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Huskies primed to reclaim Pac12 title
DerekJohnson
Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 60,244
DerekJohnson
Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 60,244
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This year we are going to have to up our game considerably to beat UCLA down there, Utah on the road and Stanford at home. None of those games are games we should feel confident about. Even if somehow we manage to take the Jakey B factor out of those games (UCLA seems primed to give Jakey a 11-23 performance, to me) and win, we will get stomped by USC in the championship game.
We are shrivel dicks until we aren't.
I personally don't see why there is so much hype around us this year. I think people are sort of saying 'oh, well, now they have a Sr. QB so they will be great!'
Unfortunately, I see a ton of holes. Our offense is going to be absolute shit unless we completely re-tool it. Our top WR is Aaron Fuller (who dreams he could one day be Braxton Berrios) and our offensive line is a fucking nightmare. This is the piece where I don't see the optimism.
We are going to get kicked in the dick at Auburn (that is a nightmare matchup for us) and we cannot afford 1 injury on the OL. We have no one at WR, despite having an offense that will inevitably throw to set up the run.
If Bush institutes a common-sense 'hey, look at this personnel!' approach, we can definitely win the Pac... but I don't think he will and I don't think we will.
We have the following major issues:
Our QB sucks: especially in critical situations and he is incapable of making the 6-7 plays you need to make in close games to win... he may make 3 all season.
Our OL sucks: we cannot pass block in the interior.
Our WRs suck: we have talent, but we will play the worst players because our offense is too complicated.
Our DL will try to rotate 6 and we only have 3 (Gaines, Johnson, Levi).
We have no pass rush: Benning and Amandre suck until they don't. Bowman can pass rush, but can't play the run.
BBK is a starter: if he doesn't get pushed out of the way and manages to make contact, he always falls backwards 2-3 yards.
Myles Bryant is a starter: hopefully he won't be, but we love practice players.
To me, I think this is potentially an 8-9 win team. Losses: Auburn, @UCLA, @Utah and Oregon on the road or Stanford at home.
Last year, we should've lost at home to Utah because our offense is fucking retarded. Our offense is retarded until it's not.
Disagree on Myles. He will he used in packages but won’t be a three down player. If he is, Jimmy Lake should be fired. Irving or Gordon will play if needed. With the DB talent level, guys like Murphy, Rapp, Irving, Gordon are three year guys, including the redshirt year. Play the best.
Can Nick Harris, now at center, run block? If so, run the fucking ball, a lot. If Bush wants to get cute and play balanced, his ass can go to.
Lots of Double tight end sets. Sample, Bryant, Kizer, and Otten. Run blockers. Chip and release. Drag routes. Seams.
That’s what should be done. It probably won’t.
Some middling team will “upset” us and revitilize their future. If it’s Oregon, Cristobal leaves for a higher paying job with Pepsi man taking over.
Wouldn’t shock me to see Oregon out of the north and ASU emerge from the south. Pepsi vs. Herm. Either way it will or won’t be interesting.
Kwat has shown he can lose players to the NFL and still improve on defense, so I'm not worried there. Even with white and nerdy as our MLB, we still had one of the best defenses in the country.
My main concern is the first point, the offense, and for pretty much the same reason as you. SmithFS would just run the offense he wants to run. The only change would be when Pete would tell him to just run the fucking ball (see 2016 Pac 12 champ game). I am hoping Bush comes in and we have a different offense based on the other teams weakness. Including Auburn. If we come in the game with the same thought process as the Penn State game when Jake can just sit and throw, we'll lose. Same against Stanford. Those teams we need to change up our passing game to take what the defense gives us.
Last year, off the top of my head, Wazzu was the only team with a senior QB, and they were ranked in front of UW in the CFP rankings until we? totally dominated them and ruined their season (Go DWAGS!!!)
The year before, Sefo Luifau and Colorado made it to the PAC championship out of nowhere. Davis Webb won Cal 5 games. Without Webb that Cal team probably wins 2, maybe 3.
2 years ago, Hogan and Stanford demolished Iowa in the Rose Bowl (obviously McCaffrey played a huge role in that success as well). Vernon Adams made a not good Oregon team stay in the rankings all year. Cody Kessler and the Trojans were obviously overrated as usual, but won the South. Travis Wilson led Utah to a 10-3 record.
The year before, Oregon obviously made it to the playoff (Mariota was ridiculous all his years, though).
Recent history says the Huskies could be the beneficiaries of that trend. That being said...
Browning is who he is at this point, which is a guy who won't win it for you even when the box score says otherwise and hopefully won't lose it for you. If the running game isn't going in those 5 potential losses you listed, they will be 5 actual losses. And Pete needs to fix that.
You need a QB to make 5-7 good plays to win in hard games. Last year, Jakey B couldn't make a fucking play against AS FUCKING U. He made about 10 plays for Stanford in that game and not one for us.
I love that this stuff always outs Doogs. You know you are a Doog if you think we will be 'fine' with Jake. Jake prevents us from winning big games. Unless there is a major overhaul to the offense, that will only get worse this year. The 'senior QB' narrative is for casual fans and talk radio bullshit.
Vernon Adams was a fucking baller, by the way. If we had Vernon the last two years we might be talking about having back to back Natty appearances. That guy is a fucking great player and 50,000x the QB Jake is.
ATBSJBS
can take the peterman out of the boise, but cant take the boise out of the peterman
Looks like it's going ok from here, but I guess you're the expert.