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Another Pre-Season Analytic Projection

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  • Bread
    Bread Member Posts: 4,108
    I have payed attention to Beta_rank the last 2 seasons. Maybe the model itself isn't terrible, but the way the creators use it for their talking points makes Jared Sawyer look smart.
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  • nycgobears
    nycgobears Member Posts: 153
    RuffaloSoldier said:

    Whyd post being censored?

    The Buffs

    With Coach Tucker this won't take long to get back to the Top. We're ready to win the South in this year. We have the best returning senior quaterback in the conference, Stephen Montes and the best all arounf athlete int eh league Shannalt. On defense coach Tucker speciality we have the best player too Mustapha. I will not be siurprised if we win the whole league in December. You do not know Jared Mangaham yet but you will by the end of the season. The Buffs are coming charging. This will be a great season.

    It’s true. That Colorado weed is special.
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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    nycgobears said:

    RuffaloSoldier said:

    Whyd post being censored?

    The Buffs

    With Coach Tucker this won't take long to get back to the Top. We're ready to win the South in this year. We have the best returning senior quaterback in the conference, Stephen Montes and the best all arounf athlete int eh league Shannalt. On defense coach Tucker speciality we have the best player too Mustapha. I will not be siurprised if we win the whole league in December. You do not know Jared Mangaham yet but you will by the end of the season. The Buffs are coming charging. This will be a great season.

    It’s true. That Colorado weed is special.
    Is it different











































    different?
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  • nycgobears
    nycgobears Member Posts: 153
    edited August 2019
    nycgobears said:

    RuffaloSoldier said:

    Whyd post being censored?

    The Buffs

    With Coach Tucker this won't take long to get back to the Top. We're ready to win the South in this year. We have the best returning senior quaterback in the conference, Stephen Montes and the best all arounf athlete int eh league Shannalt. On defense coach Tucker speciality we have the best player too Mustapha. I will not be siurprised if we win the whole league in December. You do not know Jared Mangaham yet but you will by the end of the season. The Buffs are coming charging. This will be a great season.

    It’s true. That Colorado weed is special.
    Cause, meet effect.
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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    FremontTroll said:

    DoogCourics said:

    FremontTroll said:

    He hates us.

    Luckily his model is total garbage.

    At least preseason. Maybe it will improve although I doubt it since the returning production portion seems to be the most solid part.

    Reading through his website, in season he hits 80% predictions on who will win games.

    Not sure exactly who he is but he does pods with the Arizona 247 mod, and he claims he is an econometrician.
    If you just pick the favorite in every game you will be about 80%. The question is how he does against the spread. If he doesn’t publicize that it’s probably not good.

    Put it this way I noticed he loves Utah so I looked at one game- Utah vs. BYU.

    He has it at Utah -13.5. Spread is actually -4.5.

    If his model were correct the Kelly Criterion says that line is so far out of whack he should bet 40% of his bankroll on it.


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  • nycgobears
    nycgobears Member Posts: 153

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  • oregonblitzkrieg
    oregonblitzkrieg Member Posts: 15,288
    What I've gathered from these metrics is that UW is expected to be a somewhat dominant, beta team in 2019.
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