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So, what are the Oregon Ducks going to do about their RichRod problem?
DerekJohnson
Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 70,062
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Not exactly and insightful piece Derek.
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you're just lucky that I post random links here at all.creepycoug said:Not exactly and insightful piece Derek.
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Thanks Taft
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Probably the same thing they did about their Stanford problem
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Wait until Rich Rod leaves?RaccoonHarry said:Probably the same thing they did about their Stanford problem
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Huh? Shaw beat Oregon in 2012 and 2013. Helfrich beat him this season. Beating a team as talented as Oregon 3x in a row isn't easy. I think the Ducks beat your Arizona team by at least two touchdowns.Mosster47 said:
Wait until Rich Rod leaves?RaccoonHarry said:Probably the same thing they did about their Stanford problem
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We struggled with Stanford until Stanford became its own problem. I think it is clear that Stanford this year has significantly declined from the Stanford of the last 4 or so years. Beating Arizona is a huge challenge - they are on a roll and have beaten Oregon twice in a row. Biggest challenge for the staff so far this year. On paper we should win (there is a nice breakdown of the advanced stats for this game at http://www.addictedtoquack.com/2014/12/3/7323967/advanced-stats-saturday-week-15-2014 ) but on paper we should have won the last two meetings as well.
Holding my breath -
Here is some actual football talk that neither of you will probably grasp.
Mariota has lost four times, twice each to the same staff. Stanford plays an NFL style gap control 3-4 which if manned by the right people just crushes spread offenses. It contains the QB, allows a free LB for every running play, etc. Stanford had the right kind of kids the last two years, but this year not so much.
Casteel plays a front help 3-3-5, by that I mean they don't use the free safety as the hitter like most small colleges and high schools do that Rocky Hinds invented. They use one of their dogs as the hitter based on alignment and side of the field which is much harder to predict because it could be one of two instead of one of one. Football is a retardedly easy game so when you double the odds of something people get massively confused.
This defense also always sends four or five on running downs but you never know which four or five and there is also gap switching on every play between the DL and LB's. For power running teams this defense can really struggle unless you have a legit 2-gap nose tackle and UA will never have one of those so the USC's and Stanford's of the world will give them fits even if they are a shitty team record wise. For an offense like Oregon you are either going to guess wrong a lot of the time on which gap to zone making your offense inept like the last two seasons or you will just be better than them man vs man and you crush them like Rich Rod's first year.
The zone read/spread option against a front end 3-3-5 has two possible outcomes of either a fuck ton of points or very few. If turnovers are excessive that makes everything null and garbage time also doesn't count. We know Oregon isn't that much better physically than UA so a blowout simply won't happen unless UA turns it over a ton.




