"Crunch Time" arrived for HHusky and...

HoustonHusky

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/crunch-time-arrives-and-was-everyone-wrong-about-coronavirus

One week ago, when looking at the growing divergence between the number of new coronavirus cases in the US and shrinking number of fatalities, we referred to Nordea's strategist Andreas Steno Larsen, who observed that "we are entering “crunch time” on fatalities since they should start to rise in early July given the lead/lag structure versus new cases."

As Larsen further predicted, "if fatalities don’t spike early in July, then people will conclude that it’s probably spreading amongst a part of the population that is not as sensitive, or that it is a resulted of increased testing or that the virus has become less deadly as we move into the summer months. Governors in Texas, California and Florida seem to have concluded that the below correlation holds, but the jury is still out."

His conclusion was that "the next 6-10 days will be crucial."

Well, one week later, we decided to follow up on the current status and... there is still no spike in fatalities at either the federal level...

NorthwestFresh

Why do you want one person’s great-grandma to die? If it saves ONE LIFE...

HHusky

This poast will age poorly.

The Vid is having a very good day.

MikeDamone

Keep hope alive. Next week will be crucial if the leftists want to shut down again.

And not “everyone” was wrong

MikeDamone

HHusky said:

This poast will age poorly.

The Vid is having a very good day.

Therefore you’re having a good day.

CFetters_Nacho_Lover

HHusky said:

This poast will age poorly.

The Vid is having a very good day.

Imagine hating Trump so much that you’re happy the ‘vid had a good day. Grim.

greenblood

As much as I want to agree, you are assuming that the majority of people die within a week of getting COVID, that isn't the case. As it has gone on, hospitals have been able to prolong even the worst of cases. We won't be seeing true outcomes for this recent spike until about the end of the month. I hope this chart holds, but we just don't know. That's why I'm pro mask requirements, but completely against shutdowns.

Houhusky

Grim

NorthwestFresh

HHusky said:

This poast will age poorly.

The Vid is having a very good day.

Found one of the few people watching the Telethon Death Scoreboard on CNN. Call now to donate!

MikeDamone

greenblood said:

As much as I want to agree, you are assuming that the majority of people die within a week of getting COVID, that isn't the case. As it has gone on, hospitals have been able to prolong even the worst of cases. We won't be seeing true outcomes for this recent spike until about the end of the month. I hope this chart holds, but we just don't know. That's why I'm pro mask requirements, but completely against shutdowns.

18 days. But 36 days after Memorial Day. Maybe 54 days after July 4th.

PurpleThrobber

If you squint and kind of blur your eyes, those graphs look like stacks of cordwood.