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How much better does the offense really need to be for us to win 10 games this year?
ToddTurnerLIVES
Member Posts: 438
Assuming that the defense produces about the same numbers as last year, how much better does the offense really need to be for us to win 10 games this year?
Below is a list of our losses from last year:
Boise State 13-16
Cal 24-30
Oregon 20-26
Stanford 14-31
Utah 23-34
Arizona State 17-27
Other than Stanford and Utah I think that we win all those games if our offense is even slightly better. My expectations for next year are that every offensive position group improves a little bit with the biggest jump being the QB/WR productivity (because fuck Brent Pease and Smith is coaching for his life). O Line should be slightly better and I would say that the run game takes a big step forward except I think we still won't give Gaskin the ball enough.
When I look at our schedule next year I see 4 tough games: 1) At Autzen against a probably worse Ducks team. 2) Stanford with a new QB and a few players lost off the defense & offense. 3) A talented SC team with a new QB. 4) Koogs in Pullman.
Other than the Cougs I think all of those teams are probably a bit worse than they were last year. Assuming we? split those 4 games we have 10 wins right there. 10 wins seems like the bar that most people have set for this upcoming season and it looks pretty reasonable to me.
Below is a list of our losses from last year:
Boise State 13-16
Cal 24-30
Oregon 20-26
Stanford 14-31
Utah 23-34
Arizona State 17-27
Other than Stanford and Utah I think that we win all those games if our offense is even slightly better. My expectations for next year are that every offensive position group improves a little bit with the biggest jump being the QB/WR productivity (because fuck Brent Pease and Smith is coaching for his life). O Line should be slightly better and I would say that the run game takes a big step forward except I think we still won't give Gaskin the ball enough.
When I look at our schedule next year I see 4 tough games: 1) At Autzen against a probably worse Ducks team. 2) Stanford with a new QB and a few players lost off the defense & offense. 3) A talented SC team with a new QB. 4) Koogs in Pullman.
Other than the Cougs I think all of those teams are probably a bit worse than they were last year. Assuming we? split those 4 games we have 10 wins right there. 10 wins seems like the bar that most people have set for this upcoming season and it looks pretty reasonable to me.
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I made a pilgrimage to honor our @Owen12 brothers
Defensively, DeathRow is loaded overall, but I still worry about who's going to rush the QB. Mathis has been wildly inconsistent. Johnson seems to be making strides, but at 280# I don't know if he'll be quick enough to be an effective edge rusher in the nickel. I had expected to hear a lot about Potato and ChiefJusticeEarlWarren this spring, and instead heard nothing. Rice? Sterk? A couple young guys need to step up as edge rushers, because we* are straight fuckt every time Psalm Wooching sets foot on the field.
The problem is we are fucking losers.
Any time we had to come back or put a team away that was decent, we fucking folded.
Also, worrying about edge rushers is FS. We? replaced ~6 NFL players and had a better defense. If you think that the D coaches can't figure out how to rush the QB with this roster (even though they could lose 3 first rounders and improve) you are a fucking moron.
Still, none of that solves the problem that we choked away every loss we had last year other than Stanford.
I think Pete is an outstanding CEO, but until he gets pushed out of the offensive game-planning by a dude who cares about the team we HAVE not the team we WANT (a/k/a - Kellen Moore), we are going to be fucked.
Pete has consistently over-reached to do it 'his way'. I think over-reaching is an algorithm, not an issue solved by time.
For instance, I think Pete will simply continue to over-reach on offense. He will see whatever we can do and want to go past that. He won't play to our strengths, he will always remember how it was with Kellen Moore and try to recreate that as the 'right way' to do it.
He won't look at what the offense actually *IS* and design a plan for that.
It's a funny thing, but the 'culture' showed up on defense almost immediately under Pete. But the offense—where he's supposed to be a fucking genius—has been slow to arrive.
Primarily because it's not a cultural problem. It's a problem that he's been trying to re-create the KM years with yes-men OC's since Moore's been gone and it's a fucking slap dick idea that has nothing to do with winning.
When asked about offense, it's all about finding the right ways to attack, getting experience so they can best attack a defense.
One side of the ball is relatively simplistic and aggressive. The other side is cutesy and reactive.