Why is Furd only favored by 7 at home??

And who is putting money on that? That seems like easy fucking money.

Yah Yah I know the odds are set to get money on both sides... but really? Furd is only getting 7 at home?

Hey, do bookmakers hang out at the 7-11 on Aurora that you guys are always talking about?

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Comments

RaceBannon

I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing

dhdawg

Last year that line sort of made sense, nunes first road start, us at home this one doesn't

Swaye

Maybe the mob knows that Shaw does hookers and blow on the Bay Bridge and they are all set to release the evidence and stuff.

TierbsHsotBoobs

I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing

UW was at home last year.

This is Free Money Saturday.

chuck

Lead pipe cinch of the week. Give the points.

RoadDawg55

I never bet on games unless I am in Vegas, but picking Stanford seems like easy money.

[Deleted User]

Stanford has no fans so therefore not a lot of people bet on them.

You always get good value on Stanford. I mean they were only favored by 10 last week against the Cougs.

priapism

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.

TierbsHsotBoobs

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.

Stanford has a quarterback this year.

TTJ

I think Jon Wilner pretty much nails it (other than the misplaced Price skepticism, of course):

The temptation is to expect a close game. The Huskies won last year, have a series of impressive results this season and seemingly possess the offensive balance required for success against Stanford’s defense. Perhaps that’s why the Cardinal is only favored by seven points.

But the more I assess the situation, the more I wonder if UW has what it takes to stand up to the Cardinal for four quarters. First off, the 2012 game is largely irrelevant, not only because of the change in venue but also a change in personnel. Stanford’s quarterback that night was Josh Nunes, and he had a very bad game. Kevin Hogan played sparingly — at that point in the season, he wasn’t ready for full-time duty. But his nine starts, Hogan has repeated shown the ability to make the plays Stanford didn’t make against the Huskies.

I’m also a tad skeptical that the Huskies can execute well enough, long enough, to be within striking range of the Cardinal down the stretch. It’s not difficult to envision a scenario in which Keith Price and Co. move the ball effectively for two or three quarters. But does Price have the patience to avoid forcing a play in the final 15 or 20 minutes … and giving Stanford’s opportunistic defense a chance to break the game open? Will he take a sack when he should take a sack? Will he throw the ball away when he should throw the ball away?

If Washington’s offensive line holds its own and Bishop Sankey averages 4 – 4.5 yards per rush, then Price won’t have to win the game from the pocket. Arizona State, which just trampled USC’s talented defense, wasn’t up to the challenge against Stanford’s front seven in Stanford Stadium. We’ll see if the Huskies fare any better. Winning big games on the road requires far more toughness and resourcefulness than is required at home. The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.

Link.

TierbsHsotBoobs

The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.

And people think USC is Sarktarded enough to steal UW's coach? Replacing Kiffin with Kiffin is a terrible idea.

Southerndawg

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
Stanford has a quarterback this year.

Agree.

BTW, the guy in your sig, gotta be some damn good indica. It's pouring down rain, and he's draped over plastic chairs pouring popcorn down his throat looking as comfortable as someone at home in a recliner watching the game on TV with dry heat supplied by a toasty fire popping away in the fireplace. That gif is an instant classic.

MisterEm

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
Stanford has a quarterback this year.
Agree.

BTW, the guy in your sig, gotta be some damn good indica. It's pouring down rain, and he's draped over plastic chairs pouring popcorn down his throat looking as comfortable as someone at home in a recliner watching the game on TV with dry heat supplied by a toasty fire popping away in the fireplace. That gif is an instant classic.

Lets look at the bright side. At least he would still get served at the Coug.

Southerndawg

I think Jon Wilner pretty much nails it (other than the misplaced Price skepticism, of course):
The temptation is to expect a close game. The Huskies won last year, have a series of impressive results this season and seemingly possess the offensive balance required for success against Stanford’s defense. Perhaps that’s why the Cardinal is only favored by seven points.

But the more I assess the situation, the more I wonder if UW has what it takes to stand up to the Cardinal for four quarters. First off, the 2012 game is largely irrelevant, not only because of the change in venue but also a change in personnel. Stanford’s quarterback that night was Josh Nunes, and he had a very bad game. Kevin Hogan played sparingly — at that point in the season, he wasn’t ready for full-time duty. But his nine starts, Hogan has repeated shown the ability to make the plays Stanford didn’t make against the Huskies.

I’m also a tad skeptical that the Huskies can execute well enough, long enough, to be within striking range of the Cardinal down the stretch. It’s not difficult to envision a scenario in which Keith Price and Co. move the ball effectively for two or three quarters. But does Price have the patience to avoid forcing a play in the final 15 or 20 minutes … and giving Stanford’s opportunistic defense a chance to break the game open? Will he take a sack when he should take a sack? Will he throw the ball away when he should throw the ball away?

If Washington’s offensive line holds its own and Bishop Sankey averages 4 – 4.5 yards per rush, then Price won’t have to win the game from the pocket. Arizona State, which just trampled USC’s talented defense, wasn’t up to the challenge against Stanford’s front seven in Stanford Stadium. We’ll see if the Huskies fare any better. Winning big games on the road requires far more toughness and resourcefulness than is required at home. The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.
Link.

Wilner nailed it. Good re-poast/link.

greenearplugs

nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.

unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right

TierbsHsotBoobs

nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.

unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right

LEAVE!

RoadDawg55

nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.

unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right

Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!

Dawgs4ever

nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.

unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right

What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?

Gladstone

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.

greenblood

Vegas explanation:

Stanford is favored at home by only 7, because the early betters on this game hate money. Don't be surprised if that numbers bumps to 10 by Friday.

RavennaDawg

Is anyone laying the 38.5 with Oregon?

greenblood

Is anyone laying the 38.5 with Oregon?

I might bet that for a first half spread.

If DAT hadn't hurt his ankle Saturday that road spread would have been in the mid 40's!!! FUCK

Your_Mom

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.

What if we lose by 6?

Gladstone

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
What if we lose by 6?

DoogieMcDoogerson

I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.

gmo

I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing

I am right with you RB. My friend and I came very close to making the drive to Vegas and laying down a large (to us) sum of money on that game. I've never bet against my own team before and my gut had a bad feeling about the bet and I backed out. My friend was pissed... until he watched the game.

[Deleted User]

I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.

This forum isn't for you.........

greenearplugs

Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!

Not true at all. I know the stock market is efficient enough that most people can't beat it. Same with the vegas sports books. Its such an efficient market that until proven otherwise, I'm pretty sure you ain't making any money long term. If you had a positive expected value on sports betting you'd be on a yacht somewhere and not working at a desk job arguing with me.

What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?

A sample size of one means absolutely nothing. A single bet has to be over or under the spread, so one score doesn't mean anything. over the long run you wont beat the spread.

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.

Vegas in aggregate knows a lot more than you or me. If there are any inefficieinces there are Phd in stats who will move in and make the line accurate in a short amount of time.

For the record, i'm with most of you on sark being shitty until proven otherwise. Vegas had us going 7-5 before the season started, and yet had us favored in the first 4 games. So the "script" is going right as planned so far. I'm still betting on a 7 or 8 win season at most (and anything short of 10 wins deserves and immediate termination for sark), but gotta call out the "i'm smarter than vegas" crowds on both sides...at doogman and here

DerekJohnson

I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.

Within 3 years he will be very successful. What is happening to him now in the short term might be the best thing for him in terms of his development as a NFL coach.

Your_Mom

Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!

Not true at all. I know the stock market is efficient enough that most people can't beat it. Same with the vegas sports books. Its such an efficient market that until proven otherwise, I'm pretty sure you ain't making any money long term. If you had a positive expected value on sports betting you'd be on a yacht somewhere and not working at a desk job arguing with me.

What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?
A sample size of one means absolutely nothing. A single bet has to be over or under the spread, so one score doesn't mean anything. over the long run you wont beat the spread.
What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
Vegas in aggregate knows a lot more than you or me. If there are any inefficieinces there are Phd in stats who will move in and make the line accurate in a short amount of time.

For the record, i'm with most of you on sark being shitty until proven otherwise. Vegas had us going 7-5 before the season started, and yet had us favored in the first 4 games. So the "script" is going right as planned so far. I'm still betting on a 7 or 8 win season at most (and anything short of 10 wins deserves and immediate termination for sark), but gotta call out the "i'm smarter than vegas" crowds on both sides...at doogman and here

Efficient market theorem superiority guy.

Comments

RaceBannon

I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing

dhdawg

Last year that line sort of made sense, nunes first road start, us at home this one doesn't

Swaye

Maybe the mob knows that Shaw does hookers and blow on the Bay Bridge and they are all set to release the evidence and stuff.

TierbsHsotBoobs

I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing

UW was at home last year.

This is Free Money Saturday.

chuck

Lead pipe cinch of the week. Give the points.

RoadDawg55

I never bet on games unless I am in Vegas, but picking Stanford seems like easy money.

[Deleted User]

Stanford has no fans so therefore not a lot of people bet on them.

You always get good value on Stanford. I mean they were only favored by 10 last week against the Cougs.

priapism

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.

TierbsHsotBoobs

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.

Stanford has a quarterback this year.

TTJ

I think Jon Wilner pretty much nails it (other than the misplaced Price skepticism, of course):

The temptation is to expect a close game. The Huskies won last year, have a series of impressive results this season and seemingly possess the offensive balance required for success against Stanford’s defense. Perhaps that’s why the Cardinal is only favored by seven points.

But the more I assess the situation, the more I wonder if UW has what it takes to stand up to the Cardinal for four quarters. First off, the 2012 game is largely irrelevant, not only because of the change in venue but also a change in personnel. Stanford’s quarterback that night was Josh Nunes, and he had a very bad game. Kevin Hogan played sparingly — at that point in the season, he wasn’t ready for full-time duty. But his nine starts, Hogan has repeated shown the ability to make the plays Stanford didn’t make against the Huskies.

I’m also a tad skeptical that the Huskies can execute well enough, long enough, to be within striking range of the Cardinal down the stretch. It’s not difficult to envision a scenario in which Keith Price and Co. move the ball effectively for two or three quarters. But does Price have the patience to avoid forcing a play in the final 15 or 20 minutes … and giving Stanford’s opportunistic defense a chance to break the game open? Will he take a sack when he should take a sack? Will he throw the ball away when he should throw the ball away?

If Washington’s offensive line holds its own and Bishop Sankey averages 4 – 4.5 yards per rush, then Price won’t have to win the game from the pocket. Arizona State, which just trampled USC’s talented defense, wasn’t up to the challenge against Stanford’s front seven in Stanford Stadium. We’ll see if the Huskies fare any better. Winning big games on the road requires far more toughness and resourcefulness than is required at home. The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.

Link.

TierbsHsotBoobs

The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.

And people think USC is Sarktarded enough to steal UW's coach? Replacing Kiffin with Kiffin is a terrible idea.

Southerndawg

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
Stanford has a quarterback this year.

MisterEm

I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
Stanford has a quarterback this year.
Agree.

BTW, the guy in your sig, gotta be some damn good indica. It's pouring down rain, and he's draped over plastic chairs pouring popcorn down his throat looking as comfortable as someone at home in a recliner watching the game on TV with dry heat supplied by a toasty fire popping away in the fireplace. That gif is an instant classic.

Lets look at the bright side. At least he would still get served at the Coug.

Southerndawg

I think Jon Wilner pretty much nails it (other than the misplaced Price skepticism, of course):
The temptation is to expect a close game. The Huskies won last year, have a series of impressive results this season and seemingly possess the offensive balance required for success against Stanford’s defense. Perhaps that’s why the Cardinal is only favored by seven points.

But the more I assess the situation, the more I wonder if UW has what it takes to stand up to the Cardinal for four quarters. First off, the 2012 game is largely irrelevant, not only because of the change in venue but also a change in personnel. Stanford’s quarterback that night was Josh Nunes, and he had a very bad game. Kevin Hogan played sparingly — at that point in the season, he wasn’t ready for full-time duty. But his nine starts, Hogan has repeated shown the ability to make the plays Stanford didn’t make against the Huskies.

I’m also a tad skeptical that the Huskies can execute well enough, long enough, to be within striking range of the Cardinal down the stretch. It’s not difficult to envision a scenario in which Keith Price and Co. move the ball effectively for two or three quarters. But does Price have the patience to avoid forcing a play in the final 15 or 20 minutes … and giving Stanford’s opportunistic defense a chance to break the game open? Will he take a sack when he should take a sack? Will he throw the ball away when he should throw the ball away?

If Washington’s offensive line holds its own and Bishop Sankey averages 4 – 4.5 yards per rush, then Price won’t have to win the game from the pocket. Arizona State, which just trampled USC’s talented defense, wasn’t up to the challenge against Stanford’s front seven in Stanford Stadium. We’ll see if the Huskies fare any better. Winning big games on the road requires far more toughness and resourcefulness than is required at home. The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.
Link.

Wilner nailed it. Good re-poast/link.

greenearplugs

TierbsHsotBoobs

nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.

unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right

LEAVE!

RoadDawg55

nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.

unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right

Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!

Dawgs4ever

nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.

unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right

What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?

Gladstone

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.

greenblood

Vegas explanation:

Stanford is favored at home by only 7, because the early betters on this game hate money. Don't be surprised if that numbers bumps to 10 by Friday.

RavennaDawg

Is anyone laying the 38.5 with Oregon?

greenblood

Is anyone laying the 38.5 with Oregon?

I might bet that for a first half spread.

If DAT hadn't hurt his ankle Saturday that road spread would have been in the mid 40's!!! FUCK

Your_Mom

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.

What if we lose by 6?

Gladstone

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
What if we lose by 6?

DoogieMcDoogerson

I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.

gmo

I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing

[Deleted User]

I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.

This forum isn't for you.........

greenearplugs

Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!

What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?

A sample size of one means absolutely nothing. A single bet has to be over or under the spread, so one score doesn't mean anything. over the long run you wont beat the spread.

What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.

DerekJohnson

I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.

Within 3 years he will be very successful. What is happening to him now in the short term might be the best thing for him in terms of his development as a NFL coach.

Your_Mom

Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!

Not true at all. I know the stock market is efficient enough that most people can't beat it. Same with the vegas sports books. Its such an efficient market that until proven otherwise, I'm pretty sure you ain't making any money long term. If you had a positive expected value on sports betting you'd be on a yacht somewhere and not working at a desk job arguing with me.

What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?
A sample size of one means absolutely nothing. A single bet has to be over or under the spread, so one score doesn't mean anything. over the long run you wont beat the spread.
What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
Vegas in aggregate knows a lot more than you or me. If there are any inefficieinces there are Phd in stats who will move in and make the line accurate in a short amount of time.

For the record, i'm with most of you on sark being shitty until proven otherwise. Vegas had us going 7-5 before the season started, and yet had us favored in the first 4 games. So the "script" is going right as planned so far. I'm still betting on a 7 or 8 win season at most (and anything short of 10 wins deserves and immediate termination for sark), but gotta call out the "i'm smarter than vegas" crowds on both sides...at doogman and here

Efficient market theorem superiority guy.