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JD Coffey III | 4* 2021 S | Kennedale, TX (HS) | (Offered)

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Comments

  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855

    dnc said:

    Going to be special when the first recruit gets coronavirus and everyone negative recruits the hell out of us
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old getting coronavirus are pretty damn low.
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old experiencing severe symptoms are low but I think the chances of him contracting the virus is the same as anybody's. My concern isn't necessarily about him getting seriously ill, it's more because the optics of the headline "UW recruit contracts coronavirus on campus visit" could seriously fuck us over.
    But it's not the same as anybody else's. As a healthy 17 year old he's not going to spend much time around unhealthy 70 year olds. By nature of the population he's a part of he's less likely to be exposed to someone who has the virus and if he is exposed that individual is less likely to do a lot of coughing and sneezing that make it more likely that they spread the virus.

    Coming to UW on a recruiting trip is a lot different for your chances of infection than visiting grandma in Kirkland.
  • Emoterman
    Emoterman Member Posts: 3,333
    edited March 2020
    dnc said:

    dnc said:

    Going to be special when the first recruit gets coronavirus and everyone negative recruits the hell out of us
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old getting coronavirus are pretty damn low.
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old experiencing severe symptoms are low but I think the chances of him contracting the virus is the same as anybody's. My concern isn't necessarily about him getting seriously ill, it's more because the optics of the headline "UW recruit contracts coronavirus on campus visit" could seriously fuck us over.
    But it's not the same as anybody else's. As a healthy 17 year old he's not going to spend much time around unhealthy 70 year olds. By nature of the population he's a part of he's less likely to be exposed to someone who has the virus and if he is exposed that individual is less likely to do a lot of coughing and sneezing that make it more likely that they spread the virus.

    Coming to UW on a recruiting trip is a lot different for your chances of infection than visiting grandma in Kirkland.
    What is this based on? I don't think healthy young people are any less likely to contract the virus and become infectious than unhealthy old people. Probably the scariest vector was the kid in Everett who was tested and returned to school before his test came back positive.

  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    Emoterman said:

    dnc said:

    dnc said:

    Going to be special when the first recruit gets coronavirus and everyone negative recruits the hell out of us
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old getting coronavirus are pretty damn low.
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old experiencing severe symptoms are low but I think the chances of him contracting the virus is the same as anybody's. My concern isn't necessarily about him getting seriously ill, it's more because the optics of the headline "UW recruit contracts coronavirus on campus visit" could seriously fuck us over.
    But it's not the same as anybody else's. As a healthy 17 year old he's not going to spend much time around unhealthy 70 year olds. By nature of the population he's a part of he's less likely to be exposed to someone who has the virus and if he is exposed that individual is less likely to do a lot of coughing and sneezing that make it more likely that they spread the virus.

    Coming to UW on a recruiting trip is a lot different for your chances of infection than visiting grandma in Kirkland.
    What is this based on? I don't think healthy young people are any less likely to contract the virus and become infectious than unhealthy old people. Probably the scariest vector was the kid in Everett who was tested and returned to school before his test came back positive.
    You're more likely to get the virus if you're around more people with it who are coughing and sneezing. Younger people generally exhibit less symptoms so they are less likely to spread the virus. Younger people generally spend more time around younger people and older people generally spend more time around older people so older people are generally more likely to contract it.

    There are other ways it spreads (people touching their face then touching you, touching a surface with the virus on it) but again these things happen more frequently when you're in spaces frequented by people with heavier symptoms.

    I'm not sure if having a stronger immune system makes you less likely to actually contract the virus but that wouldn't shock me either.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    Emoterman said:

    dnc said:

    dnc said:

    Going to be special when the first recruit gets coronavirus and everyone negative recruits the hell out of us
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old getting coronavirus are pretty damn low.
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old experiencing severe symptoms are low but I think the chances of him contracting the virus is the same as anybody's. My concern isn't necessarily about him getting seriously ill, it's more because the optics of the headline "UW recruit contracts coronavirus on campus visit" could seriously fuck us over.
    But it's not the same as anybody else's. As a healthy 17 year old he's not going to spend much time around unhealthy 70 year olds. By nature of the population he's a part of he's less likely to be exposed to someone who has the virus and if he is exposed that individual is less likely to do a lot of coughing and sneezing that make it more likely that they spread the virus.

    Coming to UW on a recruiting trip is a lot different for your chances of infection than visiting grandma in Kirkland.
    What is this based on? I don't think healthy young people are any less likely to contract the virus and become infectious than unhealthy old people. Probably the scariest vector was the kid in Everett who was tested and returned to school before his test came back positive.

    This sounds scary and obviously we don't want to spread the virus to more carriers when it can be avoided but kids are largely unaffected. The teachers would be the real concern here, as well as anyone with compromised immune systems.

    There's plenty to worry about with Coronavirus. Schools are not especially high on the list.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/10/coronavirus-is-mysteriously-sparing-kids-killing-elderly-understanding-why-may-help-defeat-virus/
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,527 Founders Club
    dnc said:

    dnc said:

    Going to be special when the first recruit gets coronavirus and everyone negative recruits the hell out of us
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old getting coronavirus are pretty damn low.
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old experiencing severe symptoms are low but I think the chances of him contracting the virus is the same as anybody's. My concern isn't necessarily about him getting seriously ill, it's more because the optics of the headline "UW recruit contracts coronavirus on campus visit" could seriously fuck us over.
    But it's not the same as anybody else's. As a healthy 17 year old he's not going to spend much time around unhealthy 70 year olds. By nature of the population he's a part of he's less likely to be exposed to someone who has the virus and if he is exposed that individual is less likely to do a lot of coughing and sneezing that make it more likely that they spread the virus.

    Coming to UW on a recruiting trip is a lot different for your chances of infection than visiting grandma in Kirkland.


    Right this is true. Where has anyone heard different? Asking for a friend
  • Emoterman
    Emoterman Member Posts: 3,333
    edited March 2020
    dnc said:

    Emoterman said:

    dnc said:

    dnc said:

    Going to be special when the first recruit gets coronavirus and everyone negative recruits the hell out of us
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old getting coronavirus are pretty damn low.
    The chances of a healthy 17 year old experiencing severe symptoms are low but I think the chances of him contracting the virus is the same as anybody's. My concern isn't necessarily about him getting seriously ill, it's more because the optics of the headline "UW recruit contracts coronavirus on campus visit" could seriously fuck us over.
    But it's not the same as anybody else's. As a healthy 17 year old he's not going to spend much time around unhealthy 70 year olds. By nature of the population he's a part of he's less likely to be exposed to someone who has the virus and if he is exposed that individual is less likely to do a lot of coughing and sneezing that make it more likely that they spread the virus.

    Coming to UW on a recruiting trip is a lot different for your chances of infection than visiting grandma in Kirkland.
    What is this based on? I don't think healthy young people are any less likely to contract the virus and become infectious than unhealthy old people. Probably the scariest vector was the kid in Everett who was tested and returned to school before his test came back positive.
    You're more likely to get the virus if you're around more people with it who are coughing and sneezing. Younger people generally exhibit less symptoms so they are less likely to spread the virus. Younger people generally spend more time around younger people and older people generally spend more time around older people so older people are generally more likely to contract it.

    There are other ways it spreads (people touching their face then touching you, touching a surface with the virus on it) but again these things happen more frequently when you're in spaces frequented by people with heavier symptoms.

    I'm not sure if having a stronger immune system makes you less likely to actually contract the virus but that wouldn't shock me either.
    https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/03/who-is-getting-sick-and-how-sick-a-breakdown-of-coronavirus-risk-by-demographic-factors/

    It appears you're correct, but science has no idea why.
  • CallMeBigErn
    CallMeBigErn Member Posts: 8,028
    Came for hot virus talk. Was not disappoint.
  • animate
    animate Member Posts: 4,245
    Listen to this for your edumacation and hot virus talk.

    http://podcasts.joerogan.net/podcasts/michael-osterholm