If you don’t think AI will kill us all
Comments
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The great alliance of the Russians, Chinese, and robots finally brought down the American Empire!!WestlinnDuck said:
Channeling your inner mello isn't quite the statement you seem to think it is.PostGameOrangeSlices said:Sounds grim
Dont forgot to check beneath your bed for ChatGPT tonight -
If every Roman Emperor was similar to Augustus, we'd still be living in Romecreepycoug said:
And try to expand the empire into the east as far as they did.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
Conquest wasnt the problem IMO. Or the administration.
They definitely got complacent.
Despite the Tug's doom and gloom, America and friends remain lightyears ahead of the fucking Chinese and Russians.
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Notable expert on everything heard from.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
If every Roman Emperor was similar to Augustus, we'd still be living in Romecreepycoug said:
And try to expand the empire into the east as far as they did.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
Conquest wasnt the problem IMO. Or the administration.
They definitely got complacent.
Despite the Tug's doom and gloom, America and friends remain lightyears ahead of the fucking Chinese and Russians.
I don't think anyone is suggesting the world is ending, but to argue that the US will endure forever is asinine. Regardless of whatever you consider complacency to mean -
My take is that the expansion spread them too thin, including by administration. Rome as an empire didn't work with two emperors. Rome in its last stages, the real Rome, had become a second class citizen to Rome East. It was a bridge too far and they blew their wad in establishing Constantinople as the other Rome. It was destined to fail.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
If every Roman Emperor was similar to Augustus, we'd still be living in Romecreepycoug said:
And try to expand the empire into the east as far as they did.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
Conquest wasnt the problem IMO. Or the administration.
They definitely got complacent.
Despite the Tug's doom and gloom, America and friends remain lightyears ahead of the fucking Chinese and Russians. -
We seem to be channeling some bad Roman Emperors. Having a dementia patient as president seems to bear a resemblance to a horse as a Roman Consul.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
If every Roman Emperor was similar to Augustus, we'd still be living in Romecreepycoug said:
And try to expand the empire into the east as far as they did.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
Conquest wasnt the problem IMO. Or the administration.
They definitely got complacent.
Despite the Tug's doom and gloom, America and friends remain lightyears ahead of the fucking Chinese and Russians. -
I know you're being sarcastic, but that's Istanbulcreepycoug said:
My take is that the expansion spread them too thin, including by administration. Rome as an empire didn't work with two emperors. Rome in its last stages, the real Rome, had become a second class citizen to Rome East. It was a bridge too far and they blew their wad in establishing Constantinople as the other Rome. It was destined to fail.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
If every Roman Emperor was similar to Augustus, we'd still be living in Romecreepycoug said:
And try to expand the empire into the east as far as they did.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
Conquest wasnt the problem IMO. Or the administration.
They definitely got complacent.
Despite the Tug's doom and gloom, America and friends remain lightyears ahead of the fucking Chinese and Russians. -
Aliens scare me more than AI. Tuff to beat the hive mind fleet that appears on the edge of the solarsystemSources said:
Notable expert on everything heard from.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
If every Roman Emperor was similar to Augustus, we'd still be living in Romecreepycoug said:
And try to expand the empire into the east as far as they did.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
Conquest wasnt the problem IMO. Or the administration.
They definitely got complacent.
Despite the Tug's doom and gloom, America and friends remain lightyears ahead of the fucking Chinese and Russians.
I don't think anyone is suggesting the world is ending, but to argue that the US will endure forever is asinine. Regardless of whatever you consider complacency to mean
We can't know the future, but the hypotheticals about AI are funny.
Society has markedly improved in damn near every way over the last 100 years of vast technological innovation.
The Tug wouldve been bitching about horse breeders losing their jobs at Henry Ford, and it wouldve been bitching about OSHA laws limiting children in the coal mines. How can the mines remain profitable?!?!?!?!
Society evolves.
You guys are like the climate kooks thinking the world will be underwater unless we go vegan. Just on the other end of the spectrum.
Also - no one here knows shit about fuck. Aint an expert in sight. Which is why its fun -
Doesn't help when you give away all your war fighting equipment either.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either. -
Been the case for 50 years, but better late than never.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
People are having less babies as income and development increasesSledog said:
The vax took care of the birthrate. It wasn't bug it was a feature.PostGameOrangeSlices said:You guys worry too much...
UBI is a lot more likley than Skynet
The machines wont need to do population control anyways. Births are down across the globe.
You don't need 50 kids to help out on the frontier farm anymore -
The US has given Ukraine lots of older artillery equipment, old Bradleys, and old AbramsSledog said:
Doesn't help when you give away all your war fighting equipment either.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
All of these models are scheduled to be replaced.
The thing that matters most if you are the United States is the Air Force and the Navy. These are the real teeth of the military. There is no peer to the F-22 or the F-35.
Many military experts believe the F-16 is better than anything Russia can field, and especially China.
Additionally, the naval equipment is vastly superior. The US has over a dozen carrier groups. China sort of has 1, and Russia can't even take their dilapidated POS out to sea.
The only thing China has that is at all decent is their anti-ship missles. No one knows how good those are and how well a carrier group with submarine support would do against them. And we will more than 99.99% likely never find out.
The US does not want to invade Russia or China, so who really gives a shit about artillery? The US will be fine and can produce shells at a decent clip if needed.
Tldr, the Air Force and Navy is the real imperial force. Not the javelin infantry launcher or some old ass humvees -
My father in law is jerking off uncontrollably to your comments about the navy.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
The US has given Ukraine lots of older artillery equipment, old Bradleys, and old AbramsSledog said:
Doesn't help when you give away all your war fighting equipment either.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
All of these models are scheduled to be replaced.
The thing that matters most if you are the United States is the Air Force and the Navy. These are the real teeth of the military. There is no peer to the F-22 or the F-35.
Many military experts believe the F-16 is better than anything Russia can field, and especially China.
Additionally, the naval equipment is vastly superior. The US has over a dozen carrier groups. China sort of has 1, and Russia can't even take their dilapidated POS out to sea.
The only thing China has that is at all decent is their anti-ship missles. No one knows how good those are and how well a carrier group with submarine support would do against them. And we will more than 99.99% likely never find out.
The US does not want to invade Russia or China, so who really gives a shit about artillery? The US will be fine and can produce shells at a decent clip if needed.
Tldr, the Air Force and Navy is the real imperial force. Not the javelin infantry launcher or some old ass humvees -
The US navy that gets bitch slapped by Iran thanks to the Tranny command
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I mean, hasn't been brought up but Quantum Computing and that whole race was the doomsday thing 10 years ago. What happened to that?
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Hilarious.RaceBannon said:
Iran does stupid shit in the Persian Gulf and somehow that means the US Navy is bad
News flash gramps - one carrier group could bomb Iran into the fucking stone age -
I talk to guys still doing the real shit. I don't make vague references. An F16 is still a great fighter and may still have older missiles to use after a week. An older m1 Abrams is still better than 99% of tanks we'd face. Same with a Bradley. Scheduled to be replaced and have been replaced is quite a bit different!
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Fuck off PGOSPostGameOrangeSlices said:
Hilarious.RaceBannon said:
Iran does stupid shit in the Persian Gulf and somehow that means the US Navy is bad
News flash gramps - one carrier group could bomb Iran into the fucking stone age
Your resistance to facts is getting boring
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I don't think he's worried. I think he's trying to provide some advice which is falling on deaf ears.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Sounds grim.RaceBannon said:
Your generation is exactly what @Doogles is talking about. Too cool for school as we used to say. Why worry?PostGameOrangeSlices said:You guys worry too much...
UBI is a lot more likley than Skynet
The machines wont need to do population control anyways. Births are down across the globe.
Because you have no grasp of history or human nature. Keep scrolling bro. UBI needs someone to pay into it. Who would that be?
There is no reason to keep a large population that does nothing that you need to pay. You're actually giving credence to the theory that your masters want to trim 81% of the world population.
@Doogles is dialed in on deep fakes and the general destruction of society
Good luck the rest of the way
I had a good run. I doubt you will because you want to leave it in the hands of folks who don't give a shit about you
Bodies stacked like cordwood? Lmao
Again - you worry too much
Keep worrying buddy -
Quantum Computing is helping advance AI. Once the spectrum of light is used to move data, and copper, gold etc become obsolete, this advancement will become exponential. My only input in this debate would be to focus on the positive but have a healthy respect for the negative.haie said:I mean, hasn't been brought up but Quantum Computing and that whole race was the doomsday thing 10 years ago. What happened to that?
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HilariousRaceBannon said:
Fuck off PGOSPostGameOrangeSlices said:
Hilarious.RaceBannon said:
Iran does stupid shit in the Persian Gulf and somehow that means the US Navy is bad
News flash gramps - one carrier group could bomb Iran into the fucking stone age
Your resistance to facts is getting boring
Because Iran messes around with a few merchant chips, the US couldnt wipe the floor with any competition.
Sure.gif -
Advice about what.RoadTrip said:
I don't think he's worried. I think he's trying to provide some advice which is falling on deaf ears.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Sounds grim.RaceBannon said:
Your generation is exactly what @Doogles is talking about. Too cool for school as we used to say. Why worry?PostGameOrangeSlices said:You guys worry too much...
UBI is a lot more likley than Skynet
The machines wont need to do population control anyways. Births are down across the globe.
Because you have no grasp of history or human nature. Keep scrolling bro. UBI needs someone to pay into it. Who would that be?
There is no reason to keep a large population that does nothing that you need to pay. You're actually giving credence to the theory that your masters want to trim 81% of the world population.
@Doogles is dialed in on deep fakes and the general destruction of society
Good luck the rest of the way
I had a good run. I doubt you will because you want to leave it in the hands of folks who don't give a shit about you
Bodies stacked like cordwood? Lmao
Again - you worry too much
Keep worrying buddy
This is a football message board.
What can you, me, or Race do about anything? Besides vote every now and then -
Disagree if 10% of the population becomes unemployable. There will be rioting, or this ushers in universal basic income at the federal level where people are paid for simply existing.creepycoug said:
You forgot one thing: the government. They'll regulate the fuck out of it.haie said:It's coming for every white collar job that is not related to tech.
Lawyers, Loan officers, etc are fucked. Within a decade if not 5 years.
They love to list lawyers on this list, but what they really mean is paralegal and low-level associate volume work. The judgment isn't there yet for a real lawyer. Accountants? Much more vulnerable. Traders and Finance Bros? Already happening. Fake conservative debaters on anonymous internet message boards? Already happening. And as I said long ago, coders are also on the hook. The AI can or will be able to code better than people.
It technically has the ability to replace everybody. It won't. We're freaking out again like it's Y2K, which turned out to be a nothing sandwich.
Can't stop progress. The benies will outweigh the costs. May as well sit back and enjoy it and let @oregonblitzkrieg rant about it wherever he ran off to. Maybe this is the beginning of a technological evolutionary pivot Marx envisioned as giving birth to his socialist paradise where scarcity is eliminated. @UW_Doog_Bot ?
OTOH, there's a chance that this could push some folks back into the trades which could be a benefit for our infrastructure needs, housing shortages, etc. -
Enjoy having a social credit score determine what you have access to.PostGameOrangeSlices said:You guys worry too much...
UBI is a lot more likley than Skynet
The machines wont need to do population control anyways. Births are down across the globe.
You don't need to be a "prepper," but it sounds like you need to talk a long walk for some perspective to THINK and CARE about what society could look like in 25 years if everyone has the lazy attitude you seem to have. -
"Big Tech is my Lord and Savior. They would never deem people useless for the sake of making more money."PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Aliens scare me more than AI. Tuff to beat the hive mind fleet that appears on the edge of the solarsystemSources said:
Notable expert on everything heard from.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
If every Roman Emperor was similar to Augustus, we'd still be living in Romecreepycoug said:
And try to expand the empire into the east as far as they did.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Rome was also complacent and didnt have better military tech than the competitioncreepycoug said:
Rome was always going to fall. If it wasn't that (and I'm not sure it was entirely or mostly that), it would have been something else. Rome was born of high stakes betrayal. Romulus killed Remus over an argument about where to begin the building of Rome. Even at its very beginning, one brother killed another to hold @Swaye over Rome. The city was constantly ebbing and flowing for the better and for the worse over political rivalry and skulduggery. Rome was doomed from the start. But what a fucking empire it was, eh?WestlinnDuck said:Rome had an idle population and how did that work out? At the end they didn't have the will to defend themselves. Sounds familiar. We will pay money we don't have to defend a border 4600 miles away, but won't even pretend to defend our own southern border. Then we are happy to provide bread and circuses to the invaders. Idle hands are the devil's workshop. If you won't work to earn a living but expect someone else to provide for you, you aren't living, you are just existing.
Legions were great. Then everyone else caught up.
Doesn't help when you have dozens of civil wars all the time, either.
Conquest wasnt the problem IMO. Or the administration.
They definitely got complacent.
Despite the Tug's doom and gloom, America and friends remain lightyears ahead of the fucking Chinese and Russians.
I don't think anyone is suggesting the world is ending, but to argue that the US will endure forever is asinine. Regardless of whatever you consider complacency to mean
We can't know the future, but the hypotheticals about AI are funny.
Society has markedly improved in damn near every way over the last 100 years of vast technological innovation.
The Tug wouldve been bitching about horse breeders losing their jobs at Henry Ford, and it wouldve been bitching about OSHA laws limiting children in the coal mines. How can the mines remain profitable?!?!?!?!
Society evolves.
You guys are like the climate kooks thinking the world will be underwater unless we go vegan. Just on the other end of the spectrum.
Also - no one here knows shit about fuck. Aint an expert in sight. Which is why its fun -
Mussolini has the trains running on time. You guys worry too much
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There was a lot of fear mongering about this pre China Cold in the media. Now it's starting up again. I don't think it happens all at once, but you already see it in Fry's, Safeway, Target, Costco, and Carl's Sr. has AI taking orders in Buckeye or some suburban Phx shithole. Luckily I'm in an industry that's pretty bullet proof to this.
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AI that is programmed is different from REAL AI that learns how to think for itself and grows exponentially more intelligent than us
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FMFYFEPostGameOrangeSlices said:
Advice about what.RoadTrip said:
I don't think he's worried. I think he's trying to provide some advice which is falling on deaf ears.PostGameOrangeSlices said:
Sounds grim.RaceBannon said:
Your generation is exactly what @Doogles is talking about. Too cool for school as we used to say. Why worry?PostGameOrangeSlices said:You guys worry too much...
UBI is a lot more likley than Skynet
The machines wont need to do population control anyways. Births are down across the globe.
Because you have no grasp of history or human nature. Keep scrolling bro. UBI needs someone to pay into it. Who would that be?
There is no reason to keep a large population that does nothing that you need to pay. You're actually giving credence to the theory that your masters want to trim 81% of the world population.
@Doogles is dialed in on deep fakes and the general destruction of society
Good luck the rest of the way
I had a good run. I doubt you will because you want to leave it in the hands of folks who don't give a shit about you
Bodies stacked like cordwood? Lmao
Again - you worry too much
Keep worrying buddy
This is a football message board.
What can you, me, or Race do about anything? Besides vote every now and then -
I'll come back and bump this thread in 25 years when you guys are wrongBleachedAnusDawg said:
Enjoy having a social credit score determine what you have access to.PostGameOrangeSlices said:You guys worry too much...
UBI is a lot more likley than Skynet
The machines wont need to do population control anyways. Births are down across the globe.
You don't need to be a "prepper," but it sounds like you need to talk a long walk for some perspective to THINK and CARE about what society could look like in 25 years if everyone has the lazy attitude you seem to have.
Not that youll read it since youll be long gone
It's really easy to be Nostradamus with the doom and gloom takes
Being right - now that's the hard part