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Kyle Ford, 4* 2019 WR, Anaheim (Servite), CA (Offered 5/21/17)

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Comments

  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,213

    JECAR said:

    JECAR said:

    Georgia also had a guy named Chubb in the backfield that year. Might have heard of him, he was ok in college.

    So he should have been better than a 55% completion percentage with a dominant running game?

    AGREE
    Yeah, he probably should have been better. He didn’t really have to do that much though because his team was better than 2018 USC. I guess I look at Daniels numbers and think that he probably had more of an opportunity than Eason did.
    I'm not looking at raw yardage if that's what you're talking about.

    Daniels had a better completion percentage, better yards per attempt and better passer rating.

    The only thing Eason had better was TD:INT ratio (which isn't nothing).

    But the point is less Daniels > Eason than it is talking shit about how good Eason is while going to be while saying "Daniels sucked so he's not going to get better" is completely asinine.

    Both were highly rated. Both of them were bad as true freshman QB's. Both will probably greatly improve over their careers.
    And this is why looking deeper than surface level stats matters.

    For example, the UW Defense ranks 1st in the conference years (conference games only) running now in just about every material metric (in 2018 1st in yards per pass attempt, yards per completion, yards per defensive play, points allowed per game, points allowed per 100 yards (a metric I think that is relatively important) and turnovers forced, 2nd in defensive plays per turnover forced, and 3rd in yards per carry allowed). The only category where Washington WAS NOT in the top 3 defensively in the conference was completion percentage against which was 9th!!! Ready for your mind to be blown? UW was 9th in completion percentage in the conference in 2017 (only other categories where they weren't #1 were tied to turnovers) ...

    The takeaway: completion percentage can be a massively overrated stat ... which intuitively we should all know if you follow any kind of football and see huge completion percentages for guys like Sam Bradford who do nothing but check the ball down.

    I'm not going to claim to be an expert on what USC did offensively this year versus what Georgia did in 2016 with Eason. However, super high level, SC does throw a lot of quick screens to their receivers trying to get them the ball in space. I don't ever really recall that being a large part of Mark Richt's offenses at Georgia. Moreover, those kind of quick WR screen passes aren't really high end plays in the SEC due to the size/speed combinations there that tend to limit those plays to nothing more than run plays ... and when you have guys in your backfield like Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, you probably are better served just handing the ball off.

    Likewise, when you cite yards per attempt and passing rating as signs of one being better than the other, you are intuitively also saying that the sample sizes are similar ... which we know defense in the SEC is far different than defenses in the PAC12 South. My guess/expectation would be looking back at Daniels' numbers this year would show that he was pretty good against the shit teams and struggled on the road and/or against the better defenses he saw.

    And your point about a TD to INT ratio not being meaningless to me is actually a really strong indication of future performance for a young QB. A young QB is typically going to make poor decisions leading to INTs ... but on top of that, the other big challenge is that whether those bad decisions come in the red zone or they start getting gun shy as the speed of the game magnifies itself there, TDs are often a bit of a challenge. So a 2:1 TD:INT ratio is actually a really nice sign for a young QB.

    The TL, DR portion of this is that while Daniels may turn into a good QB (I wasn't overly impressed with him this year), the reality is that Eason's got all the tools you are looking for and will step in next year for Browning and be able to do things at the QB position that UW really hasn't had the capability of doing since Locker (in terms of arm strength) and probably going back to Cody Pickett in terms of matching up arm strength with the talent to go with it. And to be clear, Eason's ceiling is far greater than Cody's.
  • Crawfish
    Crawfish Member Posts: 734
    edited December 2018

    With the visit this weekend and the hire of Kingsbury plus his obvious like of USC I jsut find it hard to say we are winning this battle. Yes there are some tea leaves that make me cautiously optimistic but I just don't see how we win this battle. Feel free to bump me if I am wrong.

    I am thinking we? should revoke your doog status. Where's your doog faith?
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,412 Founders Club

    JFC the fucken I love JT Daniels thread. Fuck him he sucks fuck USC they suck. That is the point! Stats are for fucken losers! We will win period I don't give a shit if Skinny is decimal points below him! Wtf! Any other fucken USC recruiting points you want to make for USC?

    Fight on
  • jhfstyle24
    jhfstyle24 Member Posts: 3,256
    Crawfish said:

    With the visit this weekend and the hire of Kingsbury plus his obvious like of USC I jsut find it hard to say we are winning this battle. Yes there are some tea leaves that make me cautiously optimistic but I just don't see how we win this battle. Feel free to bump me if I am wrong.

    I am thinking we? should revoke your doog status. Where's your doog faith?
    On my burner twitter that I use to tweet at recruits.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,213

    Tequilla, Daniels had a higher ypa than Eason.

    Obviously ignore completion percentage but if you want to argue about completion percentage you should probably check ypa before writing 4 paragraphs about how maybe Daniels was just checking down while Eason was hucking it deep.

    Also I wouldn't just assume Eason was facing a much tougher schedule. The SEC East was pretty bad that year and he drew last place Ole Miss and 8-5 Auburn from the West (missing Bama and LSU.)

    It just means more in the SEC ... haven't you heard?

    Also, yards per completion, yards per attempt, etc. that's where I'd go back to is the SEC defenses are better than the PAC defenses.

    We'll see going forward ... I stand by my assessment.
  • DawgFader
    DawgFader Member Posts: 1,414
    Daniels is just lucky Gainesey didn’t get up in that ass. He’s a pimple face bitch.
  • HuskyClaws
    HuskyClaws Member Posts: 1,170

    Any 247 subscribers that can find out who Ford's one UW cristoball is from?

    Wiltfong - UW on 9/13/18 (latest CB put in)
    Biggins - Undecided on 9/6/18 (As of now he would put UW, but wants to wait until after USC visit before putting it in)
    Angulo - USC on 1/7/18
    Huffman - No CB

    Those are the only 4 worth paying attention to.
    BACK ON TOPIC!!!

    Huffman put in an undecided CB today. Not much of an update, but at least it's about Kyle Ford.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter

    Any 247 subscribers that can find out who Ford's one UW cristoball is from?

    Wiltfong - UW on 9/13/18 (latest CB put in)
    Biggins - Undecided on 9/6/18 (As of now he would put UW, but wants to wait until after USC visit before putting it in)
    Angulo - USC on 1/7/18
    Huffman - No CB

    Those are the only 4 worth paying attention to.
    BACK ON TOPIC!!!

    Huffman put in an undecided CB today. Not much of an update, but at least it's about Kyle Ford.
    Is that a change from something else?
  • Ballz
    Ballz Member Posts: 4,735

    Any 247 subscribers that can find out who Ford's one UW cristoball is from?

    Wiltfong - UW on 9/13/18 (latest CB put in)
    Biggins - Undecided on 9/6/18 (As of now he would put UW, but wants to wait until after USC visit before putting it in)
    Angulo - USC on 1/7/18
    Huffman - No CB

    Those are the only 4 worth paying attention to.
    BACK ON TOPIC!!!

    Huffman put in an undecided CB today. Not much of an update, but at least it's about Kyle Ford.
    Yeah after he predicted Ford to UW on Jude's podcast he puts in a foggy crystal ball for him a couple days later. Fucking fat pussy.