Oregon State now favored
Comments
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Oregon St is really difficult to judge given their schedule to date ...
They've missed so far UW, Oregon, and USC ... the best offenses that they've played is some mix of Arizona, Wazzu, and Cal. Some might say Colorado but they are far from balanced. Arizona is probably the closest team they've played that has some expectation of being able to be balanced and Wazzu from an explosive standpoint in the passing game.
Wazzu: 29 of 35 for 422 in the passing game
Arizona: 25 of 32 for 275 passing
They've generally been good against the run but both Cal and UCLA gashed them on the ground so there's probably some opportunities there - particularly if they play some form of drop coverage.
There's a little more to go off of when looking at good defenses playing against Oregon St in looking at the Utah, UCLA, and Arizona defenses. Utah slowed them fairly significantly whereas they had some decent success against UCLA and Arizona. The key with slowing down Oregon St is limiting the big plays in the passing game as they lead the conference (conference games only) in yards per completion - when they hit they hit for big plays. Accuracy is a significant problem though as they've only been hit at over 60% in completion percentage in 3 of the 7 conference games and the only game materially over 60% being against Cal and EVERYBODY throws against Cal.
Our sloppiness on D giving up big plays the last 2 weeks is a concern, but generally speaking, one of the strengths of our defense has been in limiting big plays. If we can get back to that formula against the Beavs, we should be able to slow them down a fair amount. On offense, I don't really see a statistical area where I see Oregon St being a material concern ... probably the closest comparable is Arizona and we generally moved the ball with relative ease against them. One area that the Beavs do excel is in creating turnovers so we'll have to continue to be sharp.
My sense is that if we have our shit together, we should be fine. The gaps in their secondary to me paint the picture of them having to pick their poison and we just need to be willing to take what they give. -
tldr version: it's beavlet.Tequilla said:Oregon St is really difficult to judge given their schedule to date ...
They've missed so far UW, Oregon, and USC ... the best offenses that they've played is some mix of Arizona, Wazzu, and Cal. Some might say Colorado but they are far from balanced. Arizona is probably the closest team they've played that has some expectation of being able to be balanced and Wazzu from an explosive standpoint in the passing game.
Wazzu: 29 of 35 for 422 in the passing game
Arizona: 25 of 32 for 275 passing
They've generally been good against the run but both Cal and UCLA gashed them on the ground so there's probably some opportunities there - particularly if they play some form of drop coverage.
There's a little more to go off of when looking at good defenses playing against Oregon St in looking at the Utah, UCLA, and Arizona defenses. Utah slowed them fairly significantly whereas they had some decent success against UCLA and Arizona. The key with slowing down Oregon St is limiting the big plays in the passing game as they lead the conference (conference games only) in yards per completion - when they hit they hit for big plays. Accuracy is a significant problem though as they've only been hit at over 60% in completion percentage in 3 of the 7 conference games and the only game materially over 60% being against Cal and EVERYBODY throws against Cal.
Our sloppiness on D giving up big plays the last 2 weeks is a concern, but generally speaking, one of the strengths of our defense has been in limiting big plays. If we can get back to that formula against the Beavs, we should be able to slow them down a fair amount. On offense, I don't really see a statistical area where I see Oregon St being a material concern ... probably the closest comparable is Arizona and we generally moved the ball with relative ease against them. One area that the Beavs do excel is in creating turnovers so we'll have to continue to be sharp.
My sense is that if we have our shit together, we should be fine. The gaps in their secondary to me paint the picture of them having to pick their poison and we just need to be willing to take what they give. -
He wishes his precious Cal was like UWCatGut said:
For all his backhanded comments, Wilner has UW #3 (behind only Georgia and Ohio St.) and Oregon at #6 in his latest AP ballot. He's a strange cat.whatshouldicareabout said:
Wilner hates UW with the passion of 1000 sunsGrundleStiltzkin said: -
Weren't the Cougs favored in the snowy Apple Cup in 2018?
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Since this is just based on betting ratios, I think there is a chance that some of those placing bets got confused about which OSU the Huskies are playing. Lots of cfb fans east of the Rockies don't even know there are two OSUs.DerekJohnson said:If true then this has to be a historical first time ever thing to happen to a 10-0 top 5 team in November
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I should have been more specific. See Catgut's post. You left out the part about Ohio State being undefeated. But touche' nonetheless.HuskyClaws said:
Last year Michigan was 11-0 ranked #3 and was an 8 point underdog to Ohio State.DerekJohnson said:If true then this has to be a historical first time ever thing to happen to a 10-0 top 5 team in November
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thank youMikeSeaver said:
He said 10-0.HuskyClaws said:
Last year Michigan was 11-0 ranked #3 and was an 8 point underdog to Ohio State.DerekJohnson said:If true then this has to be a historical first time ever thing to happen to a 10-0 top 5 team in November
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Dude... It's supposed to be "with the burning intensity of a thousand suns"... not passionate suns. Stars are not passionate. Trust me. You're not in outer space like I am. You aren't in position to know.whatshouldicareabout said:
Wilner hates UW with the passion of 1000 sunsGrundleStiltzkin said: -
Lol at betters 5 reasoning themselvesHairyBallsDawg said:
Since this is just based on betting ratios, I think there is a chance that some of those placing bets got confused about which OSU the Huskies are playing. Lots of cfb fans east of the Rockies don't even know there are two OSUs.DerekJohnson said:If true then this has to be a historical first time ever thing to happen to a 10-0 top 5 team in November
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How bizarre would it be to see a headline, "Fifth-ranked Huskies Upset Beavers to Stay Undefeated"
