ELECTION GAME THREAD
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Networks trying to keep viewers
Its over. Trump -
Has any network called Florida for Trump yet? This is absurd.RaceBannon said:Networks trying to keep viewers
Its over. Trump -
That guy is a libtard, right? I was getting worried about Ohio until I saw this.GrundleStiltzkin said: -
No, magtard I think.EsophagealFeces said:
That guy is a libtard, right? I was getting worried about Ohio until I saw this.GrundleStiltzkin said: -
They are paid DC propagandists. FauxNews called Virginia for Biden with <1% counted and it’s still in Trump’s favor.Dude61 said:
Has any network called Florida for Trump yet? This is absurd.RaceBannon said:Networks trying to keep viewers
Its over. Trump -
Fwiw live Betting has been moving in Trump's favor and now -135 Trump
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Only you can plagiarize my shit and IDGAF. Agree.RaceBannon said:Networks trying to keep viewers
Its over. Trump -
Seeing on twitter Fox is forecasting the house going to Dems with an increase in 5 seats. Fuck Fox. Hello Newsmax.
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Trump wins North Carolina barring a miracle in today’s voters.
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Lindsey Graham retains his seat in South Carolina.
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That's actually huge.NorthwestFresh said:Lindsey Graham retains his seat in South Carolina.
A big win for the (closeted) gays, too.
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Bovada is now -240.Doogles said:Fwiw live Betting has been moving in Trump's favor and now -135 Trump
WOW
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@GrundleStiltzkin, this is why no network called NC. Dems scared their voters to stay inside and the early counts made the Dem turnout low today.
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NYT, please, get back to me with a neutral source.NorthwestFresh said:@GrundleStiltzkin, this is why no network called NC. Dems scared their voters to stay inside and the early counts made the Dem turnout low today.
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The rewriting of history has begun.
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Fox saying Biden 78% chance in Georgia
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Don’t watch so don’t know if TappTapp ever predicted a blow out (kinda doubt it), but yeah ...Dude61 said:The rewriting of history has begun.
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MotherfuckersDude61 said:The rewriting of history has begun.
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Jake Tapper can suck my balls btwjhfstyle24 said:Trump is essentially a slightly larger than 2016-sized polling error away from winning, but he also has the Supreme Court on his side, which could be important given the amount of late tallying expected from the massive VBM numbers.
The polls, based on early voting, are off markedly in:
AZ
FL
GA
Three likely wins for Trump, states to be unconcerned about. The only way Biden can win those three is if:
1. GOP-registered voters voted for Biden at a markedly higher rate than Dems did Trump
2. Independents are pretty heavy Biden.
If neither of those things are true, Trump is winning those three. We should know these answers by 4 or 5.
Miami-Dade should be watched pretty closely because early voting data showed that Trump did shockingly well there based on party registration (GOP held a slight lead, although IND was pretty high). If turnout there is high today Biden could have a chance (because a lot of Dems there haven't voted yet), but Trump is a cinch in Tampa, so even decent results in Miami-Dade hand Florida to Trump.
Ohio and Iowa are Trump's, no question IMO. Biden is not winning Iowa (see: Selzer) and early voting data in other swing states makes me pretty confident there's a swing-state polling error in Trump's direction again (the size of which is hard to tell, but likely a baseline of about 3 pts).
Turnout in Texas is sky high, specifically in the urban areas that helped Beto, which could be a big time issue for Trump. A shit ton of new voters have been registered in Texas since 2018 and Beto only lost by like 250k votes. Obviously, Trump loses Texas, he's fucked. But, if there's good turnout today, he'll be fine.
Michigan and Wisconsin are Biden, as is Minnesota, if all votes get counted. The Supreme Court could help Trump out here though - he can contest the tallies after tonight, and tonight's numbers will almost surely show him ahead.
Pennsylvania is the question. It's not likely that PA is actually 7 pts. The in-person vote today means a lot. If it's a huge Trump lead - 30% is to be expected, but if it's in the range of 50% - Trump is winning the state.
This election is a lot closer than people think. I'd put it at 60-40 Biden assuming a 50-60 mil turnout, but I would be highly surprised by a Biden blowout. If turnout today is above 70 mil, Trump likely has it in the bag.
This is gonna be a fun week as mail votes get counted -
No “mainstream” media network as yet to call Florida for Trump. It’s over.
My resource on numbers is an awesome Twitter account that calls things early and isn’t biased. -
Chinese Yuan money market moving downward... just saying...
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