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Maximum Carnage Week Game Thread
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https://www.cato.org/blog/economics-vaccine-distributionIn fact, one modeling paper by biostatisticians at the University of Washington has found that if the efficacy of the vaccines are high (as seems true) and we have enough to inoculate, say, 40–50 percent of the population fairly quickly, then it is optimal to prioritize vaccinating the “high transmitters” first , i.e. people most likely to spread the disease through their activities (proxied for as the under‐50s.) That’s because if the vaccine is effective in stopping the spread, and you inoculate those most likely to spread it, you protect those individuals and those they would otherwise have transmitted the virus to. In addition, it seems likely we would see significant overlap between those most likely to spread the disease and the gains for formal market economic activity too. So, provided these assumptions hold, you might get a much bigger bang for your shot from vaccinating younger groups first.
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No you need to inoculate prisoners and the homeless. Those are the ones traveling for Thanksgiving and Christmas, obviously. Science.
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https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/12/10/essential-facts-about-covid-19/
Essential Facts About Covid-19
Guest Blogger / 22 hours ago December 10, 2020
By James D. Agresti
Overview
Given the spread of misinformation about Covid-19, Just Facts is providing a trove of rigorously documented facts about this disease and its impacts. These include some essential facts that have been absent or misreported in much of the media’s coverage of this issue.
This research also includes a groundbreaking study to determine the lethality of Covid-19 based on the most comprehensive available measure: the total years of life that it will rob from all people. This accords with the CDC’s tenet that “the allocation of health resources must consider not only the number of deaths by cause” but also the “years of potential life lost.”
On one hand, these facts show that:
the average death rate for people who contract Covid-19 is well below 1% and is much closer to that of the seasonal flu than figures that were commonly reported by the press.
the average years of life lost from each Covid-19 death are significantly fewer than from common causes of untimely death like accidents and suicides.
the virus that causes Covid-19 is “very vulnerable to antibody neutralization” and has very limited ability to mutate, which make it unlikely to take masses of lives year after year like the flu and other recurring scourges.
if 500,000 Covid-19 deaths ultimately occur in the United States—or more than twice the level of a prominent projection—the disease will rob about 6.8 million years of life from all Americans who were alive at the outset of 2020. In contrast:
the flu will rob them of about 35 million years.
suicides will rob them of 132 million years.
accidents will rob them of 409 million years.
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Id stick it inNorthwestFresh said:
Holy Shit I know her in real life! Kind of chubby but really funny and a pretty face. Had no clue she has that big of a Twatter. Weird.GrundleStiltzkin said: -
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South Dakota would play USC
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