Full Doog

pawz

My bets:

2 units for UW to cover +17
1 unit for UW to win +616

doogsinparadise

Crack pipe.

HuskyJW

Wow.

T's and P's to your hard earned money man.

AEB

I like this trade to cover.

PurpleJ

Rule #1 of gambling: NEVER bet on your own team. Ever.

pawz

PurpleJ said:

Rule #1 of gambling: NEVER bet on your own team. Ever.

Disagree.

Its' a good rule of thumb, but if you are wagering with proper bankroll management principles in mind, ie. your wager is < 5% of your bankroll, the rule is irrelevant.

Swaye

I only use gambling to search for low self esteem skanks.

PurpleJ

pawz said:

PurpleJ said:

Rule #1 of gambling: NEVER bet on your own team. Ever.

Disagree.

Its' a good rule of thumb, but if you are wagering with proper bankroll management principles in mind, ie. your wager is < 5% of your bankroll, the rule is irrelevant.

Proper bankroll management principles superiority guy...

DeepSeaZ

You can bet Randy Johnson's?

Tequilla

I like the +17 part ...

Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

RaceBannon

Pawz needs a measles shot

greenblood

Meth is a strong drug

no_uh

PurpleJ said:

Rule #1 of gambling: NEVER bet on your own team. Ever.

In the Willingham days I bankrolled my beer habits by betting against UW.

HFNY

I like the +17 because:

1. JS can't (probably?) be as FS as he was in the Cal game so he will run the goddamn ball more.

2. Johnny Nantarded is prime for a special teams screw-up

3. BB should be back (listed as a starter on this week's depth chart at least) and we have good corners (Sidney Muthafuckin' Jones, Kevin King, and Darren Gardenhire). Jones and King have the size to slow down the uber talented JuJu Smith...probably with some safety help no matter who gets him in man, zone, or match-up zone.

4. Gotta think the bye week helps the young offense more than any other unit on either team.

5. The ever-so dangerous backdoor cover. If USC gets up 21-24 points, the lawnmower could bust out on the USC sideline, especially if Sloppy Steve starts thinking he is Pete Carroll again

whatshouldicareabout

pawz said:

My bets:

2 units for UW to cover +17
1 unit for UW to win +616

Please watch a replay of the Cal game and reconsider

pawz

Tequilla said:

I like the +17 part ...

Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better

HuskyJW

pawz said:

Tequilla said:

I like the +17 part ...

Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better

I'm starting to get concerned that you are saying unit too much.

You aren't a CrossFit d-bag are you?

Tequilla

pawz said:

Tequilla said:

I like the +17 part ...

Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better

If you are confident in the cover, then you are playing with house money on the money line.

Given that the game involves Mr. House Money, probably not that terrible of a gamble.

pawz

HuskyJW said:

pawz said:

Tequilla said:

I like the +17 part ...

Would be VERY surprised if we won ... at your odds you are essentially taking them with a 15% chance to win the game. Most statistical models I've seen has it around 5%.

You are probably correct on your assessment. A half-unit on the money line would have been better

I'm starting to get concerned that you are saying unit too much.

You aren't a CrossFit d-bag are you?

You seem to know more about crossfit than I do. So no.

DeepSeaZ

HFNY said:

I like the +17

dongman

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