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Another Pre-Season Analytic Projection
Comments
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Peterman should be fired if he goes 6-3 in the PAC this year
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I’m gonna wait to see what @TheChart has to say before I comment on this.
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80% straight up is really good if it is achieved early in the season (which they of course can't). Otherwise yeah, it's about par for the course.FremontTroll said:
If you just pick the favorite in every game you will be about 80%. The question is how he does against the spread. If he doesn’t publicize that it’s probably not good.DoogCourics said:
Reading through his website, in season he hits 80% predictions on who will win games.FremontTroll said:He hates us.
Luckily his model is total garbage.
At least preseason. Maybe it will improve although I doubt it since the returning production portion seems to be the most solid part.
Not sure exactly who he is but he does pods with the Arizona 247 mod, and he claims he is an econometrician.
Put it this way I noticed he loves Utah so I looked at one game- Utah vs. BYU.
He has it at Utah -13.5. Spread is actually -4.5.
If his model were correct the Kelly Criterion says that line is so far out of whack he should bet 40% of his bankroll on it.
http://www.thepredictiontracker.com/ncaaresults.php?orderby=wpct desc&type=1&year=18
https://hardcorehusky.com/discussion/53705/what-you-should-know-about-upsets-81-simple-facts-that-will-change-how-you-view-the-world/p1 -
This.dtd said:Returning starts has been proven to be one of the least correlated of the correlated stats(to winning).
Because I believe 40% of last year’s snaps actually return on defense since we rotate so much. That’s definitely not dead last in the country.
Plus half the defense has started multiple games, they just were full time starters. -
When do we have enough blue chip players or a strong enough team philosophy to qualify for the alpha rank? DDY wants to know.
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Lotta FREE PUB!!!!11! in this analysis.
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He didn’t use returning starts though.dtd said:Returning starts has been proven to be one of the least correlated of the correlated stats(to winning).
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A whole thread about Beta Rank and not one person has tagged @NorwegianHusky?
This place is slipping. -
I'm trying to calm things down herednc said:A whole thread about Beta Rank and not one person has tagged @NorwegianHusky?
This place is slipping.
@NorwegianHusky
@RuffaloSoldier -
Why do you people keep 'mentioning' me? I am shocked this sight is still active.
