Numbers, math, facts, etc.
Comments
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Pimps? or illegal drug sellers?Fire_Marshall_Bill said:
this white man has negotiated with a fewWestlinnDuck said:I don't know about you but I see a lot of black people selling scalped tickets at events that I go to. I'm betting that enterprising blacks are selling illegal drugs at a much higher level than white people. Just a thought. Once upon a time a heard that some black people were PIMPS. Don't know for sure, but that's what I heard.
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Yes.doogie said:
Pimps? or illegal drug sellers?Fire_Marshall_Bill said:
this white man has negotiated with a fewWestlinnDuck said:I don't know about you but I see a lot of black people selling scalped tickets at events that I go to. I'm betting that enterprising blacks are selling illegal drugs at a much higher level than white people. Just a thought. Once upon a time a heard that some black people were PIMPS. Don't know for sure, but that's what I heard.
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April 21
^^ This data is next to useless for comparability purposes. I hope decision makers have something better available. -
The first two centers of chinfection in Washington were that nursing home, and about 10 different schools. After that, almost no cases in the school age demo. Why? -
I guess Field Marshall Inslee extends to end of May. What say you?
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Prediction:
He announces golf courses, fishing, camping, etc. opening may 4th and whatever other businesses that make sense.
Restaurants, theaters and shit like that aren't opening anytime soon. And they shouldn't. -
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So what Trump said but less racist
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Trump saved millions of lives with fast social distancing
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Declare victory & move on. -
544 people out of fucking SEVEN million.GrundleStiltzkin said:
Declare victory & move on.
Jesus fuck. Unreal.
There are more than 544 people fucking cows in the State of Washington right now....that doesn't mean we shut down dairy farming for Christ's sake.
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Pics?
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The Throbber values his privacy.doogie said:Pics?
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Lessgo! -
Field Marshall Inslee waived off a question about this report today, but I was chintrigued.
https://covid.idmod.org/data/Updated.analysis.of.COVID-19.transmission.in.King.County.pdf
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https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/04/still-flying-blind-can-meteorologists.htmlThe Bottom Line:
Our government and political leadership have been making extraordinary decisions to close down major sectors of the economy, promulgating stay-at-home orders, moving education online, and spending trillions of dollars.
And they have done so with inadequate information. Decision makers don't know how many people are infected or were infected. They don't know how many people are already immune or the percentage of infected that are asymptomatic. They are using untested models that have not been shown to be reliable. This is not science-based decision making, no matter how often this term has been used, and responsibility for this sorry state of affairs is found on both the Federal and state levels.
The meteorological community has a long and successful track record in an analogous enterprise, showing the importance of massive data collection to describe the environment you wish to predict, the value of sophisticated and well-tested models to make the prediction, and the necessity to maintain a dedicated governmental group that is responsible for state-of-science prediction.
Perhaps this approach should be considered by the infectious disease community. and the experience of the numerical weather prediction community might be useful.
Read the full thing. -
Shapiro is 100% right on this, as weº have been saying for a couple weeks.
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Always trust Man CrushGrundleStiltzkin said:Shapiro is 100% right on this, as weº have been saying for a couple weeks.
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But rats are saying those numbers are horribly wrong!!!!!!!!!!! HH, Scotti, ramen, they all think it is Armageddon, that the decreasing numbers are lies!! Oh the horror! We are all going to die! Oh the humanity!!!!!!!!GrundleStiltzkin said: -
@GrundleStiltzkin best 7 in a row I have seen post - good chit
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Insert rant about applied scientific modeling and scientifically illiterate retards like H here.GrundleStiltzkin said:https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/04/still-flying-blind-can-meteorologists.html
The Bottom Line:
Our government and political leadership have been making extraordinary decisions to close down major sectors of the economy, promulgating stay-at-home orders, moving education online, and spending trillions of dollars.
And they have done so with inadequate information. Decision makers don't know how many people are infected or were infected. They don't know how many people are already immune or the percentage of infected that are asymptomatic. They are using untested models that have not been shown to be reliable. This is not science-based decision making, no matter how often this term has been used, and responsibility for this sorry state of affairs is found on both the Federal and state levels.
The meteorological community has a long and successful track record in an analogous enterprise, showing the importance of massive data collection to describe the environment you wish to predict, the value of sophisticated and well-tested models to make the prediction, and the necessity to maintain a dedicated governmental group that is responsible for state-of-science prediction.
Perhaps this approach should be considered by the infectious disease community. and the experience of the numerical weather prediction community might be useful.
Read the full thing. -
You need to check out North Korean News Break.LebamDawg said:@GrundleStiltzkin best 7 in a row I have seen post - good chit
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Finally found a number for total ICU beds in Washington, 341. Still, the state's public reporting on hospital usage is garbage. It doesn't tell you much of anything concrete on available resource capacity. But since resources have been overwhelmingly shifted to the 'Vid, I feel ok assuming there isn't so much non-Vid ICU occupancy to go over 100% utilization. Usage hasn't been over 42% in the last 7 days.
IHME shows the curve was flattened on Apr 5.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/washington