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So how is everyone feeling?

Bendintheriver
Bendintheriver Member Posts: 7,224 Standard Supporter
edited October 2024 in Tug Tavern

As I said 40 days or so ago, the serious polling data was showing a shift toward Trump and it is now to the point that the rat press can no longer ignore the obvious. The rat media's response? Double down on the hitler comparisons, which again is a clear sign of panic, not to mention a slap in the face of history and the holocaust victims.

I would be curious to know what everyone is feeling with a couple weeks to go. Me? I think it is going to be close and close does not bode well for Trump. We know from the past that democrats cheat and there aren't enough eyes to go around. In a fair fight I think the data and the trending show that Trump wins.

For those interested, here are some interesting tidbits that are in the polling data.

  • Trump will gain a few % points with the black vote. Every little bit helps but there is not going to be a 20 point swing. Democrats have abused and tortured that demographic for hundreds of years and it will take time to break them of those chains to where they can walk free of the rat plantation.
  • Vance is proving to be a very large plus. It clearly started with the VP debate. In an event like that where the rat media can't lie about the personality that is emanating from the television, JD hit it out of the park. Immediately after the debate his numbers went up over a 10 point increase and has steadily trended well. They call it a "carry over" when one appearance can pull attention to an individual on future appearances. His viewing audience has grown. Previous to the debate the rat press painted him as the second coming of the devil. Now they actively try to keep him off of their broadcasts all together.
  • Vance's biggest selling point as far as polling data goes? Number 1? He would make a good President. Number 2? He provides a good balance for Trump. 3, he is more intelligent and knowledgeable than Headboard or The Tiananmen Liar. All three qualities are great for the campaign but Number 1 is like a home run in polling.
  • Headboard is falling because she is not good at this. There are so many reasons the bloom is off the rose but number 1 is intelligence as a candidate. The data doesn't suggest she is stupid but people who are objective see a woman who is not good on her feet, weak on the issues and afraid to put forth details on any plan. Obviously this is no secret, she has dodged the media since the beginning. No 2 is a bit surprising, the data suggests that she didn't earn her position and evidently a lot of people resent that. Then there is a mix of issues like honesty, lack of moral, weakness on foreign affairs, lack of ability to handle foreign powers, decision making skills, etc. None of the aforementioned are nearly as big a hurt as points 1 & 2.
  • The incredible liar from Minnesota has horrible numbers. I didn't spend any time on him because quite frankly, the campaign is hiding him too. Every time he opens his mouth we get a steady stream of communism spewing out and that hurts the campaign.
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Comments

  • Blueduck
    Blueduck Member Posts: 1,699 Standard Supporter
    edited October 2024

    The polling has been kept close for decades to allow for the cheating.

    It has to be overwhelmingly too big to rig or we become like every other country that has fallen to the WEF takeover…Castrudeau?

    Just my $0.02

    How do I feel? Meh, .... praying that God's will be done according to His plan.

  • Bendintheriver
    Bendintheriver Member Posts: 7,224 Standard Supporter

    Well I am glad the anti-psychotic + Cialis combo drug is working for you, I guess…..

  • Fire_Marshall_Bill
    Fire_Marshall_Bill Member Posts: 26,245 Standard Supporter

    I'm expecting more shenanigans in swinger states. For a time, I thought the Dimocrats had given up since they allowed a dimwitted hoe who dropped out of the last race before Iowa to stage a coup. Signs point to more cheating though, and the media and fucktards like Mellow will gaslight anyone who questions it.

  • georgiaduck
    georgiaduck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 2,766 Swaye's Wigwam

    I'm certainly no expert but it would appear to me that Trump is making positive distance between himself and Harris.

    She has one thing to run on and it's abortion. She constantly lies that Trump plans on making a federal ban against it and like Stacey Abrams in Georgia in '22 it's not helping her get additional voters. Those folks have been in the Harris camp since day one. Inflation numbers being adjusted up, gangs taking over apartment complexes in Colorado and Texas. When Harris isn't ignoring the economy or immigration, she focusing on ripping the genitals off of kids. Not exactly the stuff that swing voters are worried about.

    Harris has been forced out of her basement to a certain degree. No one is saying she knocked it out of the park with Brett Bair. When she answered the question regarding 79% of the country thinks America is on the wrong track, she blamed Trump running for election over the last eight years. Which true undecided is going to hear that and head to the ballot to support her?

    I listen to Erick Erikson every day and he's as deep in the weeds with the polls as Bend is in the woods after his drive. That is to say, constantly. His advice over the last year has been to look at the polling average and not just outliers. There's no doubt that Trump's numbers continue to improve. He serves Fries at the drive thru, and then heads out to the Steelers game. At the same time Harris is celebrating her birthday being serenaded by Stevie Wonder. Just like your average American.

    Finally on an anecdotal note- my wife has a crew of good friends where our daughters have gone to school with each other since kindergarten. One of them is unhinged liberal- fifth booster, Ukraine avatar, safety pin- you name it. The other friend is a solid dem but told my wife over the weekend that she's voting for Trump because at the end of the day she's worried about finances as they move towards retirement and she just doesn't think Harris has the experience to get anything done. She asked my wife to not tell their other friend because she didn't want the backlash. I think a lot of moms are in that same boat.

  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,573

    I think the Trump lead will be too high. You can do that with 40k-50k votes, but they'll need 100k-150k votes in 3-4 states to pull this off. Even Russia and Venezuela would have a hard time rigging some of these state leads without setting off extreme alarm bells. It would make the skepticism in 2020 look like a rounding error. Even the left wouldn't risk that.

  • MelloDawg
    MelloDawg Member Posts: 6,917
    edited October 2024

    Serving fries in a clearly orchestrated campaign event and watching a football game in a suite really speaks to the American Everyman, I agree.

    The rest is actually fairly cogent, minus the trans gaslight.

  • EverettChris
    EverettChris Member Posts: 8,680 Standard Supporter

    @MelloDawg is so stupid that he thinks Kamala just happened to drop into a Wawa for Doritos unannounced. This is your average Dem voter. Maybe these idiots should be put in camps. Retard camps.