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Corona virus
WestlinnDuck
Member Posts: 17,658 
in Tug Tavern
Probably a bit overblown, but the R-naught discussion is pretty interesting.
UK Researcher Predicts Over 250,000 Chinese Will Have Coronavirus In Ten Days
Profile picture for user Tyler Durden
by Tyler Durden
Fri, 01/24/2020 - 18:12
When it comes to estimating the human capital and potential fallout from a highly contagious epidemic, arguably the most important variable is the R0 ("R-naught") value of the disease, which represents the average number of secondary cases arising from an average primary case in a entirely susceptible population. That's the technical definition, a simpler one is that the R0, or basic reproductive number, of a contagious disease is the number of cases that a case of the disease generates over the course of its infectious period in a susceptible population. The higher this number, the more dangerous the disease, the more lethal the outcome.
Some indicative R0s are 0.9 – 2.1 for the common flu while the 1918-1919 pandemic-causing Spanish flu was estimated to have ranged from 1.4 – 2.8, with a mean of 2. Some other notable R0s are shown below, and note that SARS was between 2 and 5:
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/uk-researcher-predicts-over-250000-people-china-will-have-coronavirus-ten-days
Comments
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It's way overblown. Get all the screenshots you need.
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Buy on dipsMikeDamone said:It's way overblown. Get all the screenshots you need.
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I still don’t have all the screenshots I need.
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More like borophyll
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So 20 million people a year in the US get the flu. 20,000 die. People don’t get flu shots (“it doesn’t work! I got shot and got the flu!” Fuck off). But we are supposed to panic over this. JFC.
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Does anyone else remember Bird Flu?
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*SARSThomasFremont said:Does anyone else remember Bird Flu?
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Or swine flu? Fucking world was coming to an end.ThomasFremont said:Does anyone else remember Bird Flu?
Hey, I still eat bacon! -
Probably nothing.
A husband and wife Chinese spy team were recently removed from a Level 4 Infectious Disease facility in Canada for sending pathogens to the Wuhan facility. The husband specialized in coronavirus research.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/chinese-researcher-escorted-from-infectious-disease-lab-amid-rcmp-investigation-1.5211567 -
I remember my panicking over some new disease in other parts of the world phase.
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armchair pathologists are going to be my new fav twitter subculture
