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Election Poll - Call It
Comments
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Biden, but much closer than the poles predicted because polesters are charlatans.
I hope so - I am 15 miles past Pe Ell in Pacific county. If Lewis falls, the Willapa Valley is close behindEsophagealFeces said:
Lewis county will probably be fine too. The rest of the I-5 corridor could be a shitshow tho.PurpleThrobber said:
The 509 is safe. Just higher gas prices.EsophagealFeces said:I still feel good about my prediction. I’m also happy to be moving to Idaho next weekend before Washington burns.
The fire line will be at Vantage. No winter burning East of that. -
Biden in a contested election because Barrett isn't seated and Roberts is a giant faggot.I live in Bellevue and Saturday night’s little tantrum was barely felt. The carnage will be concentrated in DT Seattle.
Boats with trump flags out all over Juanita Bay in Saturday around lunch time. -
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Biden in a landslide. Big orange dummy finally bested by geriatric creeper.
Tiny sample size, Philly ballot laundering is off the charts, no chance in PA.NorthwestFresh said:
Trump is going to have to win WI, MI, AZ -
Trump has PA rather easily, but thar’s just my gut.Houhusky said:
Tiny sample size, Philly ballot laundering is off the charts, no chance in PA.NorthwestFresh said:
Trump is going to have to win WI, MI, AZ
A sample size of 400 is large for a single state like PA. Most national polls sample ~1000 out of 340 million people. 400 in PA, which has less than 13 million citizens.
Statistically, the PA poll should be more accurate than any national poll. -
Trump in a tight one because all the poles are bullshit.
Any sample size above 30 should be statistically relevant IF it is random enough in its sample selection.NorthwestFresh said:
Trump has PA rather easily, but thar’s just my gut.Houhusky said:
Tiny sample size, Philly ballot laundering is off the charts, no chance in PA.NorthwestFresh said:
Trump is going to have to win WI, MI, AZ
A sample size of 400 is large for a single state like PA. Most national polls sample ~1000 out of 340 million people. 400 in PA, which has less than 13 million citizens.
Statistically, the PA poll should be more accurate than any national poll. -
Biden in a contested election because Barrett isn't seated and Roberts is a giant faggot.The rest of Penn is going harder for Trump this time than 4 years ago...even the African American vote is trending more his way. It really is going to be how many ballots they can print in Philly and print with no signatures to see if they can magically get them counted.
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Trump in a contested election that the SCOTUS (by SCOTUS I mean Barrett) decides.In a weird way a strong black vote for trump could heal quite a bit nationally. Unless CNN wants to call 30M people uncle toms
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Biden in a landslide. Big orange dummy finally bested by geriatric creeper.Played around with an electoral map today. Nothing groundbreaking in my analysis, but I think PA and NC are keys. And if Trump loses one of Michigan and Wisconsin he has to win both PA and NC to win re-election. Just my two cents.
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Biden in a landslide. Big orange dummy finally bested by geriatric creeper.
Some PosiMAGAs do not see the table that is being set...HoustonHusky said:The rest of Penn is going harder for Trump this time than 4 years ago...even the African American vote is trending more his way. It really is going to be how many ballots they can print in Philly and print with no signatures to see if they can magically get them counted.
NateSilver ejecting the last +Trump favorite pollster (Trafalger) from his very popular "538 modeling" and hinting at all the plus biden polls only being wrong IF trump cheats...
They are setting the table to create the reality they wish for...
