Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.
What is wrong with you people?
Stanford sacked Keith Price 3 X in the game last year. Big deal. Is our line play better than last year? Yep. Who do they have on the D-Line that is different than last year? Did they change their DC? No and No.
Take a look at the depth chart: same guys:
http://www.gostanford.com/pdf9/2545044.pdf?ATCLID=209273200&SPSID=749925&SPID=127013&DB_LANG=C&DB_OEM_ID=30600Sankey rushed for 144 yards and got 7+ ypc last year.
Our defense held Stanford to 2.3 YPC with a long running play of SEVEN YARDS. Is our defense really worse than last year? We're better, man.
The formula is simple:
1) Good corner play and safety play allows us to stuff the run. Take the pass interference penalty versus giving up the big play and hammer their receivers and wide receivers all day long at the line of scrimmage.
2) On offense, pound the ball and wear out the defense with our tempo. Spread the field with quick outs to the WRs and the occassionaly take your shot.
We win this game and are 5-0.
Stop over-thinking it. It's really not that complicated. 31-20 DAWGS.
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Comments
For one thing, it means UW does NOT have HFA. Even if you downgraded this all the way to a neutral sight game (which would be stupid), Sark's success rate at neutral sites isn't exactly awe inspiring. His winning percentage at home is far higher than at neutral sites.
Secondly, you have to factor in one team is away from home and one team has all the comforts of home. Sleeping in your own bed >>>> sleeping in a hotel. Not traveling >>>> traveling. Playing on the field you play at the most >>>>> playing at a field you visit once every other year. Etc.
Thirdly, while it's not like visiting Autzen, there will still be enough Tree fans there to influence the officiating to some degree.
Most importantly, unless Woodward has finally learned and gone on the road with the team, this means Sark won't get his 90 minutes of Pool Boy on Pool Boy cuddle time. This is the real source of our road woes, IMO.
Stanford has beaten the following ranked teams at home from 2010-present (rankings are at the time the game was played):
2010 - #15 Arizona, 42-17 (take a note of this one)
2011 - #25 Washington rather easily, say 65-21
2011 - #22 Notre Dame, 28-14
2012 - #2 (lol) USC, 21-14
2012 - #11 Oregon State, 27-23
2012 - #16 UCLA, 27-24
Here's Washington's comprehensive list of road wins over ranked teams during the same time frame:
2010 - #18 USC, 32-31
Still, Stanford isn't perfect or I believe as good as many in the no-account expert media think. Huskies could win in an upset if the Tree somehow help us in ways no-one can even begin to predict. UW must play it's best game thus far in 2013 and hope to be there with some kind of lead at the end.
Trust me, it's a whoosh, and not a very good one at that.