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We are down to 32% now

YellowSnow
YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,689 Founders Club
in Hardcore Husky Board
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-a-weekend-of-upsets-changed-the-college-football-playoff/
The season is definitely not over, but our statistical odds to make the CFP per Nate Silver's super computer have decreased from 47% pre USC to 32% post said game. In my view, Nate's stock is not diminished post Trump win. He gave him a 29% chance as of Monday, 11/7 and indicated an electoral college win was well within the polling margin for error.

Yes, it's FS that I even looked this up - just win El Norte and worry about the other crap when we get there.
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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    image
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  • BrickSquad
    BrickSquad Member Posts: 1,658
    edited November 2016
    I'm surprised it's still that high. I'm not sure they control their own destiny even if they do win out.

    I hope I'm wrong and UW squeaks in
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  • BrickSquad
    BrickSquad Member Posts: 1,658
    RaceBannon said:

    That's bullshit along with most of the crap that comes out of there

    I had Trump winning in June of 2015. Fuck Silver.

    What were his odds on my Cavs down 3-1?

    We win we are in and we have 2 cupcakes and a likely rematch with Utah to do so

    81% chance

    Pass the blunt
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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    RaceBannon said:

    That's bullshit along with most of the crap that comes out of there

    I had Trump winning in June of 2015. Fuck Silver.

    What were his odds on my Cavs down 3-1?

    We win we are in and we have 2 cupcakes and a likely rematch with Utah to do so

    81% chance

    Pretty sure the disagreement is on UW's odds of winning out. I doubt Silver (and it's probably not even him, just his team) is dumb enough to project us out of the tourney in that scenario.

    That Wazzu game is going to be TUFF though.
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  • doogville
    doogville Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 1,243 Swaye's Wigwam
    Also we are all Houston cougars fans now
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  • PineapplePirate
    PineapplePirate Member Posts: 4,649
    Fivethirtyeight is a damn joke. I sometimes laugh at their predictions before I even read them. Now I just ignore everything they say.
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  • rodmansrage
    rodmansrage Member Posts: 6,415
    YellowSnow said:

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-a-weekend-of-upsets-changed-the-college-football-playoff/
    The season is definitely not over, but our statistical odds to make the CFP per Nate Silver's super computer have decreased from 47% pre USC to 32% post said game. In my view, Nate's stock is not diminished post Trump win. He gave him a 29% chance as of Monday, 11/7 and indicated an electoral college win was well within the polling margin for error.

    Yes, it's FS that I even looked this up - just win El Norte and worry about the other crap when we get there.

    silver had the election nailed so im sure he's right on this one.
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  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,689 Founders Club
    RaceBannon said:

    That's bullshit along with most of the crap that comes out of there

    I had Trump winning in June of 2015. Fuck Silver.

    What were his odds on my Cavs down 3-1?

    We win we are in and we have 2 cupcakes and a likely rematch with Utah to do so

    81% chance

    Race, you had Trump in June 2015? I hope you wagered some serious coin on this. That would buy a hell of a lot of fresh bowls and cigars.
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,408 Founders Club
    YellowSnow said:

    RaceBannon said:

    That's bullshit along with most of the crap that comes out of there

    I had Trump winning in June of 2015. Fuck Silver.

    What were his odds on my Cavs down 3-1?

    We win we are in and we have 2 cupcakes and a likely rematch with Utah to do so

    81% chance

    Race, you had Trump in June 2015? I hope you wagered some serious coin on this. That would buy a hell of a lot of fresh bowls and cigars.
    The evidence is on the Tug
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