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Race for Vegas fupdate

whlinder
whlinder Member Posts: 5,272
FREEPUB for Race

Team, conference record, remaining games. As it is rare for a team with 3 conference losses to finish top 2 we won't entertain that possibility until there is a chance of it happening.

1. Washington (4-0) - @ Stanford, @ USC, Utah, @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

2. USC (4-1) - @ Cal, Washington, @ Oregon, UCLA, Bye

3. Oregon (3-1) - @ Utah, Cal, USC, @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

3. Oregon State (3-1) - @ Arizona, @ Colorado, Stanford, Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

3. Utah (3-1) - Oregon, ASU, @ Washington, @ Arizona, Colorado (on Sat)

6. Arizona (2-2) - Oregon St, UCLA, @ Colorado, Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

6. UCLA (2-2) - Colorado, @ Arizona, ASU, @ USC, Cal


Two huge games this weekend to shake things out (I mean Arizona has a path to win out with both their remaining road games against bad teams), and UW-USC is all set to get national attention in its week, with only Alabama - LSU bigger that weekend.

Comments

  • whatshouldicareabout
    whatshouldicareabout Member Posts: 12,991
    whlinder said:

    FREEPUB for Race

    Team, conference record, remaining games. As it is rare for a team with 3 conference losses to finish top 2 we won't entertain that possibility until there is a chance of it happening.

    1. Washington (4-0) - @ Stanford, @ USC, Utah, @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2. USC (4-1) - @ Cal, Washington, @ Oregon, UCLA, Bye

    3. Oregon (3-1) - @ Utah, Cal, USC, @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3. Oregon State (3-1) - @ Arizona, @ Colorado, Stanford, Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    3. Utah (3-1) - Oregon, ASU, @ Washington, @ Arizona, Colorado (on Sat)

    6. Arizona (2-2) - Oregon St, UCLA, @ Colorado, Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    6. UCLA (2-2) - Colorado, @ Arizona, ASU, @ USC, Cal


    Two huge games this weekend to shake things out (I mean Arizona has a path to win out with both their remaining road games against bad teams), and UW-USC is all set to get national attention in its week, with only Alabama - LSU bigger that weekend.

    Bama-LSU is going to be pretty damn big
  • dirtysouwfdawg
    dirtysouwfdawg Member Posts: 14,113
    Whoregon vs no rising Utah
    Beav st vs noah doesn’t rape

    Games with the most impact based on whose playing who for next week.
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
    I like #myutes and boov
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,272
    Arizona got the W to stay in the race, and now has another home elimination game.

    Team, conference record, remaining games. As it is rare for a team with 3 conference losses to finish top 2 we won't entertain that possibility until there is a chance of it happening.

    1. Washington (5-0) - @ USC, Utah, @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2. USC (5-1) - Washington, @ Oregon, UCLA, Bye

    3. Oregon (4-1) - Cal, USC, @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    4. Oregon State (3-2) - @ Colorado, Stanford, Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    4. Utah (3-2) - ASU, @ Washington, @ Arizona, Colorado (on Sat)

    4. Arizona (3-2) - UCLA, @ Colorado, Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    4. UCLA (3-2) - @ Arizona, ASU, @ USC, Cal

    8 remaining games between teams on this list. Only Washington and USC play in 3 apiece.
  • EsophagealFeces
    EsophagealFeces Member Posts: 13,167
    Fuck the conference for giving USC a bye the last week of the season
  • LawDawg1
    LawDawg1 Member Posts: 3,942

    Fuck the conference for giving USC a bye the last week of the season

    Why? It will be extra prep for a loss to TCU again
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,141

    Fuck the conference for giving USC a bye the last week of the season

    I think that actually really hurts usc. Good chance they go 0-3 in this upcoming stretch. Having a bye now or in the middle of UW, Oregon, ucla would be more advantageous.
  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696
    ntxduck said:

    Fuck the conference for giving USC a bye the last week of the season

    I think that actually really hurts usc. Good chance they go 0-3 in this upcoming stretch. Having a bye now or in the middle of UW, Oregon, ucla would be more advantageous.
    USC is a team that can magically find their talent advantage at any given time and destroy even a great team. We saw it in 2016, when that season's results would have suggested that game go a totally different way. They could beat Oregon, but I'm still sticking with UW being their "Oh yeah, we're actually good!" victim, as it seems every team is playing their perfect game against UW.

    I'm thinking they beat UW then lose out.
  • doogville
    doogville Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 1,231 Swaye's Wigwam
    Yea, I think we lose to USC, then win out. So still make it to the championship game.
  • LawDawg1
    LawDawg1 Member Posts: 3,942
    edited October 2023
    doogville said:

    Yea, I think we lose to USC, then win out. So still make it to the championship game.

    So 11-2?
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,272
    1. Washington (6-0) - Utah, @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2 Oregon (5-1) - USC, @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3 USC (5-2) - @ Oregon, UCLA, Bye

    4. Oregon State (4-2) - Stanford, Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    4. Utah (4-2) - @ Washington, @ Arizona, Colorado (on Sat)

    4. Arizona (4-2) - @ Colorado, Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    UCLA drops off the list with their loss. Utah and USC now with must win games to stay in the hunt.
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
    Don’t sleep on #mycats
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,272
    Pre-late game fupdate, and giving the Beavs the win already since they are not fucking around with Stanford like we did.

    1. Washington (7-0) - @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2 Oregon (5-1) - USC, @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3 USC (5-2) - @ Oregon, UCLA, Bye

    4. Oregon State (5-2) - Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    4. Arizona (5-2) - Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    Goodbye Utah and GFY.


    A 4 way tie for first at 7-2 would be how the Pac-12 ends, wouldn't it.
  • EsophagealFeces
    EsophagealFeces Member Posts: 13,167
    whlinder said:

    Pre-late game fupdate, and giving the Beavs the win already since they are not fucking around with Stanford like we did.

    1. Washington (7-0) - @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2 Oregon (5-1) - USC, @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3 USC (5-2) - @ Oregon, UCLA, Bye

    4. Oregon State (5-2) - Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    4. Arizona (5-2) - Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    Goodbye Utah and GFY.


    A 4 way tie for first at 7-2 would be how the Pac-12 ends, wouldn't it.

    It’s the script, but I don’t think it’s going to happen. I think we lose to Beav, but I just can’t see us losing to Cuog too
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,213
    whlinder said:

    Pre-late game fupdate, and giving the Beavs the win already since they are not fucking around with Stanford like we did.

    It's a home game

    Getting hyped at the mausoleum that is @ Stanford, now that's tuff

  • EsophagealFeces
    EsophagealFeces Member Posts: 13,167
    ntxduck said:

    whlinder said:

    Pre-late game fupdate, and giving the Beavs the win already since they are not fucking around with Stanford like we did.

    1. Washington (7-0) - @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2 Oregon (5-1) - USC, @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3 USC (5-2) - @ Oregon, UCLA, Bye

    4. Oregon State (5-2) - Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    4. Arizona (5-2) - Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    Goodbye Utah and GFY.


    A 4 way tie for first at 7-2 would be how the Pac-12 ends, wouldn't it.

    It’s the script, but I don’t think it’s going to happen. I think we lose to Beav, but I just can’t see us losing to Cuog too
    There is a 0.0% chance you lose to coug
    Agree
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,272
    edited November 2023
    Goodbye USC

    1. Washington (7-0) - @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2 Oregon (6-1) - @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3. Oregon State (5-2) - Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    3. Arizona (5-2) - Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    The UCLA cat dude did scenarios:

  • EwaDawg
    EwaDawg Member Posts: 4,335
    whlinder said:

    Goodbye USC

    1. Washington (7-0) - @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2 Oregon (6-1) - @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3. Oregon State (5-2) - Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    3. Arizona (5-2) - Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    The UCLA cat dude did scenarios:

    I can get fully onboard with a zona rematch in the CCG. Doesn't seem like an impossible scenario, at all.
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
    EwaDawg said:

    whlinder said:

    Goodbye USC

    1. Washington (7-0) - @ Oregon St, WSU (on Sat)

    2 Oregon (6-1) - @ ASU, Oregon State (on Friday)

    3. Oregon State (5-2) - Washington, @ Oregon (on Friday)

    3. Arizona (5-2) - Utah, @ ASU (on Sat)

    The UCLA cat dude did scenarios:

    I can get fully onboard with a zona rematch in the CCG. Doesn't seem like an impossible scenario, at all.
    Think I’d rather see UW play Oregon. Fisch seems like he’s figured things out and Lanning is always good for a major brain fart or two in big games.
  • NeGgaPlEaSe
    NeGgaPlEaSe Member Posts: 5,763
    Still need Oregon to win. Fuck playing Arizona
  • CFetters_Nacho_Lover
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,309 Founders Club
    I’d rather play Oregon just for the chance at the Penix trifecta.
  • haie
    haie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 23,767 Founders Club
    You have to tweet out the requirements/tie breakers so that casuals know who can get in to your champion game but I'm told that this new non-divisional system isn't FS.
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,272
    haie said:

    You have to tweet out the requirements/tie breakers so that casuals know who can get in to your champion game but I'm told that this new non-divisional system isn't FS.

    So the bigger picture FS about that decision is the CFP chaos scenario. Absent a Duck meltdown next week, this new structure guarantees an additional loss for 1 of the 2 P12’s CFP contenders.

    You know who’s not taking an extra loss? tOSU/Michigan. Bama/Georgia.

    FSU losing looking likelier without their QB, Texas still has Sark. If you get
    13-0 Georgia
    13-0 B1G
    2 loss B12, 1 loss ACC

    13-0 UW is obviously in, but 11-2 Oregon won’t compete with 11-1 B1G or 12-1 ACC. At 11-1 they would have had a chance, especially based on how the committee views them now and with a chance for another quality win this week.

    12-1 Oregon conf champ is probably in, and 12-1 UW is competing with the same 11-1 B1G and 12-1 ACC for last spot.

    The conference conceded most of the chance to get 2 teams in with this shit.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,141
    whlinder said:

    haie said:

    You have to tweet out the requirements/tie breakers so that casuals know who can get in to your champion game but I'm told that this new non-divisional system isn't FS.

    So the bigger picture FS about that decision is the CFP chaos scenario. Absent a Duck meltdown next week, this new structure guarantees an additional loss for 1 of the 2 P12’s CFP contenders.

    You know who’s not taking an extra loss? tOSU/Michigan. Bama/Georgia.

    FSU losing looking likelier without their QB, Texas still has Sark. If you get
    13-0 Georgia
    13-0 B1G
    2 loss B12, 1 loss ACC

    13-0 UW is obviously in, but 11-2 Oregon won’t compete with 11-1 B1G or 12-1 ACC. At 11-1 they would have had a chance, especially based on how the committee views them now and with a chance for another quality win this week.

    12-1 Oregon conf champ is probably in, and 12-1 UW is competing with the same 11-1 B1G and 12-1 ACC for last spot.

    The conference conceded most of the chance to get 2 teams in with this shit.
    Great point