Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.
@HeretoBeatmyChest has taken some flack lately, but Bill Connelly of sbnation.com and footballoutsiders.com writes a column called 'numerical' every week. Here's the excerpt on UW which speaks directly to the point chest has been making. The bolded part especially:
21
Washington rose 21 spots, from 40th to 19th, in this week's F/+ rankings following a 49-3 destruction of Arizona. The change in S&P+ (which accounts for half of the F/+ rankings) was even more stark: 30 spots, from 48th to 18th.
How does a jump like that happen this late in the year, long after preseason projections have been phased out of the system? Two primary reasons:
Teams in this portion of the ratings are bunched together. S&P+ is presented in the form of an adjusted scoring margin, and at the moment there's only a touchdown's difference between No. 18 Washington (plus-14.2) and No. 44 Georgia (plus-7.2). Meanwhile, there's a touchdown's difference between No. 1 Clemson (28.7) and No. 4 Ohio State (plus-21.4). This is a crowded section of the bell curve, so a really good game can move you up.
Washington played a really good game. Arizona is a bad team this year -- 87th in F/+, 86th in S&P+ (32nd on offense, 115th on defense) -- but the Huskies' domination was swift and complete. The Wildcats drove for a field goal on their first drive, then finished with five punts, four turnovers and three turnovers on downs. The young Washington offense finished with seven touchdowns in 10 drives. Hard to top that.
Washington is only 4-4 but has played at an incredibly high level in its four wins (average percentile performance: 89.8) and has suffered three one-possession losses. Considering youth, the Huskies are far closer to being a strong team than they should be. They could be something pretty awesome in 2016that's the full exerpt from this link:
http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2015/11/3/9662926/mark-richt-georgia-hot-seat-brian-schottenheimer-faton-bauta
5 ·
Comments
Next year is going to be fucking special!!!!!!!
Currently, ¥+a^2 (z-81)=23, which is admittedly surprising.
I'd post the dumbed down excel spreadsheet, but the odds of this bored understanding the calculations are slim
I'm still working on a way to accurately incorporate altitude into the metrics, so stay tuned.
We will see how the season ends as they essentially have three near 50-50 games left plus one near gimmie. Only winning one of those three would be a disappointment. Winning 2/3 and having a chance to be 8-5 would be a sign of improvement since the start of the year.
Pete has lost too many near 50-50 games at home. Beating Utah would be a sign of another small step considering we've lost all the games over the past two seasons.
Utah is our home chance, and ASU is the one left on the road (I don't count USC w/ all the Sark drama going on).