We’re not supposed to deal in hypotheticals, but anyway....
No way are 3 dreck teams going 8-1 in this conference. 8-1 is a rare conference record to pull in the PAC 12. There is too much dreck at the top. Ain’t happening.
I wanted to see how often 8-1 records show up in the conference.
2017: USC 2016: UW, Colorado 2015: Stanford 2014: Oregon 2013: ASU 2012: Stanford, Oregon 2011: Stanford, Oregon (single division before 2011) 2010: Oregon (9-0), Stanford 2009: Oregon 2008: USC 2007: none 2006: none 2005 and before was an 8 game schedule.
Now that we? beat ASU and Utah our odds are north of 50% to go 8-1 or 9-0.
Now that Oregon lost, their odds of going 8-1 are probably less than 10% and are eliminated from going 9-0 entirely.
Stanford is who we need to worry about now as they equally have high odds to go 8-1 or 9-0 after beating Oregon and USC already. If we lose that head to head we are probably fucked.
Comments
2017: USC
2016: UW, Colorado
2015: Stanford
2014: Oregon
2013: ASU
2012: Stanford, Oregon
2011: Stanford, Oregon
(single division before 2011)
2010: Oregon (9-0), Stanford
2009: Oregon
2008: USC
2007: none
2006: none
2005 and before was an 8 game schedule.
Now that Oregon lost, their odds of going 8-1 are probably less than 10% and are eliminated from going 9-0 entirely.
Stanford is who we need to worry about now as they equally have high odds to go 8-1 or 9-0 after beating Oregon and USC already. If we lose that head to head we are probably fucked.