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I've got a good feeling about this game

RaceBannon
RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,884 Founders Club
«13

Comments

  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    I'd feel better if Arizona123 were here predicting an Oregon blowout.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    You wanna talk about money grabs, if UW wins this one, any of that 94 throwback shit will clean up on eBay.
  • topdawgnc
    topdawgnc Member Posts: 7,839
    Washington's got this one 24-20
  • MadHusky
    MadHusky Member Posts: 376
    @RaceBannon‌'s mojo hasn't been on point since he predicted the 3-and-6 2010 Huskies to win out and become bowl-eligible, much to the shock of iDawg. He deserves credit, did anyone actually believe that smug confidence behind the 1980s Yugoslavian cell phone?
  • PurpleBaze
    PurpleBaze Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 30,319 Founders Club
    Swaye said:

    You wanna talk about money grabs, if UW wins this one, any of that 94 throwback shit will clean up on eBay.

    I figured they would donate all that stuff to hospitals in west Africa.
    Little known fact: People with Ebola love to die in Ducks throwback throwup gear.
    Talk about a humiliating way to die.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839

    I'd feel better if Arizona123 were here predicting an Oregon blowout.

    Paging @Beelzebub123
  • CokeGreaterThanPepsi
    CokeGreaterThanPepsi Member Posts: 7,646
    Arizona123 was so clutch that whenever he popped up with a prediction for a UW loss my confidence in the game sky-rocketed. That guy was money.

    I also appreciate that no one has created a fake Arizona123 handle here, as that would be a very dangerous road to cross. Respect what he did, remember him, Long live Arizona123!
  • HFNY
    HFNY Member Posts: 5,387
    edited October 2014
    My crystal balls are now saying Oregon wins 39-24 but they have been wrong, shrunken, and wrinkly before.

    I'll be watching to see how RS-Frosh Coleman Shelton (has started 4 or 5 games now IIRC) does against their DL / Tony Washington. I don't think TW is all that great but he's pretty productive for them. At least Shelton already was thrown into the fire against Henry Anderson of Stanford a few weeks ago.

    Jake Fisher being back for them is a big plus but how will he play as a LT (he started at RT for them in 2012 and 2013) coming off a leg injury against Kikaha? How will the U-Dub pass-rush do when Kikaha is head up on their walk-on starter at RT and RS-SR Andrew Hudson is over Fisher as a down-lineman? Or what if UW uses Kikaha and Feeney (or Littleton) as stand-up rush guys on the edges with Shelton or E. Hudson and A. Hudson as the interior DL? I love Kikaha or Feeney / Littleton going up against their walk-on RT!!11@!!!#@1!!!

    I'll also be interested to see how we defend their read-option to start the game. Do we mostly focus on stopping their RBs and let Mariota carry the ball so we can attempt to (legally) incapacitate him and / or make him extremely uncomfortable. Mariota is very good but he's human so his accuracy and decision making will suffer if he's taking hits (preferably high-low hits):

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  • jecornel
    jecornel Member Posts: 9,737
    Tequilla said:

    I think our defense will be able to hold them from completely running wild, but their defense isn't Cal bad. If we had a top notch running back like Sankey/Polk then I would feel very confident. Coleman/Washington just aren't good enough to be able to Stanford them out.


    Cal's defense is terrible against the pass. Statistically, they are better than Oregon against the run by almost a full yard per carry.

    We don't need Coleman and Washington to be Sankey or Polk. We need them to continue averaging around 4.4 to 4.5 yards per carry, setting up favorable down and distance situations for Miles, and creating just enough problems that Oregon's got to push up a safety so that Miles can work the play action game enough to find open throws in the intermediate to deep game. That's the exact playbook that Arizona used very successfully to beat Oregon.
    Find Ross.......
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,884 Founders Club
    Not even many UO fans are picking Oregon against the spread but it remains at 21. So the money isn't moving. UW looks like a sucker bet. Oregon covers if they win but UW shocks the world and wins outright. If you think Oregon is going to win they are going to cover

    This made sense to me when I wrote it
  • HFNY
    HFNY Member Posts: 5,387
    Yes, teams have been going after Olumu (CB, #14) with surprising success. I know he made a play against UCLA but he's undersized so I'd love to see Campbell or KW block him on an outside screen to Ross or Mickens.

    A TE screen to Darrell Daniels would be great to see too (or to Perkins, when he returns in the second half after his crime against humanity last weekend @ Cal).
    jecornel said:

    Tequilla said:

    I think our defense will be able to hold them from completely running wild, but their defense isn't Cal bad. If we had a top notch running back like Sankey/Polk then I would feel very confident. Coleman/Washington just aren't good enough to be able to Stanford them out.


    Cal's defense is terrible against the pass. Statistically, they are better than Oregon against the run by almost a full yard per carry.

    We don't need Coleman and Washington to be Sankey or Polk. We need them to continue averaging around 4.4 to 4.5 yards per carry, setting up favorable down and distance situations for Miles, and creating just enough problems that Oregon's got to push up a safety so that Miles can work the play action game enough to find open throws in the intermediate to deep game. That's the exact playbook that Arizona used very successfully to beat Oregon.
    Find Ross.......
  • DuckinTurkey
    DuckinTurkey Member Posts: 39
    The Race Bannon has visioned a Husky champions on ducks every year since we got the interwebs in Istanbul. This year will makes it 0-3, very nice.
  • HeretoBeatmyChest
    HeretoBeatmyChest Member Posts: 4,295
    I think Fisher is the difference. If he was out you'd have to think UW's front 7 would have a big advantage.
  • Dardanus
    Dardanus Member Posts: 2,623

    You wanna talk about money grabs, if UW wins this one, any of that 94 throwback shit will clean up on eBay.

    I figured they would donate all that stuff to hospitals in Dallas.
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,137
    edited October 2014

    The Race Bannon has visioned a Husky champions on ducks every year since we got the interwebs in Istanbul. This year will makes it 0-3, very nice.

    That is a widespread misconception. It's true in the early days of the pod cast when we would proclaim UW had better talent but...Ty...but UW wins! By Sark we had abandoned all hope. Oregon's talent and coaching edge were too big and obvious. Oregon still has a far bigger talent edge than most Huskies posting here will admit. I thought the position breakdowns earlier this week were way out of whack. Oregon is better almost everywhere but coaching,

    Make no mistake, a Husky win would be a huge upset. But they happen every week
    Maybe under Chip, your beliefs about the talent gap would be true. From what I've seen, there isn't a large gap. I would take UW's roster over Oregon's excluding QB. There is also a huge gap at RB. UW has a substantially better front 7, the slightly better out of the dreckfest OL's.
  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    UW has played 1 decent game. And even in that game the offense was underwhelming. Caps defense is worse than Oregons. 21 points is the right betting line.
  • HFNY
    HFNY Member Posts: 5,387
    Yeah, he's probably one of, if not the biggest, reasons Oregon is favored by 20.5.

    But I am thinking a lot of money betting tomorrow that his return and convincingly beating UCLA are worth a ton of points and I disagree. UCLA's offense has talent but their OL is bad and that has really slowed them against decent defenses. UCLA's D also has talent but they are highly average this year with a 1st year DC (1st year ever, not just as UCLA) and losing Anthony Barr and Cassius Marsh from last year's D.

    I think Fisher is the difference. If he was out you'd have to think UW's front 7 would have a big advantage.

  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,884 Founders Club

    The Race Bannon has visioned a Husky champions on ducks every year since we got the interwebs in Istanbul. This year will makes it 0-3, very nice.

    That is a widespread misconception. It's true in the early days of the pod cast when we would proclaim UW had better talent but...Ty...but UW wins! By Sark we had abandoned all hope. Oregon's talent and coaching edge were too big and obvious. Oregon still has a far bigger talent edge than most Huskies posting here will admit. I thought the position breakdowns earlier this week were way out of whack. Oregon is better almost everywhere but coaching,

    Make no mistake, a Husky win would be a huge upset. But they happen every week
    Maybe under Chip, your beliefs about the talent gap would be true. From what I've seen, there isn't a large gap. I would take UW's roster over Oregon's excluding QB. There is also a huge gap at RB. UW has a substantially better front 7, the slightly better out of the dreckfest OL's.
    I'd like this to be true but I have to see it. Oregon has out recruited UW for some time now. They are deeper and we don't have a bell cow on the O line like Fisher. Petersen is the game changer for sure, but this year? We will see