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sadly, this season does indeed, appear to be over

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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839
    Chance of winning the conference 0.2.
    image
  • Dardanus
    Dardanus Member Posts: 2,623
    0.2 > 0.1

    Suck on that, cuogs!
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    Beat WHOREGON. Nothing else matters!
  • HuskyJW
    HuskyJW Member Posts: 15,309
    61% chance to beat Utah State

    FML
  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,730 Founders Club
    0% at winning out. Does that mean we have a greater chance at losing out?
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,476 Founders Club
    Doogles said:

    0% at winning out. Does that mean we have a greater chance at losing out?

    Yes.
  • sarktastic
    sarktastic Member Posts: 9,208

    We're expected to lose against Cal and Utah at home?

    Fire everyone.

    that NEVER! would have happened if Sark was here.
  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,560
    edited July 2015
    like the Oregon St. game? ;)
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,146
    edited July 2015
    Gladstone said:

    Doogles said:

    I really can't wrap my head around how the over/under for UW wins is 4. Really? Fucking 4?

    TSIO, no QB, yadda yadda yadda...If we can't get to a shit bowl this year i'll be pissed. Take Utah St. they are a mid major team that has made some noise the past few years, but similar to Ty beating Boise that's a game Pete needs to win. The only way I see us hitting 4 wins is by dropping games like that.

    Do we really believe a Petersen coached team is going to drop 7 straight like the metrics predict? I just can't see it. I know we're a year away, but the nucleus of a 4 win team doesn't just win the fucking Pac the following year.

    We have a better head coach than 90% of our schedule

    And more talent than 65% of our schedule

    but we are going to suck and win 4 games, yep.



    We better win more than 4, but I'm not sure about the coach and talent part. You gotta prove it, not rest on past laurels and recruiting rankings. That's AuburnDawg go to analysis.
  • FremontTroll
    FremontTroll Member Posts: 4,744
    Doogles said:

    I really can't wrap my head around how the over/under for UW wins is 4. Really? Fucking 4?

    TSIO, no QB, yadda yadda yadda...If we can't get to a shit bowl this year i'll be pissed. Take Utah St. they are a mid major team that has made some noise the past few years, but similar to Ty beating Boise that's a game Pete needs to win. The only way I see us hitting 4 wins is by dropping games like that.

    Do we really believe a Petersen coached team is going to drop 7 straight like the metrics predict? I just can't see it. I know we're a year away, but the nucleus of a 4 win team doesn't just win the fucking Pac the following year.

    The over/under is not "4".
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,146

    These people have obviously never heard of BBK!!!!




    Seriously though... this will never happen. We win 6 at a minimum. I don't understand any logic to the contrary: Sac St, Utah State, Utah, Cal, WSU, Oregon St (though Andersen is a fucking good coach) or Arizona. The rest, who the fuck knows, but we are not losing 7 games. No fucking way.

    If we do we should seriously just stop playing football.

    These 7 plus Boise State. Winning 6 of those 8 isn't too much to ask even with this shitty roster.
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754

    These people have obviously never heard of BBK!!!!




    Seriously though... this will never happen. We win 6 at a minimum. I don't understand any logic to the contrary: Sac St, Utah State, Utah, Cal, WSU, Oregon St (though Andersen is a fucking good coach) or Arizona. The rest, who the fuck knows, but we are not losing 7 games. No fucking way.

    If we do we should seriously just stop playing football.

    These 7 plus Boise State. Winning 6 of those 8 isn't too much to ask even with this shitty roster.
    I don't think the roster is so much shitty as it's awkward. With Sark's amazing 2012 recruiting class, we basically skipped a year in the program where we would have RS-Jrs and Srs playing for us. So, we have a lot of holes that will be occupied by people who I'm sure will be really good at some point, but are too inexperienced to be great.

    QB: I have no fucking idea.
    RB: There's talent there, it just needs to develop.
    WR: Lots of young talent in my opinion.
    TE: Very talented, needs a lot more experience.
    OL: Absolute horse shit in the upper classes.
    DL: Lots of talent, just needs to improve. The only reason people haven't played is we had good players (as its supposed to be).
    LB: Middling talent, but enough.
    DB: Good bunch of talent.

    I doubt we lose 7. I will say this, though... we are a lot closer to breaking through to 9 wins than we are to falling through to 9 losses. If Feeney, Mathis and Qualls all develop like our guys did last year, If Baker and Jones continue to improve, we could have a really good defense again.

    If Pettis and Lenius develop in a serious way, they could both be outstanding.

    It's a lot of ifs... my pessimism for this team is really only centered around Babushka. If we had an OC I believed in, I would think 9 wins was inevitable.
  • BallSacked
    BallSacked Member Posts: 3,279
    Y'all shleep on Cal tho...
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,146

    These people have obviously never heard of BBK!!!!




    Seriously though... this will never happen. We win 6 at a minimum. I don't understand any logic to the contrary: Sac St, Utah State, Utah, Cal, WSU, Oregon St (though Andersen is a fucking good coach) or Arizona. The rest, who the fuck knows, but we are not losing 7 games. No fucking way.

    If we do we should seriously just stop playing football.

    These 7 plus Boise State. Winning 6 of those 8 isn't too much to ask even with this shitty roster.
    I don't think the roster is so much shitty as it's awkward. With Sark's amazing 2012 recruiting class, we basically skipped a year in the program where we would have RS-Jrs and Srs playing for us. So, we have a lot of holes that will be occupied by people who I'm sure will be really good at some point, but are too inexperienced to be great.

    QB: I have no fucking idea.
    RB: There's talent there, it just needs to develop.
    WR: Lots of young talent in my opinion.
    TE: Very talented, needs a lot more experience.
    OL: Absolute horse shit in the upper classes.
    DL: Lots of talent, just needs to improve. The only reason people haven't played is we had good players (as its supposed to be).
    LB: Middling talent, but enough.
    DB: Good bunch of talent.

    I doubt we lose 7. I will say this, though... we are a lot closer to breaking through to 9 wins than we are to falling through to 9 losses. If Feeney, Mathis and Qualls all develop like our guys did last year, If Baker and Jones continue to improve, we could have a really good defense again.

    If Pettis and Lenius develop in a serious way, they could both be outstanding.

    It's a lot of ifs... my pessimism for this team is really only centered around Babushka. If we had an OC I believed in, I would think 9 wins was inevitable.
    I don't think the talent is that bad either. It's somewhere in the middle of the conference, with maybe the worst starting QB (hopefully not) in the conference and Babushka/Pete. Pete hasn't had a really good offense since Kellen Moore left. We saw the 38-6 plungering and Boise actually had some pretty good talent on that offense, including a couple NFL players.

    Kikaha and Shelton are huge losses, no matter how high you are on Mathis, Qualls, etc. I think it could be another year until the DL is good, although the young talent is exciting. I'm not really worried about the defense long term, but I'm not ready to say they will be good yet either.
  • sarktastic
    sarktastic Member Posts: 9,208
    If Peterman is half the coach Kim is sure he isn't, he'll win at least 2 games he isn't supposed to.
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,216

    Y'all shleep on Cal tho...

    Last I checked, Cal's defense would have a tuff time stopping a high school attack

    If we lose at home to Cal we are fucked.

    Good thing it's not going to happen
  • Gladstone
    Gladstone Member Posts: 16,419

    Gladstone said:

    Doogles said:

    I really can't wrap my head around how the over/under for UW wins is 4. Really? Fucking 4?

    TSIO, no QB, yadda yadda yadda...If we can't get to a shit bowl this year i'll be pissed. Take Utah St. they are a mid major team that has made some noise the past few years, but similar to Ty beating Boise that's a game Pete needs to win. The only way I see us hitting 4 wins is by dropping games like that.

    Do we really believe a Petersen coached team is going to drop 7 straight like the metrics predict? I just can't see it. I know we're a year away, but the nucleus of a 4 win team doesn't just win the fucking Pac the following year.

    We have a better head coach than 90% of our schedule

    And more talent than 65% of our schedule

    but we are going to suck and win 4 games, yep.



    We better win more than 4, but I'm not sure about the coach and talent part. You gotta prove it, not rest on past laurels and recruiting rankings.
    if petersen is the coach we all believe him to be. operative word being 'if'
  • Fire_Marshall_Bill
    Fire_Marshall_Bill Member Posts: 25,677 Standard Supporter
    I think "we" will start out 2-2 or 2-3, with a loss to Boise Cosmetology Institute (vomit), and finish up better (5-3). After this season, there's no more leniency. My friend said, in jest, that "Bill wants 10 wins" ...well yeah..at least every other year..
  • YeahILikeDawgs
    YeahILikeDawgs Member Posts: 34
    We'll beat Sac St, Utah St, WSU, and maybe Boise. We seem to have Cal and OSU's number, and we up our play against AZ no matter their talent. So at best we win 7. But we'll likely lose two of these games and win one we shouldn't, so I'll say the over/under is 5.5. Hell yeah that's better than 4.
  • BallSacked
    BallSacked Member Posts: 3,279

    Y'all shleep on Cal tho...

    Last I checked, Cal's defense would have a tuff time stopping a high school attack

    If we lose at home to Cal we are fucked.

    Good thing it's not going to happen
    You're right. UW has the offense that can take advantage of the Cal D. Slam dunk win quite honestly.
  • Dardanus
    Dardanus Member Posts: 2,623

    Y'all shleep on Cal tho...

    Last I checked, Cal's defense would have a tuff time stopping a high school attack

    If we lose at home to Cal we are fucked.

    Good thing it's not going to happen
    You're right. UW has the offense that can take advantage of the Cal D. Slam dunk win quite honestly.
    thanks ballbag for stating the obvious
  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,730 Founders Club

    Y'all shleep on Cal tho...

    Last I checked, Cal's defense would have a tuff time stopping a high school attack

    If we lose at home to Cal we are fucked.

    Good thing it's not going to happen
    You're right. UW has the offense that can take advantage of the Cal D. Slam dunk win quite honestly.
    I don't underestimate cal at all. Goff is the best QB in the pac and has weapons.

    We just have Cal's number. It's science.
  • TTJ
    TTJ Member Posts: 4,827
    UW has the worst QB and OL position groups in the league. There is strength and depth everywhere else, but the two giant holes on offense will be difficult to hide. Seven wins.
  • puppylove_sugarsteel
    puppylove_sugarsteel Member Posts: 9,133
    Doogles said:

    I really can't wrap my head around how the over/under for UW wins is 4. Really? Fucking 4?

    TSIO, no QB, yadda yadda yadda...If we can't get to a shit bowl this year i'll be pissed. Take Utah St. they are a mid major team that has made some noise the past few years, but similar to Ty beating Boise that's a game Pete needs to win. The only way I see us hitting 4 wins is by dropping games like that.

    Do we really believe a Petersen coached team is going to drop 7 straight like the metrics predict? I just can't see it. I know we're a year away, but the nucleus of a 4 win team doesn't just win the fucking Pac the following year.

    Yes really 4. We are going to be disastrous on offense. Possibly worst in the country