Geeky Recruiting Data Shit

AIRWOLF

Muttzen said:

Created a shitty heatmap with dendrograms, interpolating the missing games so we get to play EVERYONE.

Rows are offense, columns are defense.

Spoilers: we lose to USC and are a tossup with dickrod thanks to our shitty offense. Our defense is clustered similarly to USC and Stanford, our offense is similar to that of ASU.

I have no idea what I am looking at, but I like it.

AIRWOLF

Been geeking out some more...

The 247 Sports Composite has seen some significant grade inflation over the years.

Here is the average of the class averages for the Top 100 classes since 2002:

AIRWOLF

As a result of this grade inflation, all recruiting "championships" aren't created equal.

On the below graph, I show the class average for the #1 class, adjusted for the average class ranking for FBS teams for that year. The classes USC was putting together in '05 and '06 clearly stand above the rest.



And why yes, those are actually the correct official colors on the graph, because I think and I care. I also have no life.

AIRWOLF

Here is the progression of our? classes in terms of 247 Composite class average over the years, compared to the average for all "Power 5" teams. Includes 2018 commits through Irvin.

Swaye

Damn. Last 3 classes are the best since 02, and getting better every year. Pete has this shit rolling.

AIRWOLF

Swaye said:

Damn. Last 3 classes are the best since 02, and getting better every year. Pete has this shit rolling.

Yep. The other thing to realize is that even if you throw out Sarkisian's 2009 transition class, his recruiting was basically just in-line with the Power 5 average over the 2010-2013 time frame.

Petersen's '16 class was equivalent to Sarkisian's '13 class (Sark's best) on paper. Of course, we all realize that "on paper" is ridiculously flattering to Sark's classes, while it is actually a bit punitive to Petersen's classes.

UWhuskytskeet

I see you've given up on Tableau.

theknowledge

Pete's classes are a stairway to heaven. I love 2018's class. Best I've ever seen at UW since I've cared to pay attention (1996). The raw data clearly shows that my boner will also be raw come this time next year. 2019 offseason natty will be truly speshul.

AIRWOLF

UWhuskytskeet said:

I see you've given up on Tableau.

Not given up, but I have the raw data in Excel and I am just not very good at Tableau yet(?).

UW_Doog_Bot

With grade inflation you are probably also seeing some distortion of the data since you have an upward limit to the grade. I would think this would mean that especially in the case of media bias it means our classes would be essentially under rated vs top recruiting classes full of kids with "5 star" ratings would be overstated.