Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.
Here is a preview that makes sense. Actual data and analysis
Auburndawg
Member Posts: 362
http://cfbmatrix.com/20-washington-huskies-preview-2014/
My favorite parts:
Most fans may not realize that heading into 2013, Washington was the No. 18 recruiter (post-attrition) of the previous four years. Considering that all of the national title participants of the last nine years were teams ranked in the top 16 in terms of talent coming into their national title game season, UW was a fringe elite program for a season. However, the talent under-performed the schedule for the fifth straight year under former coach Steve Sarkisian.
The bottom line is Washington has a higher potential win ceiling with Petersen. Sarkisian maxed out at minus-1 coach effect, meaning he averaged 1 game under CFB Matrix talent/schedule projections each year. If Petersen can replicate his even or plus-1 game coach effect seasons he had at Boise then this program will be winning 9 to 11 games per year.
They have a higher talent ranking than ten of the teams on their schedule for a talent only baseline record of 10-3. Adjust up 2 games for home wins versus Stanford and UCLA and the record is 12-1. Down -1 games for a new head coach and have 11-2 with my favorite middle number at 10.5.
11-2
My favorite parts:
Most fans may not realize that heading into 2013, Washington was the No. 18 recruiter (post-attrition) of the previous four years. Considering that all of the national title participants of the last nine years were teams ranked in the top 16 in terms of talent coming into their national title game season, UW was a fringe elite program for a season. However, the talent under-performed the schedule for the fifth straight year under former coach Steve Sarkisian.
The bottom line is Washington has a higher potential win ceiling with Petersen. Sarkisian maxed out at minus-1 coach effect, meaning he averaged 1 game under CFB Matrix talent/schedule projections each year. If Petersen can replicate his even or plus-1 game coach effect seasons he had at Boise then this program will be winning 9 to 11 games per year.
They have a higher talent ranking than ten of the teams on their schedule for a talent only baseline record of 10-3. Adjust up 2 games for home wins versus Stanford and UCLA and the record is 12-1. Down -1 games for a new head coach and have 11-2 with my favorite middle number at 10.5.
11-2
Comments
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The talent under-performed the schedule for the fifth straight year under former coach Steve Sarkisian.
Washington has a higher potential win ceiling with Petersen.
Water is wet. -
I hope you posted this on Doogman Aubs.
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They have the owner of this site on 1080 quite a bit during the season. This guy knows his shit, and basically predicted UW's season last year saying they should be a 9-10 win team prior to a bowl but subtract 1 due to poor coaching: 8-4.
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Of course. And over on the farmFire_Marshall_Bill said:I hope you posted this on Doogman Aubs.
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WIW and yet very rarely is it postedwhatshouldicareabout said:The talent under-performed the schedule for the fifth straight year under former coach Steve Sarkisian.
Washington has a higher potential win ceiling with Petersen.
Water is wet. -
Read the whole preview in the magazine he does Dave said Petersen doesn't have a coach effect right now because he is just starting out at UW, but if he continues the +1 to even coach effect he has had while at BSU, UW will be winning 9 games a year at least.
I'LL TAKE IT!!!111!
Also said that once you are a top 25 recruiter for awhile (like UW) you will most likely be a top 25 recruiter going forward. WIW
