeaZ Member Posts: 3,901
    HFNY said:

    I like the +17

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  • dongman
    dongman Member Posts: 2,384
    .
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